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4/25
19:24
A 63% win-rate account purchased $310,000 on Timberwolves to beat Nuggets in NBA Playoffs Western Conference First Round G4
Svmuu Seer monitoring shows that in the Polymarket "NBA Playoffs Western Conference First Round G4 Timberwolves vs. Nuggets" prediction event, an account with a 63% win rate (address: 0x9495425feeb0c250accb89275c97587011b19a27) purchased $310,000 on Timberwolves beating Nuggets, with an average entry price of 48¢.
NBA Playoffs Western Conference First Round G4 Timberwolves vs. Nuggets will tip off at 8:30 AM Beijing time today. The series currently stands at 2-1, with the Timberwolves leading. According to the Nuggets' official injury report, Aaron Gordon (calf injury) has been upgraded to questionable. In the previous game, Gordon was sidelined due to injury, and the Nuggets lost 96-113 to the Timberwolves.
Svmuu Seer keeps a close watch on prediction markets, seeing the change before the price is set.
A 63% win-rate account purchased $310,000 on Timberwolves to beat Nuggets in NBA Playoffs Western Conference First Round G4
13:05
Polymarket shows the probability of "US-Iran holding diplomatic talks before April 30" is currently at 52%, up 6% in a short period.
Svmuu Seer Prophecy Channel monitoring shows that Polymarket data indicates the prediction probability for "US-Iran holding diplomatic talks before April 30" is currently 52%, up 6% in a short period.
According to NDTV, sources say the second round of negotiations between Iran and the US is scheduled for April 27.
Per market rules, if representatives of the US and Iran hold formal diplomatic talks before 23:59 ET on April 30, the market will resolve to "Yes." Diplomatic talks are defined as formal meetings where representatives from both sides participate in an official capacity and are authorized to do so, including indirect face-to-face meetings mediated by a third party, but excluding brief greetings or chance encounters for non-diplomatic purposes. The meeting must be face-to-face and acknowledged by the government or reported by credible media.
Svmuu Seer Prophecy Channel continuously monitors prediction markets, seeing changes before pricing.
11:30
The null address minted 99.9 million BLESS on-chain, accounting for approximately 5.15% of the circulating supply, and is continuously selling.
Svmuu reported that according to Arkham data, the null address (0x000...000) recently transferred a total of 99,900,000 BLESS, worth approximately $654,800, to a new address (0xa6a...1323) via minting.
On-chain data shows that these tokens originated directly from the initial token mint. Currently, after receiving the tokens, this address frequently engages in small or batch sales on-chain.
The current circulating supply of BLESS is 1.94B (1.94 billion tokens). The amount minted and transferred out this time accounts for approximately 5.15% of its total circulating supply. BLESS is currently trading at $0.006554, up 5.17% in the last 24 hours, with a fully diluted market cap of $12.72 million.
The null address minted 99.9 million BLESS on-chain, accounting for approximately 5.15% of the circulating supply, and is continuously selling.
10:48
Sources: Iranian Foreign Minister to Return to Islamabad on Sunday
Svmuu: According to Saudi Arabia's Al Arabiya, Pakistani sources have revealed that Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi will return to Islamabad on Sunday. This follows a report by NDTV that sources indicate the second round of Iran-US talks is scheduled for April 27. (Jinshi)
10:46
SUN's 50th Buyback and Burn Completed
Svmuu reported that, according to official announcement, the 50th round of SUN token buyback and burn has been completed. Between November 27, 2025, and April 25, 2026 (Singapore time), a total of 18,835,780.1486 SUN tokens were bought back and burned, which have been transferred to the blackhole address. Since December 15, 2021, the cumulative total burned has reached 669,522,160.92 tokens. Of this, 374,520,754.74 tokens were burned from SunSwap V2 revenue, 285,879,914.81 tokens from SunPump revenue, and 9,121,491.37 tokens from SunX revenue. SUN continues to be deflationary, with its token economic model further strengthened.
10:33
Sources: Second round of Iran-U.S. talks set for April 27
Svmuu: Sources say the second round of Iran-U.S. talks is scheduled for April 27. (Jin10)
10:07
A 49% win rate account purchased $172,000 on Thunder defeating Suns in NBA Playoffs Western Conference First Round G3
Svmuu Seer Prophecy Channel monitors that in the Polymarket "NBA Playoffs Western Conference First Round G3 Thunder vs Suns" prediction event, an account with a 49% win rate (address: 0x6ac5bb06a9eb05641fd5e82640268b92f3ab4b6e) purchased $172,000 on Thunder defeating Suns two hours ago, with an opening price of 78¢.
The NBA Playoffs Western Conference First Round G3 Thunder vs Suns will tip off tomorrow at 3:30 AM Beijing time. Leveraging their elite team defensive rotations and transition game advantages, the Thunder have steadily suppressed the Suns in the first two games, establishing a 2-0 series lead. However, the team is currently facing a critical injury setback, as core forward Jalen Williams has suffered a Grade 1 left hamstring strain and has been ruled out for the consecutive G3 and G4 games, significantly impairing the side's offensive and defensive synergy and rotation depth.
Svmuu Seer Prophecy Channel continues to follow the prediction market, seeing the changes before the pricing.
09:50
Iranian media: Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi has left Islamabad following a meeting with Pakistani officials
Svmuu News: According to Iranian media reports, Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi has left Islamabad after meeting with Pakistani officials. (Jinshi)
09:37
Aave submits a governance proposal to Arbitrum DAO, requesting the release of frozen ETH to be injected into DeFi United
Svmuu reported that Aave posted on X, stating that the Aave service provider, together with stakeholders such as Ether_fi, KelpDAO, LayerZero_Core, and compound_xyz, has submitted a governance proposal to the Arbitrum DAO. The proposal requests the release of the ETH previously frozen by the Arbitrum Security Council following the rsETH incident on April 18. If the proposal passes, the funds will be injected into DeFi United to restore the rsETH collateral assets and compensate for user losses. The proposal is now open for review and is seeking feedback from the Arbitrum community.
09:26
Binance to Adjust Tick Sizes for Multiple USDⓈ-M Perpetual Contracts in April
Svmuureports that according to an official announcement, Binance Futures will adjust the tick size (minimum price change) for several USDⓈ-M perpetual contracts on the following dates. On April 27, 2026, at 14:30 (Beijing time), adjustments will be made for RAVEUSDT (0.00001→0.0001) and TRADOORUSDT (0.001→0.0001); at 14:40, for 1000SATSUSDT (0.0000001→0.00000001); at 14:50, for DOGSUSDT (0.0000001→0.00000001). On April 29, 2026, at 14:30, adjustments will be made for CRVUSDT (0.001→0.0001); at 14:40, for GALAUSDT (0.00001→0.000001); at 14:50, for CTSIUSDT (0.0001→0.00001); at 15:00, for ICXUSDT (0.0001→0.00001). Trading for certain contracts will be suspended for approximately 1 minute during the adjustment period.
09:26
Economists: The impact of a closure of the Strait of Hormuz is poised to crush demand
Svmuu News The oil shock from the closure of the Strait of Hormuz has yet to cause a demand collapse, as wealthy nations tap into inventories and secure supplies at high prices. But traders are now warning: a severe demand contraction is imminent. Traders indicate that the longer the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, the more consumption will need to adjust downward to match a supply reduction of at least 10%. Achieving this will require people to reduce purchases, either through unaffordable prices or through government-imposed measures to curb consumption. Saad Rahim, Chief Economist at Trafigura Group, said that demand destruction is occurring in those non-visible pricing centers. This contraction is already happening, and if the situation persists, the scale of demand reduction will only grow larger. We are at a critical turning point. (Jin Shi)
09:13
Jesse Pollak: AI Agents Are the Next Wave of Crypto Payments
Svmuu reports that Jesse Pollak, head of the Base chain, stated in an interview that AI agents are rapidly gaining autonomy and increasingly require native, programmable payment systems. Currently, approximately $48 million in payments have flowed through the x402 protocol, with about 95% of transactions occurring on the Base network. Jesse Pollak pointed out that x402, an open-source payment protocol co-developed by Coinbase in collaboration with Microsoft, Google, and Mastercard, enables on-demand API payments without the need for traditional subscription systems. Crypto infrastructure allows AI agents to move funds globally, instantly, and at low cost to pay for services such as data access, computation, or travel bookings. The long-term vision is to create an open service marketplace where software can discover and purchase digital services in real-time without human intervention.
09:12
CFTC sues New York state to prevent it from applying gambling laws to prediction market applications
Svmuureports that the CFTC has filed a lawsuit in the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York, aiming to prevent New York state from enforcing its gambling laws on federally regulated prediction market platforms. The CFTC argues that federal law grants it exclusive regulatory authority over such markets and is seeking a permanent injunction against New York's enforcement actions. CFTC Chairman Michael Selig stated that registered exchanges face multiple state-level lawsuits, which undermine the CFTC's sole regulatory authority over prediction markets. Previously, New York state had sued Binance and Gemini, alleging their products violated state gambling rules, and had also requested Kalshi to cease certain sports-related contracts. Currently, 37 states and Washington D.C. have submitted amicus briefs supporting Massachusetts' enforcement against Kalshi, arguing that federal law has not legalized sports betting and has not abolished the states' historical regulatory powers.
09:06
TRUMP team wallet deposited $46 million in TRUMP to OKX over the past 3 weeks
Svmuu reported that according to MLM monitoring, the TRUMP team wallet (Hv1hq...jPCZ) has deposited 15.54 million TRUMP, worth $46 million, into OKX over the past 3 weeks, accounting for 1.5% of the total supply. The price of TRUMP dropped 18% within 3 hours, down 96.8% from its peak 15 months ago.
08:43
Iranian MP: Iran Has Formed a Comprehensive Plan for Managing the Strait of Hormuz
According to a report by Iran's Mehr News Agency on the 25th, Iranian Parliament member Behnam Saeedi stated that Iran has developed a comprehensive plan for managing the Strait of Hormuz. In an interview with Mehr News Agency, Saeedi said a key component of the plan is to only recognize the name "Persian Gulf" in all correspondence and commercial documents, rejecting any other names. Ships and vessels navigating in the region must obtain permission from Iran. The sovereignty of the Strait of Hormuz will be entirely in Iran's hands. He also stated that vessels identified as belonging to hostile countries by Iran's Supreme National Security Council or the General Staff of the Armed Forces will not be allowed to pass through the Strait of Hormuz, and Israeli vessels are absolutely prohibited from transiting the area. Vessels passing through the region must pay relevant fees for security, environmental protection, maritime management, and licensing, with priority given to payment in Rials. (Xinhua News Agency)
08:28
Lending protocol Purrlend suffered an attack, with losses of approximately $1.52 million
Svmuu reported that the lending protocol Purrlend was attacked on the MegaETH and HyperEVM networks, resulting in losses of approximately $1.52 million. The attacker extracted approximately $1.2 million in assets from the HyperEVM network, including 449,683 USDC, 214,125 USDT0, 194,745 USDH, and portions of UBTC, wstHYPE, UETH, kHYPE, and WHYPE. The attacker also extracted approximately $324,000 in assets from the MegaETH network, including USDT0, WETH, and USDm. Purrlend has since paused the protocol and launched an investigation. The attacker's address has been identified on the block explorers of both networks.
08:17
zkPass team multi-sign address deposited 10 million ZKP to Binance, worth approximately $790,000
According to Arkham data, the zkPass team's multi-sign address (0xEF1) transferred a total of 10,000,000 ZKP to Binance over the past 30 minutes, valued at approximately $796,100.
Currently, the circulating supply of ZKP is 268 million, and this distribution accounts for about 3.73% of the total circulating supply. ZKP is currently trading at $0.07964, with a 24-hour decline of 7.35%. Its circulating market cap now stands at $21.37 million.
zkPass team multi-sign address deposited 10 million ZKP to Binance, worth approximately $790,000
07:56
Svmuu Evening Brief
1. Fu Peng: Bitcoin perpetual contracts essentially allow large holders to collect fees while retail traders leverage long positions.
2. US media: Iran is open to negotiations with the US but insists on its right to enrich uranium.
3. Brazil bans 27 prediction market platforms including Kalshi and Polymarket.
4. Two massive whales withdraw LINK tokens worth a total of $4.67 million from Binance.
5. Zelenskyy: Ukraine is willing to hold peace negotiations with Russia in Azerbaijan, provided Russia is prepared.
6. Researcher cracks a 15-bit ECC key, earning a 1 Bitcoin reward.
7. Address associated with the FF team transfers $13 million in tokens to a new wallet.
8. a16z: Stablecoins are evolving from trading tools into core financial infrastructure, with Q1 transaction volume reaching $4.5 trillion.
9. A whale takes a 5x leveraged long position on Brent crude oil; the position is now valued at $20 million.
10. Analysis: IPOs of SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic could absorb capital and impact BTC and crypto market liquidity.
07:27
付鹏: The essence of Bitcoin perpetual contracts is that major holders collect rent, while retail investors pay fees for leveraged long positions
Svmuu News Fu Peng, Chief Economist at Xinhuo Group, posted on X platform stating that the underlying business model of Bitcoin perpetual contracts is essentially the same as the deferred delivery fees or overnight charges in traditional financial markets such as gold and industrial commodity spot exchanges. Fu Peng pointed out that gold exchanges once employed daily forced liquidation settlements, requiring long and short positions to pay deferred delivery fees to each other. When retail investors hold high-leverage long positions, these deferred fees become a stable source of revenue for the exchange.
Today, Bitcoin platforms rely on perpetual contracts settling funding rates every 8 hours. When long positions dominate, retail investors continuously pay fees to short positions. Although the platform does not directly collect this fee, it boosts trading activity, open interest, and liquidity, thereby indirectly generating substantial transaction fees. This model essentially functions as a business mechanism where major holders or institutions collect rent from long-term holdings, retail investors pay fees for leveraged longs, and the platform indirectly takes a cut.
07:10
Sources: Iran Takes a Tougher Stance Than in First Round of Talks
Svmuu, March 25 – An official Pakistani source stated on the 25th that, compared to the first round of negotiations, Iran has adopted a tougher stance, emphasizing that any plan to end the war must be executed on Iran's terms, not on the conditions proposed by U.S. President Donald Trump. (Xinhua News Agency)

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