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4/26
23:29
Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a net inflow of $824 million last week, marking four consecutive weeks of net inflows
Svmuu reported that according to SoSoValue data, last week's trading days (April 20 to April 24, Eastern Time) saw a net inflow of $824 million into Bitcoin spot ETFs.
The Bitcoin spot ETF with the largest net inflow last week was BlackRock's ETF IBIT, with a weekly net inflow of $733 million. IBIT's total historical net inflow now stands at $65.37 billion. The second was the Ark & 21Shares ETF ARKB, with a weekly net inflow of $59.6 million, bringing its total historical net inflow to $1.61 billion.
The Bitcoin spot ETF with the largest net outflow last week was Grayscale's Bitcoin Trust GBTC, with a weekly net outflow of $59.01 million. GBTC's total historical net outflow has now reached $26.22 billion.
As of press time, the total net asset value of Bitcoin spot ETFs is $102.64 billion, with the ETF net asset ratio (market value as a percentage of Bitcoin's total market cap) reaching 6.60%. The cumulative historical net inflow has reached $58.23 billion.
Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a net inflow of $824 million last week, marking four consecutive weeks of net inflows
23:27
United States has received Iran's new negotiation proposal
According to a report by Axios on the 26th, citing a U.S. official and two informed sources, the United States has received a new negotiation proposal from Iran, transmitted via Pakistan. The new proposal reported by Axios is broadly similar to the three-phase negotiation framework previously disclosed by Lebanon's Al Mayadeen television network. The three-phase negotiations focus sequentially on ending the war, matters concerning the Strait of Hormuz, and nuclear talks. The Axios report, citing two sources, states that Iran's new proposal first addresses resolving the Strait of Hormuz crisis and the U.S. blockade. As part of this plan, the ceasefire would be extended significantly, or all parties would agree to a permanent end to hostilities. Nuclear talks would only commence after the Strait of Hormuz is reopened and the U.S. blockade is lifted. (Xinhua News Agency)
23:19
Hubei cracks first cryptocurrency theft case, involving over 100 million yuan in funds
Svmuu News: Guo Tingyu, a cyber police officer from the Qingshan Branch of the Wuhan Public Security Bureau, participated in the investigation of Hubei's first cryptocurrency theft case. By tracking fund flows and analyzing fake wallet codes, he identified and dismantled a theft gang involving over 100 million yuan in funds. All five suspects have been apprehended.
The report states that the gang induced users to download fake cryptocurrency wallet apps to commit theft, with cumulative downloads exceeding 10,000 times. Guo Tingyu also participated in solving multiple cryptocurrency-related crime cases. (Hubei Daily)
23:17
Telegram Launches No-Code AI Bot Building Tool
Svmuu reports that Telegram has launched a no-code AI bot building tool, allowing users to obtain tokens via LobsterFather and connect to platforms like Telewer, GPTBots, and Lazy AI to create bots, supporting models such as GPT and Llama.
The tool supports configuring conversation styles, task distribution, and multi-bot collaboration, and has been integrated with Telegram Business for use in scenarios such as auto-replies, community management, and customer inquiries. (Techiexpert)
23:17
Suspected APE insider goes long on LDO with floating profit of approximately $300,000
Svmuureports that according to Lookonchain monitoring, an address suspected of being associated with APE insider trading has gone long on LDO, currently holding a cumulative floating profit of approximately $300,000.
Among them, one associated wallet has closed its LDO long position, realizing a profit of about $50,000; another wallet still holds a long position of 5.96 million LDO, with a position value of approximately $2.65 million, currently showing a floating profit of about $250,000.
23:07
Jupiter Lend raises JLP/JupUSD borrow cap to $40 million
Svmuu reports that Jupiter Lend has announced raising the JLP/JupUSD borrow cap from $25 million to $40 million, unlocking an additional $15 million in capacity for utilization.
Meanwhile, the product supports a maximum loan-to-value (LTV) ratio of 85%, with the current maximum annualized yield reaching 33.4%.
22:39
Polymarket Market Report: Top 10 Most Volatile Markets Among 20,000+, Crypto Events Account for 40%
Svmuu reports that Polysights, a third-party prediction market data platform, posted on X platform that it has analyzed over 20,000 Polymarket markets in the past 6 months and provided a volatility ranking. Key findings are as follows:
- Crypto-related markets accounted for four of the top ten, exhibiting high information asymmetry, with very few people able to make truly accurate predictions.
- Deadline anxiety phenomenon emerged, with questions involving "Will X happen by [date]" being more prone to volatility than "Who will win".
- Market outcomes tend towards "Yes" — in markets over $1 million, "Yes" outcomes occur 50% of the time, compared to only 27% overall; when markets experience extreme volatility, the final result is mostly "Yes".
- Medium-sized markets ($1 million to $7 million) represent a chaotic zone; markets above $10 million exhibit smoother price trends due to the involvement of large capital inflows.
Polymarket Market Report: Top 10 Most Volatile Markets Among 20,000+, Crypto Events Account for 40%
22:23
Research claims that price discovery in prediction markets is primarily driven by 3% of informed traders
Svmuu News: A recent paper by researchers from the London Business School and Yale University points out that the accuracy of prediction markets is not mainly due to “the wisdom of crowds,” but rather driven by a small number of informed traders. The study shows that only about 3% of accounts contribute to the majority of price discovery, and these accounts are more effective at predicting outcomes, responding to news, and improving the accuracy of market pricing.
The paper also notes that the remaining majority of participants contribute most of the trading volume, but their information content is limited, and their trading losses often flow to informed traders. The study suggests that the accuracy of prediction markets is more a reflection of the “wisdom of the informed few.”
22:19
Crypto market sees broad gains, with the RWA sector leading with nearly 5% increase, BTC breaks through $79,000
Svmuureported on April 27 that according to SoSoValue data, the crypto market is showing an overall upward trend. The RWA sector performed notably, rising 4.81% in 24 hours. Within the sector, Pendle (PENDLE) rose 7.39%, Centrifuge (CFG) rose 7.17%, while Ondo Finance (ONDO) and Keeta (KTA) rose 5.44% and 5.89% respectively. Meanwhile, Bitcoin (BTC) rose 2.36%, breaking through $79,000; Ethereum (ETH) rose 3.50%, approaching $2,400.
It is worth noting that MAG7.ssi rose 1.98%, DEFI.ssi rose 3.02%, and MEME.ssi rose 2.19%.
Other strong-performing sectors include: The NFT sector rose 3.85% in 24 hours, with Pudgy Penguins (PENGU) within the sector rising 13.10%; the DeFi sector rose 3.74%, with Lido DAO (LDO) rising 23.71%; the AI sector rose 3.56%, with OriginTrail (TRAC) rising 12.00%.
In other sectors, the Meme sector rose 2.13%, with SPX6900 (SPX) rising 9.79%; the PayFi sector rose 1.97%, with SafePal (SFP) rising 9.89%; the Layer2 sector rose 1.89%, with Celestia (TIA) rising 4.03%; the Layer1 sector rose 1.50%, with Algorand (ALGO) rising 4.16%; the CeFi sector rose 1.23%, with NEXO (NEXO) rising 1.88%.
Crypto sector indices reflecting historical sector performance show that the ssiRWA, ssiNFT, and ssiDeFi indices rose 6.37%, 4.24%, and 3.49% respectively.
Crypto market sees broad gains, with the RWA sector leading with nearly 5% increase, BTC breaks through $79,000
22:16
Kalshi Crypto Lead: Kalshi's March Volume Exceeds $13 Billion, Polymarket at ~$9.5 Billion; Blockchain Capital Partner's Data Is Incorrect
SvmuuNews: Kalshi Crypto Lead IcoBeast.eth posted on X platform to refute earlier data from Blockchain Capital partner Spencer Bogart, stating that Kalshi's March volume exceeded $13 billion, while Polymarket's volume for the same month was only about $9.5 billion. This data contradicts earlier claims. For further discussion, please directly message him or the Kalshi team. Additionally, it was mentioned that Blockchain Capital is one of Polymarket's investors.
Previous News: Blockchain Capital Partner: Polymarket's March Non-Sports Trading Volume Reached $7.5 Billion, While Kalshi's Comparable Figure Was Only $1.6 Billion
22:08
Polymarket Developers: Exchange upgrade will go live at 11:00 UTC on April 28 (19:00 Beijing time), with an expected downtime of approximately 1 hour
Polymarket official development account Polymarket Developers posted on X platform, stating that the exchange upgrade will go live at 11:00 UTC on April 28 (19:00 Beijing time), with an estimated downtime of about 1 hour. The V1 order book will be cleared, all open limit orders will be canceled, and funds and positions will remain secure. Users trading via API need to update to the latest SDK beforehand, and the v1 client will cease to function after the switch.
22:06
Blockchain Capital Partner: Polymarket’s March Non-Sports Volume Reaches $7.5 Billion, While Kalshi Records Only $1.6 Billion
Svmuu reported that Spencer Bogart, a partner at Blockchain Capital, posted on X platform, stating that the total trading volume of Kalshi and Polymarket in March was nearly flat, both at approximately $12 billion ($12.29 billion for the former and $12.22 billion for the latter). Excluding sports-related trading, Polymarket’s non-sports category volume was $7.5 billion, while Kalshi’s was only $1.6 billion. Although there are differences in positioning between the two in the prediction market, it is strange that they are still classified into the same category.
22:02
Bitlayer team address cross-chained 20 million BTR to Binance Alpha wallet, valued at approximately $670,000
Svmuu News According to on-chain data, the Bitlayer team's multi-signature address (0x8E9E...c641) conducted token cross-chain and consolidation operations yesterday. Transaction records show that the address cross-chained BTR tokens from the ETH chain to the BSC chain and then transferred a total of 20 million BTR in two transactions (5 million and 15 million respectively) to the Binance Alpha wallet address.
https://bscscan.com/tx/0x4ffd5d316c67d45c2b574473c98d8307797476476232a0a3777bc42c56f07878
https://bscscan.com/tx/0x71485961b04e5385df6408a80dad9d126234f2a5da5922b5a93338dc9dbdd7a9
According to CMC data, the current circulating supply of BTR is 333.28 million. The total amount transferred to Binance by this address accounts for approximately 6.00% of its circulating supply. BTR is currently trading at $0.03385, up 6.24% in the past 24 hours, with a circulating market cap of approximately $11.28 million.
21:36
An account with losses exceeding $3.4 million has purchased $250,000 worth of shares on the Rockets defeating the Lakers in Game 4 of the NBA Playoffs Western Conference First Round.
According to monitoring by Svmuu Seer, in the Polymarket "NBA Playoffs Western Conference First Round G4: Rockets vs. Lakers" prediction event, an account with losses exceeding $3.4 million (0x492442eab586f242b53bda933fd5de859c8a3782-1766317541188) purchased approximately $250,000 worth of shares on the Rockets defeating the Lakers. The average opening price was 59¢, the current price is 59.5¢, resulting in an unrealized profit of approximately $2,117.
In the NBA Western Conference First Round, the Lakers currently lead the Rockets 3-0. Game 4 will take place today. The Lakers' starting lineup is Ayton, Kennard, James, Hachimura, and Smart; the Rockets' starting lineup is Amen, Jabari Smith Jr., Sheppard, and Eason, Sengun. Both teams are dealing with injury issues, and the market sees some value in betting against a Rockets sweep.
Svmuu Seer continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing the changes before the price is set.
21:30
Svmuu Morning Brief
1. Japanese and South Korean stock markets both hit new highs;
2. Trump: The war with Iran will end soon, and the US will win;
3. Progress on the crypto market structure bill stalls, May 25 becomes a critical deadline;
4. Senator Tillis ends months-long blockade, clearing the way for War of the Fed chairmanship;
5. US media: Iran proposes a deal to the US to reopen the strait but delays nuclear talks;
6. An account with a 67% win rate purchased $260,000 worth of NBA playoff Western Conference first-round G4 tickets, betting on Rockets to beat the Lakers;
7. Iran proposes a three-phase negotiation plan for resolution;
8. Senior Iranian official: Ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz must pay a fee;
9. Trump speaks with UK Prime Minister, emphasizes the need to restore shipping through the Strait of Hormuz;
10. A dormant whale for 2 years deposited 300 BTC to Binance, set to profit $17.6 million from the sale;
11. The suspect in the White House Correspondents' Dinner security incident to be indicted on the 27th.
21:12
Altman Unveils Five Principles for OpenAI, Citing Potential Future Model Capability Reductions for Safety
Svmuureports: OpenAI CEO Sam Altman published the company's five operating principles under his personal signature, stating that during certain periods in the future, model capabilities accessible to users may be tightened for safety considerations, in order to balance empowerment with system resilience.
Altman stated that key decisions regarding AI should be driven through democratic processes and should not be made solely by labs. He also defended OpenAI's increased investment in computing power, construction of data centers, and vertical integration strategy. He simultaneously mentioned potential challenges such as powerful models potentially lowering the threshold for biological risks, and reiterated OpenAI's continuation of its iterative deployment strategy.
21:07
U.S. Media: Iran Proposes Deal to U.S. on Reopening the Strait, But Delays Nuclear Talks
According to a U.S. official and two sources cited by the AXIOS website, Iran has proposed a new offer to the United States, suggesting prioritizing an agreement on reopening the Strait of Hormuz and lifting the naval blockade, while postponing nuclear negotiations to a later stage. This new proposal aims to break the current stalemate in talks and circumvent internal divisions within Iran's leadership regarding the scope of nuclear concessions they are willing to make for a deal with the Trump administration. According to three U.S. officials, President Trump is expected to hold a Situation Room meeting on Monday with his senior national security and foreign policy team regarding the Iran issue. One official stated that the meeting is expected to discuss the current impasse in negotiations with Iran and possible next steps regarding the conflict. (Jinshi Data)
21:03
Whale Redeems 300,000 SOL and Transfers to Binance, Worth $26.07 Million
According to Svmuu, as monitored by crypto analyst Yu Jin (EmberCN), over the past half hour, a SOL staking whale redeemed 300,000 SOL and transferred it all to Binance, worth approximately $26.07 million.
21:01
ETH breaks above 2400 USDT, with a 24H increase of 3.68%
Svmuu reports: According to OKX market data, ETH has broken above 2400 USDT and is currently trading at 2400.15 USDT, with a 24H increase of 3.68%.
21:00
Gold Falls, Oil Rises; BTC and ETH Volatility Indexes Climb
According to the latest data from Gate, the price of gold has fallen to $4,677.81 per ounce, a daily decline of 0.69%. The price of silver has dropped to $75.025 per ounce, a daily decline of 0.84%.
The BVIX (BTC Volatility Index) is currently quoted at 41.80, up 0.31% on the day. The EVIX (ETH Volatility Index) is currently quoted at 62.19, up 0.55% on the day.
In the forex market, the USD/CNH exchange rate rose 0.04% on the day to 6.83551. The USD/JPY exchange rate rose 0.11% on the day to 159.513.
In global stock indices, the Euro Stoxx 50 (EUSTX50) rose 0.82% on the day to 5,906.71 points; the UK FTSE 100 (UK100) fell 0.11% on the day to 10,371.19 points; and the German DAX 40 (GER40) fell 0.50% on the day to 24,151.04 points.
In commodities, WTI crude oil rose 1.10% on the day to $99.08 per barrel. Brent crude oil rose 1.09% on the day to $107.73 per barrel.
Gate supports users in trading traditional financial market products directly on its platform, offering one-stop coverage for multiple asset classes including precious metals, forex, global stock CFDs, major indices, and commodities. This enables a deep integration of crypto assets with traditional financial assets. Gate's TradFi related features are now fully integrated into both the Gate App and Web interface. Users can conveniently participate in global asset price trading without switching platforms, unlocking more strategies and opportunities beyond the crypto market to continuously enhance their multi-asset portfolio experience.

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