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4/25
10:07
Svmuu Seer Prophecy Channel monitors that in the Polymarket "NBA Playoffs Western Conference First Round G3 Thunder vs Suns" prediction event, an account with a 49% win rate (address: 0x6ac5bb06a9eb05641fd5e82640268b92f3ab4b6e) purchased $172,000 on Thunder defeating Suns two hours ago, with an opening price of 78¢.
The NBA Playoffs Western Conference First Round G3 Thunder vs Suns will tip off tomorrow at 3:30 AM Beijing time. Leveraging their elite team defensive rotations and transition game advantages, the Thunder have steadily suppressed the Suns in the first two games, establishing a 2-0 series lead. However, the team is currently facing a critical injury setback, as core forward Jalen Williams has suffered a Grade 1 left hamstring strain and has been ruled out for the consecutive G3 and G4 games, significantly impairing the side's offensive and defensive synergy and rotation depth.
Svmuu Seer Prophecy Channel continues to follow the prediction market, seeing the changes before the pricing.
09:50
Svmuu News: According to Iranian media reports, Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi has left Islamabad after meeting with Pakistani officials. (Jinshi)
09:37
Svmuu reported that Aave posted on X, stating that the Aave service provider, together with stakeholders such as Ether_fi, KelpDAO, LayerZero_Core, and compound_xyz, has submitted a governance proposal to the Arbitrum DAO. The proposal requests the release of the ETH previously frozen by the Arbitrum Security Council following the rsETH incident on April 18. If the proposal passes, the funds will be injected into DeFi United to restore the rsETH collateral assets and compensate for user losses. The proposal is now open for review and is seeking feedback from the Arbitrum community.
09:26
Svmuureports that according to an official announcement, Binance Futures will adjust the tick size (minimum price change) for several USDⓈ-M perpetual contracts on the following dates. On April 27, 2026, at 14:30 (Beijing time), adjustments will be made for RAVEUSDT (0.00001→0.0001) and TRADOORUSDT (0.001→0.0001); at 14:40, for 1000SATSUSDT (0.0000001→0.00000001); at 14:50, for DOGSUSDT (0.0000001→0.00000001). On April 29, 2026, at 14:30, adjustments will be made for CRVUSDT (0.001→0.0001); at 14:40, for GALAUSDT (0.00001→0.000001); at 14:50, for CTSIUSDT (0.0001→0.00001); at 15:00, for ICXUSDT (0.0001→0.00001). Trading for certain contracts will be suspended for approximately 1 minute during the adjustment period.
09:26
Svmuu News The oil shock from the closure of the Strait of Hormuz has yet to cause a demand collapse, as wealthy nations tap into inventories and secure supplies at high prices. But traders are now warning: a severe demand contraction is imminent. Traders indicate that the longer the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, the more consumption will need to adjust downward to match a supply reduction of at least 10%. Achieving this will require people to reduce purchases, either through unaffordable prices or through government-imposed measures to curb consumption. Saad Rahim, Chief Economist at Trafigura Group, said that demand destruction is occurring in those non-visible pricing centers. This contraction is already happening, and if the situation persists, the scale of demand reduction will only grow larger. We are at a critical turning point. (Jin Shi)
09:13
Svmuu reports that Jesse Pollak, head of the Base chain, stated in an interview that AI agents are rapidly gaining autonomy and increasingly require native, programmable payment systems. Currently, approximately $48 million in payments have flowed through the x402 protocol, with about 95% of transactions occurring on the Base network. Jesse Pollak pointed out that x402, an open-source payment protocol co-developed by Coinbase in collaboration with Microsoft, Google, and Mastercard, enables on-demand API payments without the need for traditional subscription systems. Crypto infrastructure allows AI agents to move funds globally, instantly, and at low cost to pay for services such as data access, computation, or travel bookings. The long-term vision is to create an open service marketplace where software can discover and purchase digital services in real-time without human intervention.
09:12
Svmuureports that the CFTC has filed a lawsuit in the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York, aiming to prevent New York state from enforcing its gambling laws on federally regulated prediction market platforms. The CFTC argues that federal law grants it exclusive regulatory authority over such markets and is seeking a permanent injunction against New York's enforcement actions. CFTC Chairman Michael Selig stated that registered exchanges face multiple state-level lawsuits, which undermine the CFTC's sole regulatory authority over prediction markets. Previously, New York state had sued Binance and Gemini, alleging their products violated state gambling rules, and had also requested Kalshi to cease certain sports-related contracts. Currently, 37 states and Washington D.C. have submitted amicus briefs supporting Massachusetts' enforcement against Kalshi, arguing that federal law has not legalized sports betting and has not abolished the states' historical regulatory powers.
09:06
Svmuu reported that according to MLM monitoring, the TRUMP team wallet (Hv1hq...jPCZ) has deposited 15.54 million TRUMP, worth $46 million, into OKX over the past 3 weeks, accounting for 1.5% of the total supply. The price of TRUMP dropped 18% within 3 hours, down 96.8% from its peak 15 months ago.
08:43
According to a report by Iran's Mehr News Agency on the 25th, Iranian Parliament member Behnam Saeedi stated that Iran has developed a comprehensive plan for managing the Strait of Hormuz. In an interview with Mehr News Agency, Saeedi said a key component of the plan is to only recognize the name "Persian Gulf" in all correspondence and commercial documents, rejecting any other names. Ships and vessels navigating in the region must obtain permission from Iran. The sovereignty of the Strait of Hormuz will be entirely in Iran's hands. He also stated that vessels identified as belonging to hostile countries by Iran's Supreme National Security Council or the General Staff of the Armed Forces will not be allowed to pass through the Strait of Hormuz, and Israeli vessels are absolutely prohibited from transiting the area. Vessels passing through the region must pay relevant fees for security, environmental protection, maritime management, and licensing, with priority given to payment in Rials. (Xinhua News Agency)
08:28
Svmuu reported that the lending protocol Purrlend was attacked on the MegaETH and HyperEVM networks, resulting in losses of approximately $1.52 million. The attacker extracted approximately $1.2 million in assets from the HyperEVM network, including 449,683 USDC, 214,125 USDT0, 194,745 USDH, and portions of UBTC, wstHYPE, UETH, kHYPE, and WHYPE. The attacker also extracted approximately $324,000 in assets from the MegaETH network, including USDT0, WETH, and USDm. Purrlend has since paused the protocol and launched an investigation. The attacker's address has been identified on the block explorers of both networks.
08:17
According to Arkham data, the zkPass team's multi-sign address (0xEF1) transferred a total of 10,000,000 ZKP to Binance over the past 30 minutes, valued at approximately $796,100.
Currently, the circulating supply of ZKP is 268 million, and this distribution accounts for about 3.73% of the total circulating supply. ZKP is currently trading at $0.07964, with a 24-hour decline of 7.35%. Its circulating market cap now stands at $21.37 million.
zkPass team multi-sign address deposited 10 million ZKP to Binance, worth approximately $790,000
07:56
1. Fu Peng: Bitcoin perpetual contracts essentially allow large holders to collect fees while retail traders leverage long positions.
2. US media: Iran is open to negotiations with the US but insists on its right to enrich uranium.
3. Brazil bans 27 prediction market platforms including Kalshi and Polymarket.
4. Two massive whales withdraw LINK tokens worth a total of $4.67 million from Binance.
5. Zelenskyy: Ukraine is willing to hold peace negotiations with Russia in Azerbaijan, provided Russia is prepared.
6. Researcher cracks a 15-bit ECC key, earning a 1 Bitcoin reward.
7. Address associated with the FF team transfers $13 million in tokens to a new wallet.
8. a16z: Stablecoins are evolving from trading tools into core financial infrastructure, with Q1 transaction volume reaching $4.5 trillion.
9. A whale takes a 5x leveraged long position on Brent crude oil; the position is now valued at $20 million.
10. Analysis: IPOs of SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic could absorb capital and impact BTC and crypto market liquidity.
07:27
Svmuu News Fu Peng, Chief Economist at Xinhuo Group, posted on X platform stating that the underlying business model of Bitcoin perpetual contracts is essentially the same as the deferred delivery fees or overnight charges in traditional financial markets such as gold and industrial commodity spot exchanges. Fu Peng pointed out that gold exchanges once employed daily forced liquidation settlements, requiring long and short positions to pay deferred delivery fees to each other. When retail investors hold high-leverage long positions, these deferred fees become a stable source of revenue for the exchange.
Today, Bitcoin platforms rely on perpetual contracts settling funding rates every 8 hours. When long positions dominate, retail investors continuously pay fees to short positions. Although the platform does not directly collect this fee, it boosts trading activity, open interest, and liquidity, thereby indirectly generating substantial transaction fees. This model essentially functions as a business mechanism where major holders or institutions collect rent from long-term holdings, retail investors pay fees for leveraged longs, and the platform indirectly takes a cut.
07:10
Svmuu, March 25 – An official Pakistani source stated on the 25th that, compared to the first round of negotiations, Iran has adopted a tougher stance, emphasizing that any plan to end the war must be executed on Iran's terms, not on the conditions proposed by U.S. President Donald Trump. (Xinhua News Agency)
06:42
Svmuu reported that, according to the Wall Street Journal, a senior Iranian diplomat stated that Iran is open to negotiations with the United States but will not abandon its uranium enrichment activities. Iran's Ambassador to India, Mohammad Fathali, posted on social media on Saturday: "Negotiations can only yield appropriate results when our opponents recognize our right to the peaceful use of nuclear energy." The report said the US is currently seeking to have Iran suspend its uranium enrichment program for up to 20 years. (Jin Shi)
06:06
According to an official announcement, SEALCOIN has officially launched its early access campaign, “Spacedrop,” designed to provide users with an opportunity to engage with the SEALCOIN ecosystem before its full launch. Users can participate by completing tasks, earning points, minting Soulbound Tokens (SBTs), and gaining hands-on experience with the protocol’s mechanics.
It is reported that SEALCOIN is an infrastructure-focused project that integrates satellite communications with blockchain technology, aiming to enable secure and autonomous interactions between devices and digital services. By combining hardware-level identity authentication with a global connectivity layer, the project seeks to support real-world M2M (Machine-to-Machine) applications across multiple industries.
06:04
Svmuureports that Brazilian authorities have blocked 27 prediction market platforms, including Kalshi and Polymarket. Dario Durigan, Executive Secretary of the Brazilian Ministry of Finance, stated that Resolution No. 5.298 issued by the National Monetary Council will take effect in May. The new regulation classifies contracts related to sports, politics, entertainment, or social events as gambling rather than financial investments. Currently, only contracts linked to economic indicators such as inflation, interest rates, exchange rates, or commodity prices are permitted. The blocked platforms also include PredictIt, Robinhood's prediction feature, Fanatics Markets, and others. Authorities stated that this move aims to prevent the increase of household debt and mitigate financial risks.
05:57
According to monitoring by Onchain Lens, whale 0x527 (0x527...cAc2) withdrew 370,631 LINK, worth $3.48 million, from Binance. This whale currently holds 565,612 LINK, worth $5.33 million. Additionally, whale 0x526 (0x526...cBd8) withdrew 125,999 LINK, worth $1.19 million, from Binance.
05:41
Svmuu News: Ukrainian President Zelensky stated that if Russia is prepared, Ukraine is willing to hold peace negotiations in Azerbaijan. (Jinshi)
05:33
According to Svmuu, independent researcher Giancarlo Lelli was awarded the Q-Day Prize and 1 Bitcoin by quantum security startup Project Eleven for successfully cracking the encryption keys protecting Bitcoin. Giancarlo Lelli utilized publicly available quantum hardware and a variant of Shor's algorithm to crack a 15-bit encryption key among 32,767 possibilities. The difficulty of this quantum attack is 512 times greater than the 6-bit key record set in September 2025. Project Eleven CEO Alex Pruden stated that the resource requirements for such attacks continue to decline, with approximately 6.9 million Bitcoins currently held in vulnerable static addresses, including 1 million Bitcoins owned by Satoshi Nakamoto. The Bitcoin network has proposed BIP-360 to introduce quantum-resistant address types, while platforms such as Ethereum, Ripple, and Tron have also begun releasing plans for transitioning to post-quantum defenses.

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