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08:33

Analysis: BTC-backed "Digital Credit" market could reach $3 trillion in scale

Svmuu reported from Consensus Miami that executives from multiple Bitcoin treasury companies stated that "digital credit" collateralized by Bitcoin is rapidly expanding, with a long-term potential market size potentially reaching $3 trillion. Digital credit is a yield-generating financial instrument backed by Bitcoin, typically structured as perpetual preferred shares, allowing investors to earn returns while reducing the risk of BTC price volatility. This model was first initiated and promoted by Strategy, followed by companies like Strive entering the space.
Analysts estimate that the sector has already grown to approximately $10 billion in less than a year, calling it "the second fastest-growing product in the history of capital markets." The global credit market is roughly $300 trillion, and even if only 1% is penetrated by BTC credit products, it could generate around $3 trillion in demand — "a target that is not unrealistic." Currently, the number of Bitcoin treasury companies remains far below that of the traditional banking system. If BTC becomes a foundational global monetary asset, it could catalyze even larger-scale digital credit and financial system restructuring opportunities. (CoinDesk)

08:30

The number of initial jobless claims in the US for the week ending May 2 was 200,000, compared to an expected 205,000.

Svmuu reports that the number of initial jobless claims in the US for the week ending May 2 was 200,000, compared to an expected 205,000. The previous value was revised from 189,000 to 190,000. (Jin10)

08:27

Analysis: The crypto market must undergo a "shitcoin purge" for Bitcoin to start a sustainable bull market

According to Svmuu, crypto market analyst and founder of Into The Cryptoverse, Ben Cowen, stated that the crypto market is experiencing an "extinction event" for millions of altcoins, a process necessary for Bitcoin to enter a sustainable bull market cycle. He believes that the "shitcoin purge" has actually been underway since 2021, but a larger-scale clearance is still needed to restore a healthy market structure. Capital is continuously flowing from high-risk tokens to Bitcoin, with the rising BTC dominance rate serving as a clear signal.
Data shows that GeckoTerminal tracks over 25 million deployed tokens, with more than 11.6 million projects failing in 2025 alone, primarily due to the burst of the Meme coin bubble. CoinShares researcher Luke Nolan stated that the claim "95% of tokens are worthless" is reasonable.
Although Bitcoin has returned above $81,000, Ben Cowen remains cautious, believing that BTC is still in a bear market phase. He warns that if it fails to hold the key resistance level around $88,880, the price could correct to the $58,000-$62,000 range. Against the backdrop of delayed Fed rate cuts and ongoing geopolitical risks, the crypto market continues to face short-term pressure. "2026 is more likely to be a reset year rather than a year for reaching new highs." (CoinDesk)

08:24

BTC OG Insider Whale’s Representative: Market Disguises Calm as Underlying Risks Continue to Accumulate

Svmuu News: Garrett Jin, representative of the "BTC OG Insider Whale," published an analytical article titled "A Painted Ceasefire," warning crypto traders not to be lulled by the surface-level market trends. While the market appears stable, underlying risks are continuously building. He pointed out that following Trump’s visit to China, the window for a US-Iran military conflict could reopen at any time. This current ceasefire is merely a delay in confrontation, not the beginning of favorable developments. Market sentiment is currently highly optimistic, with Saudi Arabia and Iran reaching a cooperation memorandum, impressive earnings reports from tech companies, rising South Korean stocks, and Bitcoin approaching the $82,000-$83,000 range. However, macro-level hidden dangers are gradually emerging: a liquidity drought in large corporate transactions, airline bankruptcies, banks provisioning for potential war losses in advance, and Berkshire Hathaway’s cash reserves hitting a new all-time high. Garrett Jin predicts that late May could be a key turning point. If tech giants continue to exceed performance expectations, the risk window may be delayed until the July earnings season. (Garrettsignal)

08:24

Kalshi completes $1 billion funding round led by Coatue Management

Svmuu News: Prediction market platform Kalshi has announced the completion of a new $1 billion funding round, led by Coatue Management, propelling the company’s valuation to $22 billion. Kalshi is a prediction market platform that allows users to trade on the outcomes of events such as sports, politics, and weather. Since the 2024 U.S. presidential election, the platform has seen significant user growth, gradually stepping into the mainstream financial market spotlight.
Data shows that Kalshi has approximately 2 million monthly active users, with an annualized trading volume reaching $178 billion. This volume has more than tripled over the past six months, resulting in an annualized revenue exceeding $1.5 billion.
This funding round is also the third round of financing Kalshi has completed in the past seven months, with the valuation nearly doubling each time. This reflects the continued heating up of the prediction market track among institutional capital, while also accompanied by regulatory lawsuits and controversies over "insider trading." (Source: The New York Times)

08:19

Polymarket's U.S. Return Stalls: Business Lags Behind, CEO Seen as "Figurehead Manager"

Svmuureports that Polymarket, four years after exiting the U.S. market, is attempting to re-establish its domestic business. It plans to re-enter the regulatory framework by acquiring a derivatives and futures exchange that already holds a U.S. license, and has appointed Justin Hertzberg to lead its U.S. operations.
However, the latest developments indicate that Polymarket's progress in the U.S. has fallen short of expectations, with its market share significantly trailing behind its main competitor, Kalshi. It is reported that Justin Hertzberg's role within the company leans more towards being a "nominal CEO," with his primary responsibilities focused on signing regulatory documents. The actual operational and expansion capabilities of the U.S. business are limited. Overall, Polymarket's re-entry process into the U.S. market still faces dual challenges on both the regulatory and execution fronts. (The Information)

08:17

Michael Saylor: Strategy is Transforming Bitcoin into Digital Credit and Digital Equity

Svmuu reported that Michael Saylor, founder of bitcoin treasury company Strategy, posted on platform X, stating that Strategy is converting digital capital Bitcoin into digital credit (STRC) and digital equity (MSTR), further emphasizing its Bitcoin-centric capital market strategy.

08:10

Coinbase will list KAIO perpetual contract

Svmuu reported that Coinbase has announced the upcoming listing of the KAIO perpetual contract (KAIO-PERP), subject to sufficient liquidity conditions and regional availability for such trading.

08:05

Kraken acquires stablecoin infrastructure company Reap for $600 million

Svmuu reports: According to market sources, Kraken has acquired stablecoin infrastructure company Reap for $600 million.

08:03

Tether releases locally runnable medical AI model QVAC MedPsy

SvmuuTether AI Research Group has released a new generation of medical AI model QVAC MedPsy, which is designed to run locally on low-power hardware such as smartphones and wearable devices, without relying on cloud servers. Simultaneously, it outperforms several larger state-of-the-art (SOTA) models across multiple medical benchmarks.
Official data shows that the 1.7 billion parameter version of QVAC MedPsy achieved an average score of 62.62 on seven closed-set medical benchmarks, surpassing Google's MedGemma-1.5-4B-it by 11.42 points, despite having fewer than half the parameters. In real-world clinical tests like HealthBench Hard, this model even outperformed MedGemma 27B, which has nearly 16 times more parameters.
Furthermore, the 4 billion parameter version achieved an average score of 70.54, surpassing several large models nearly 7 times its size in multiple medical reasoning evaluations. Tether stated that the model achieves "small model, high performance" through post-training medical reasoning optimization, reinforcement learning, and training on high-quality medical data.
Compared to traditional cloud-based AI architectures, QVAC MedPsy also significantly reduces inference costs. Its 4 billion parameter version generates approximately 909 tokens on average, far fewer than the 2953 tokens of comparable systems, enabling lower latency and lower computational costs. The model also offers a GGUF quantized version suitable for local deployment on mobile and edge devices.
Paolo Ardoino stated that the core goal of this model is to improve model efficiency, rather than simply increasing parameter scale, enabling medical AI to run directly on hospital local systems or terminal devices, thus avoiding uploading sensitive medical data to the cloud.

08:00

Sahara AI develops AI engineering agent for industrial enterprise Motherson Group

Svmuu reported that Agentic AI company Sahara AI has announced the development of an AI engineering agent for Motherson Group, a $20 billion industrial giant. Leveraging its dual capabilities in high-quality data services and multimodal agents, Sahara AI achieved up to 97% accuracy in production testing. It integrated Motherson's decades of accumulated engineering standards and 3D models into a unified intelligent knowledge base, and built a multimodal agent that can be embedded into design software to identify 3D parts in real-time, automatically compare them against standards, and provide modification suggestions. In the next phase, the two parties will jointly launch a fully autonomous agent capable of controlling design software through natural language commands.

07:59

Anthropic's implied valuation in the on-chain Pre-IPO market surges past $1.2 trillion, surpassing OpenAI for the first time

Svmuu reported that Anthropic's implied valuation in the on-chain Pre-IPO market has instantly surged to $1.2 trillion (approximately RMB 8.7 trillion), officially surpassing OpenAI. Its current pre-IPO valuation is now about 20% higher than OpenAI's. If listed at this valuation, it would directly become the world's 11th largest publicly traded company by market cap, trailing only Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, TSMC, Broadcom, Tesla, and Saudi Aramco. (Sina Finance)

07:52

Market News: GameStop CEO's eBay Account Suspended for Promoting Takeover

Svmuu News According to market sources: GameStop CEO Ryan Cohen was banned from the platform for promoting GameStop's $56 billion acquisition offer to eBay. It is reported that Ryan Cohen listed collectibles related to the acquisition proposal on eBay, with some bids reaching thousands of dollars. Previously, GameStop had made an unsolicited acquisition proposal to eBay, despite its own market capitalization being significantly lower than eBay's. The acquisition plan has raised doubts among investors and analysts regarding funding capabilities and high debt risks. eBay's board is expected to review the proposal this week, and the market is watching whether Ryan Cohen will escalate his acquisition actions further.

07:51

The U.S. Department of Justice is investigating suspicious crude oil trades that occurred prior to the announcement regarding Donald Trump, involving approximately $2.6 billion.

Svmuu News: According to market reports, the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) is investigating a series of suspicious crude oil transactions that occurred before announcements related to President Donald Trump, involving approximately $2.6 billion. It is reported that these transactions have drawn regulatory scrutiny due to their unusually precise timing. The investigation focuses on whether insider trading or taking advantage of policy information to position in the market ahead of time was involved. Currently, the DOJ has not disclosed further details.

07:45

Claude partners with SpaceX to significantly boost computing capacity

Svmuu reports that Anthropic's Claude has announced a partnership agreement with SpaceX to significantly increase its computing capacity and raise usage limits for Claude Code and Claude API. This includes doubling the 5-hour rate limit for Claude Code in Pro, Max, and Team subscription plans; removing Claude Code rate limits during peak hours for Pro and Max plans; and substantially increasing the Opus model API rate limit. Claude will also utilize the full computing resources of the SpaceX Colossus 1 data center, with plans to add over 300 megawatts of deployment capacity within a month.

07:40

Analysis: AI Giants' Soaring Profits Propped Up by "Other Income"

Svmuu reports that AI hyperscale cloud service providers have announced strong first-quarter earnings, but for some companies, the performance was significantly boosted by a rather special line item on the income statement: "Other Income."
Alphabet recorded $37.7 billion in "Other Income" in the first three months of this year alone, accounting for more than half of its net profit for the period. Microsoft reported $942 million in other income in the first three months of this year, with a cumulative contribution of $7.2 billion from this item over the past nine months.
Oracle did not disclose any other income, while Meta posted a loss of $1.1 billion. "Other Income" represents the gains and losses from changes in the valuation of equity investments these companies hold in a large number of unlisted firms, such as OpenAI and Anthropic. Alphabet is the largest investor in Anthropic, with Amazon also being one of its major investors.
Goldman Sachs analysts wrote last week: "This quarter, profit growth for hyperscale cloud vendors was fueled by an unusually large contribution from equity investments in private companies. Alphabet and Amazon combined for $53 billion in 'Other Income' in the first quarter of 2026, accounting for nearly 60% of the two companies' profits for the quarter and 34% of the $155 billion total profit for the five major hyperscale cloud vendors this quarter. This is the highest share in at least the past decade." This once again shows that the AI tech industry has now formed a nearly absurd state of interdependence. (Jinshi)

07:37

ETH chain ecosystem token sato market cap drops below $13 million, down over 49% in 6H

According to GMGN data, the market cap of sato, a token on the ETH chain ecosystem, has dropped below $13 million, currently reported at approximately $12.92 million, with a 6-hour decline of 49.12%.
Svmuu reminds users that this token is highly volatile, and investors should be aware of the risks.

07:34

BNY Mellon increases holdings in Strategy to 1 million shares, with total position valued at approximately $187 million

Svmuu News: BNY Mellon, with $2.1 trillion in assets under management, has increased its holdings by 101,810 shares of Strategy (MSTR), a Bitcoin treasury company, with the additional stake valued at approximately $18.7 million. Currently, BNY Mellon holds a total of 1 million shares of MSTR, with the total position valued at about $187.2 million. (BTCtreasuries)

07:32

Analysis: Bitcoin Falls Back Below $81,000 After Failing to Break the 200-Day Moving Average, Historical Trend Sparks Market Caution

Svmuu reported that Bitcoin briefly approached the key 200-day simple moving average (SMA) around $83,300 on Wednesday but failed to achieve a decisive breakout, subsequently falling back below $81,000. Meanwhile, the broader crypto market weakened, with the CoinDesk Smart Contract Platform Index falling over 2% in the past 24 hours, making it the worst-performing major sector. The 200-day moving average is widely regarded by the market as a key indicator for measuring long-term trends. If BTC can hold above this level, it would further reinforce the market narrative that the bear market, which saw prices fall below $63,000 in February, has ended and a new bull market has begun.
However, a similar situation occurred historically in March 2022, when Bitcoin briefly broke above and tested the 200-day moving average before ultimately falling to around $20,000 by June of that year. As a result, some analysts are warning of the risk of a "fakeout."
Analytics firm Marex stated that Bitcoin's ability to continue its upward trajectory depends on three factors: sustained spot buying pressure, a continued tightening of exchange supply, and a derivatives market that remains healthy without overheating. If all three factors align positively, Bitcoin could quickly open up the path towards the $85,000 range. Alex Kuptsikevich, Chief Market Analyst at FxPro, noted that this pullback appears more like a brief consolidation within an uptrend rather than an end to the trend. However, he also cautioned that the daily RSI had previously entered overbought territory, and similar instances in the past were accompanied by significant corrections.
Additionally, the 10-year US Treasury yield has fallen to 4.32% from its early-month high of 4.46%, which is viewed as a potential positive factor for risk assets. (CoinDesk)

07:30

Svmuu Evening Brief

1. Opinion: The US holds economic and geopolitical advantages in its rivalry with Iran;
2. A wallet linked to BIT has deposited 403,294 HYPE (worth $17.3 million) into HyperLiquid;
3. BNY Mellon expands its digital asset custody business in Abu Dhabi;
4. Binance will cease support for deposit and withdrawal services of POND, QUICK, and VIC tokens;
5. OKX lists SPACEX/USDT, OPENAI/USDT, and ANTHROPIC/USDT Pre-IPO perpetual contracts;
6. Duan Yongping: Has fully swapped his coal stock China Shenhua Energy for pop toy company Pop Mart;
7. A whale spent $325,000 to purchase SATO, at an average market cap purchase price of $28.4 million;
8. Binance will list BILLUSDT perpetual contracts on May 7, with up to 20x leverage;
9. Analyst: After Nvidia's monopoly on the AI chip market for two years, AMD is catching up with its CPUs;
10. 1inch: Not related to the TrustedVolumes security incident; protocol and user funds are unaffected.

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