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09:17

Polymarket Merges Cross-Chain Bridge Deposit Recovery Tool

According to the official documentation of the prediction market platform Polymarket, the Bridge Deposit page has consolidated the previously separate Ethereum and Polygon deposit recovery tools into a single tool, and removed the original "matic-recovery[.]polymarket[.]com" link.

09:16

Hassett: We'll see interest rate cuts this year because of Federal Reserve Chair nominee Warsh

Svmuu reported that White House National Economic Council Director Hassett said, "I think we will see interest rate cuts this year, as Fed chair nominee Kevin Warsh is supportive." (Jin Shi)

09:15

哈塞特: No signs of inflation spiraling out of control, the Fed does not need to raise interest rates

Svmuu reported that Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council, stated that employment data over the past two months has been strong, and the job market is "hot." People should leverage AI tools to protect their career security. Data shows that people are using AI tools at work, and we are now witnessing AI creating jobs, with positions related to artificial intelligence being the fastest-growing. Despite the impact of oil prices and employment data, core inflation remains stable. There are no signs of inflation spiraling out of control, and the Fed does not need to raise interest rates (Jin Shi)

09:13

Federal funds futures pricing indicates that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged for the remainder of the year

Svmuu reported that according to CME's "FedWatch" data, federal funds futures still indicate that investors expect the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates unchanged for a considerable period into next year. Following the release of a stronger-than-expected employment report, the market's probability expectation that rates will remain unchanged until December slightly decreased from 73.1% just before the data release to 71.8%. Meanwhile, expectations for a rate hike or cut have edged up slightly. (Jinshi)

09:10

“Fed Whisperer”: Nonfarm payrolls mean Fed’s focus will shift from employment to inflation

Svmuu reported that “Fed Whisperer” Nick Timiraos said four months ago, a major issue facing the Federal Reserve was whether it needed to continue cutting interest rates to support the seemingly faltering labor market. That issue no longer exists today. The labor market has stabilized, and due to tariffs and the impact of the Iran conflict, inflation is shifting from its previous decline to a renewed uptick.
The April nonfarm payrolls report highlights this shift in outlook and signals that, as the market judges the next policy direction of the Fed, which is currently firmly on hold, the focus will clearly turn to inflation data.
April hiring activity remained steady, the unemployment rate was unchanged, and income growth remained robust—none of which provide a reason to cut rates. With the labor market giving the Fed room to continue waiting, the next step in policy discussions will be when and how to move toward "neutral"—where the likelihood of a rate hike and a rate cut becomes roughly equal. The answer may depend almost entirely on future inflation data. (Jinshi)

09:03

U.S. forces attacked several oil tankers attempting to break through the blockade

Svmuu News: The US military conducted additional airstrikes today, hitting several empty oil tankers attempting to break the blockade. According to a senior US official, these were Very Large Crude Carriers (VLCCs), massive empty vessels trying to return to Iran and break the blockade. (Jin Shi)

09:01

Australia Police Seize $4.1 Million in Bitcoin Linked to Dark Web Drug and Weapons Trafficking

According to Svmuu, the New South Wales Police in Australia have seized 52.3 Bitcoin, valued at $4.1 million, following a 15-month investigation. This marks one of the largest operations against dark web crypto crime in Australia in recent years. The traced assets originated from local dark web markets in Sydney, linked to proceeds from illegal drug and weapons trading. Police have arrested two involved men, who will appear in court in separate sessions. The seizure comes amid a tightening of crypto regulations in Australia, with AUSTRAC ramping up anti-money laundering checks on local exchanges and over-the-counter crypto service providers. A new legal framework for digital assets has also been implemented, and from 2027, crypto platforms will be formally included in the financial licensing regulatory system to strictly address cryptocurrency-related crimes and money laundering risks. (Cointelegraph)

08:57

Nonfarm payroll data shows limited change in expectations for the Fed's near-term interest rate decisions

According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in June is 94.9% (96.9% before the release), and the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate cut is 5.1% (3.1% before the release). For July, the probability of the Fed maintaining rates unchanged is 88.8% (90.7% before the release), the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point cut is 10.8% (9.1% before the release), and the probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point cut is 0.4% (0.2% before the release).

08:54

Nonfarm payroll data did not put pressure on rate cuts, U.S. Treasury yields fell instead of rising

SvmuuNews: Despite higher-than-expected U.S. nonfarm employment growth and former President Trump downplaying renewed tensions with Iran as "a small matter," U.S. Treasury yields still declined. The unemployment rate remained flat at 4.3%, posing no pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. However, wage growth came in below expectations, moving in the opposite direction to employment data, potentially easing inflationary pressures. This trend continued following the data release. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield stood at 4.374%, lower than yesterday's 4.393%; the 2-year Treasury yield fell from 3.918% to 3.899%. (Jin Shi)

08:53

Analysis: Nonfarm Data Supports Current Market Positioning, Reducing Urgency for Further Fed Tightening

Svmuu News Capital.com Senior Market Analyst Daniela Hathorn stated that the latest U.S. employment report adds an interesting dimension to the current market backdrop. On the surface, nonfarm payroll data came in stronger than expected, but the details are more complex. "From a market perspective, this combination supports current market positioning. It reduces the urgency for further tightening by the Federal Reserve, yet the data is not weak enough to trigger recession concerns."
Against the backdrop of high oil prices and rising geopolitical risks, this is a relatively 'Goldilocks' outcome." However, it also reinforces the judgment that the market's current pricing already reflects the best-case scenario of resilient growth, contained inflation, and manageable geopolitical impacts. (Jin Shi)

08:50

Analysis: If US Labor Force Participation Rate Remains at 2024 Levels, Unemployment Rate Could Reach 5.3%

Svmuu News According to financial website Investing.com's commentary on the US Nonfarm Payrolls report: The US labor force participation rate continued to decline in April, falling to 61.8%. If this figure remained at its 2024 level, the US unemployment rate would be 5.3%, not 4.3%.
Market analyst Ye Xie stated that the labor market has stabilized recently since late last year, entering a state of "low layoffs, low hiring." Today's employment report did not change this assessment.
Jordan Rochester, Head of EMEA Fixed Income, FX and Commodities Strategy at Mizuho Bank, wrote that overall payroll figures were better than expected, but wage growth was weaker, and the trend of slowing employment growth over the past three months remains unchanged. The unemployment rate held steady again, making it difficult for the market to believe that the labor market has slowed sufficiently to support the logic of rate cuts this year. Apart from ruling out the more dovish scenarios previously highlighted by some analysts, this data is not substantial enough to push the market significantly in either direction. (Jin Shi)

08:46

分析：Strong Nonfarm Payrolls Make Fed Rate Cuts More Difficult to Achieve

According to Svmuu, interest rate strategist Ira Jersey commented that stronger-than-expected nonfarm payroll data highlights that the US is far from a recession. It is difficult to see the Fed choosing to cut rates under these circumstances. Given that the interest rate market has largely priced out any expectations of a rate cut, we do not expect significant fluctuations in US Treasury yields. (Jin10)

08:39

Pentagon Launches UFO Archive, First Batch of Declassified Documents Now Available for Review

Svmuu News: The Pentagon has launched a public UFO (Unidentified Flying Object) archive website and released the first batch of declassified documents, covering materials related to extraterrestrial life, UAP (Unidentified Anomalous Phenomena), and historical UFO sighting events.
Currently, on the prediction market Predict.fun, the probability that the United States will confirm the existence of aliens by December 31, 2026, is reported at 21%, with a trading volume of approximately $1.23 million.

08:38

Analysis: US April nonfarm payrolls add 115,000, beating expectations for the second consecutive month

Svmuu reported that data released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics on Friday showed the U.S. economy added 115,000 jobs in April, surpassing Wall Street expectations for the second consecutive month. This figure is lower than the upwardly revised 185,000 jobs added in March, but higher than the 65,000 expected by economists in an institutional survey.
In recent months, U.S. employment data has been volatile, swinging between significant gains and sharp declines, making it difficult for analysts to assess the overall health of the economy. Although the unemployment rate remains relatively low, divisions within the Federal Reserve are growing over how to respond to the energy shock triggered by the conflict with Iran, as policymakers debate its potential impact on the economy.
Some officials are concerned that rising inflation could coincide with a climbing unemployment rate, forming a stagflationary pattern as consumers cut spending, leading employers to lay off workers. Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack stated on Thursday that if companies see demand for their products is no longer strong, it could mean they will reduce hiring.
For now, essentially everyone who wants a job can find one. However, if demand-side pressure mounts, then the employment side of the Fed's dual mandate could be at risk. Therefore, significant uncertainty currently exists. (Jin Shi)

08:35

U.S. interest rate futures indicate a slight decline in the probability of a rate hike in 2026 Federal Reserve

Svmuu News: U.S. interest rate futures show a slight decrease in the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026. (Jin 10)

08:33

The combined nonfarm payroll additions for February and March in the U.S. were revised down by a total of 16,000 people

Svmuu News: According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, total nonfarm payroll employment for February was revised down by 23,000, from -133,000 to -156,000; while the figure for March was revised up by 7,000, from +178,000 to +185,000. After these revisions, the combined employment numbers for February and March decreased by 16,000 compared to previously published data. (Jin Shi)

08:32

Analysis: U.S. April Unemployment Rate Stable and In Line with Expectations, Spot Gold Rebounds

Svmuu reported that the U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 115,000 in April after seasonal adjustment, significantly declining as expected but surpassing the market expectation of a 62,000 increase. The U.S. unemployment rate in April was 4.3%, unchanged from the previous month and in line with market expectations. Spot gold dipped slightly in the short term before rebounding, fluctuating over $10, now trading at $4,709.26 per ounce. (Jin Shi)

08:30

The U.S. unemployment rate in April was 4.3%, compared with a forecast of 4.30%

Svmuu: U.S. unemployment rate for April stands at 4.3%, compared to the expected 4.30% and the previous 4.30%. (Jin Shi)

08:30

The U.S. seasonally adjusted non-farm payroll employment for April was 115,000, compared to the expected 62,000

Svmuu, April's seasonally adjusted non-farm payroll employment came in at 115,000, far exceeding the expected 62,000. The previous month's figure was revised upward from 178,000 to 185,000. (Jin Shi)

08:23

Before the nonfarm payroll data release, the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in June was 96.9%

Svmuureports that before the release of the nonfarm payroll data, according to the CME "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in June is 3.1%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 96.9%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed by July is 9.1%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 90.7%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 0.2%.

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