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5/30

01:14

Polymarket“Strategy Likely to Sell Bitcoin Before May 31” Probability Drops to 23%, Down 17% in 24 Hours

Svmuu Seer Channel monitoring shows that the probability on Polymarket of “Strategy selling Bitcoin before May 31” has dropped to 23%, a 17% decline in 24 hours.
Additionally, the probability of a sale before June 30 stands at 67%, down 6% in 24 hours; the probability before December 31 is 88%, down 3% in 24 hours.
Strategy withdrew 411 BTC from Coinbase today, exactly the same amount as the deposit made the previous day, seemingly dispelling rumors of a Bitcoin sale.
Svmuu Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, observing changes before the price is set.

00:52

Ethereum spot ETFs saw a total net outflow of $17.9112 million yesterday, marking a 14th consecutive day of net outflows

Svmuu reports that according to SoSoValue data, yesterday (Eastern Time, May 29) Ethereum spot ETFs recorded a total net outflow of $17.9112 million.
The Ethereum spot ETF with the highest single-day net inflow was Fidelity's FETH, with a net inflow of $10.5337 million, bringing FETH's total historical net inflow to $2.153 billion.
Next was Blackrock's Staked ETH ETF, ETHB, with a single-day net inflow of $9.3242 million, bringing ETHB's total historical net inflow to $531 million.
The Ethereum spot ETF with the largest single-day net outflow was Blackrock's ETHA, with a net outflow of $40.7173 million, bringing ETHA's total historical net inflow to $11.435 billion.
As of press time, the total net asset value of Ethereum spot ETFs stands at $11.266 billion, with the ETF net asset ratio (market cap relative to Ethereum's total market cap) reaching 4.63%. The cumulative historical net inflow has hit $11.374 billion.

Ethereum spot ETFs saw a total net outflow of $17.9112 million yesterday, marking a 14th consecutive day of net outflows

00:51

Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a total net outflow of $125 million yesterday, marking a 10-day streak of net outflows

According to SoSoValue data, as of yesterday (Eastern Time, May 29), Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a total net outflow of $125 million.
The Bitcoin spot ETF with the largest single-day net outflow was Blackrock's ETF IBIT, which saw a net outflow of $68.1994 million. IBIT's historical total net inflow now stands at $63.807 billion.
This was followed by Fidelity's ETF FBTC, with a single-day net outflow of $31.9473 million, bringing FBTC's historical total net inflow to $10.595 billion.
As of press time, the total net asset value of Bitcoin spot ETFs stands at $94.169 billion, with the ETF net asset ratio (market cap relative to Bitcoin's total market cap) at 6.38%. The historical cumulative net inflow has reached $55.663 billion.

Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a total net outflow of $125 million yesterday, marking a 10-day streak of net outflows

00:37

“New Stock God” Serenity: AAOI, SIVE, Foci, and Shunsin Are the 4 Stocks with the Best Risk-Reward Ratio at Current Levels

Svmuu reported that “New Stock God” Serenity shared on platform X his top 4 most favored stocks currently: AAOI, SIVE, Foci, and Shunsin, stating that at their current market capitalizations, these targets offer the best risk-reward ratio.
He indicated that AAOI benefits from capacity expansion in 2027 and growing demand for silicon photonics; SIVE’s photonics business revenue pipeline is growing rapidly with high profit margins; Foci is a key participant in the NVIDIA and TSMC FAU supply chain; and Shunsin is deeply involved in the CPO and photonics packaging business undertaken by Foxconn, yet its related value has not been fully priced in by the market.
Additionally, Serenity listed XFAB as a “runner-up” target, believing it stands to benefit from the EU's Chips Act 2 and the development of the silicon photonics industry.

00:26

Ethereum OG Sold $136 Million in ETH and wstETH Over the Past Week

Svmuu reports that, according to Lookonchain monitoring, an early Ethereum participant has been continuously reducing their ETH holdings.
Data shows that over the past week, this address sold a total of 55,000 ETH and 9,442 wstETH, with a total value of approximately $136.25 million, at an average sale price of around $2,041 per ETH.

00:21

NBA star Tristan Thompson opens 50x short on HYPE at entry price of $66.95

NBA star Tristan Thompson said on social media this morning that he has opened a short position on HYPE.
According to details, the trade is a short-term bearish operation. He shorted HYPE with 50x leverage at $66.95, with a stop-loss set near $68.
Tristan Thompson stated that he remains bullish on HYPE in higher timeframes, but expects a possible short-term pullback, hence opting for an intraday or short-cycle short trade.

5/29

23:46

Iranian Media: Iran Rejects Western Ultimatum-Style Rhetoric, Eyes New Order in the Strait of Hormuz

According to a report by Svmuu, citing Iran's Mehr News Agency, Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesman Baghaei has explicitly rejected the ultimatum-style rhetoric directed at Iran by Western nations. He declared that the American naval blockade has been illegal from the start and confirmed that since March 1st, the Strait of Hormuz has been operating under Iran's special measures. Baghaei categorically rejected any use of the words "should" and "must" by the West towards Iran, stating that Iran makes its decisions based on the interests and rights of its own people. Discussing the American naval blockade, Baghaei's legal characterization was precise. He stated the blockade has been illegal from its inception, violating ceasefire agreements and disrupting freedom of navigation. Baghaei confirmed that since March 1st, the Strait of Hormuz has been operating under Iran's special measures, with commercial vessels requiring coordination with Iranian authorities for passage. He emphasized the role of the coastal states, Iran and Oman, in managing the future of the waterway, stating that both countries take a responsible stance in safeguarding security and national interests while providing guarantees to the international community regarding safe maritime navigation. He concluded by noting that the lessons learned under the recent special circumstances cannot be ignored, and that whatever mechanism is established between Iran and Oman will be designed to simultaneously serve the national security of both countries and the safety of international shipping. (Jin Shi)

23:37

Bitdeer sold 206.2 BTC this week, maintaining zero holdings

Svmuu reported that Nasdaq-listed Bitcoin mining company Bitdeer disclosed its latest Bitcoin holdings data on platform X. In the week ending May 29, Bitdeer mined a total of 206.2 BTC and sold the same amount of 206.2 BTC during the same period, resulting in a net increase of 0 BTC in holdings.
The data shows that Bitdeer currently maintains a Bitcoin holding status of zero.

23:20

White House: Trump in Excellent Health, All Body Functions Perform Robustly

Svmuu reports that according to a White House memo, U.S. President Trump is in excellent health, with his heart, lungs, nervous system, and overall physical functions all performing robustly. (Jin Shi)

23:12

Former Ukrainian Police Officer Kidnaps Crypto Entrepreneur for $2.2 Million Ransom; Investigation into Gang Completed

SvmuuNews A group of former police officers in Ukraine allegedly kidnapped a cryptocurrency entrepreneur, extorting approximately $2.2 million through violence, intimidation, and fabricated debts.
Prosecutors stated that the gang targeted at least four victims, utilizing their law enforcement experience, official vehicles, and impersonation of police officers to commit the crimes. The Kyiv Regional Prosecutor's Office announced that the pre-trial investigation has been completed. The suspects include four former police officers and one civilian with a prior criminal record, though they have not yet been formally charged in connection with these cases.
Reports indicate that this case occurs amid a global rise in "wrench attacks" (using physical violence to coerce victims into handing over digital assets) targeting cryptocurrency holders. (Decrypt)

22:33

U.S. SOL Spot ETF Sees Net Inflow of $1.3167 Million in a Single Day

Svmuu reports that according to SoSoValue data, yesterday (Eastern Time, May 29) the total net inflow into SOL spot ETFs was $1.3167 million in a single day.
The SOL spot ETF with the highest net inflow yesterday was the Fidelity Solana Fund ETF (FSOL), recording a net inflow of $1.2059 million. Its total historical net inflow has now reached $187 million.
This was followed by the Bitwise Solana Staking ETF (BSOL), with a net inflow of $0.1108 million in a single day. Its total historical net inflow has now reached $905 million.
As of press time, the total net asset value of SOL spot ETFs stands at $944 million, with a SOL net asset ratio of 1.98%. The cumulative historical net inflow has reached $1.133 billion.

22:33

a16z-affiliated whale buys another $14.5M in HYPE today, cumulative holdings reach $193M

Svmuureports that according to Lookonchain monitoring, an a16z-affiliated whale purchased another 226,121 HYPE today, worth approximately $14.5 million.
Data shows that since April 14, the whale has accumulated a total of 3.9 million HYPE, worth approximately $192.6 million, with an average purchase price of around $49.4.

22:31

Strategy repurchases 411 BTC, Polymarket’s probability of selling coins this year still stands at 89%

According to monitoring by crypto analyst Ai Yi (@ai_9684xtpa), Strategy withdrew 411 BTC from Coinbase three hours ago, exactly matching the 411 BTC it transferred to Coinbase the previous day.
Ai Yi noted that this move may indicate previous market speculation about Strategy selling Bitcoin was unfounded. However, the probability of the prediction event "Strategy will sell BTC before the end of the year" on Polymarket has not significantly declined, and it currently remains at 89%.

21:39

With a profit of $8.19 million, Hyperliquid’s largest Micron tech long position was closed for profit.

Svmuu: Hyperliquid’s largest Micron Technology long position has been closed for profit, with a position value of $21 million. Entering at $575 and taking profit at $956, it earned $8.19 million.

21:38

Svmuu Morning Brief

1. U.S. CFTC Issues 24/7 Trading Regulatory Guidance: Crypto Derivatives More Suited to Around-the-Clock Trading;
2. U.S. Treasury Imposes New Sanctions on Iran, Adding 8 Individuals and 5 Entities to the List;
3. Yili Hua: Opportunity and Trend are Core Factors in Investment; Influx into AI is Normal;
4. Agent of "1011 Insider Whale": Crypto Market Funds Flowing to AI Assets; Recovery Requires Liquidity Restart in New Cycle;
5. U.S. CFTC Approves Kalshi to List Bitcoin Perpetual Contracts;
6. U.S. CFTC Classifies Crypto Perpetual Contracts as Overseas Futures, Issues No-Action Letter for Coinbase Related Business;
7. Bitwise CIO: HYPE is Already a "Second-Generation" Cryptocurrency;
8. Brookings Scholar Warns of CLARITY Act Risks: U.S. CFTC May Face Dilemma of Substantive Regulatory Void;
9. Michael Saylor: CFTC Guidance Will Drive Development of Bitcoin Capital Markets;
10. Musk Denies Reports That SpaceX Lowered IPO Valuation Target to at Least $1.8 Trillion;
11. NYSE Parent Company ICE Pushes for 24/7 On-Chain Perpetual Contracts, Calls on Regulators to Create a Fair Environment;
12. Danish Pension Fund Blacklists SpaceX: Governance Concerns and Severely Overvalued;
13. Arkham: Nakamoto's Bitcoin Holdings Market Cap Falls Over 35%, Becoming the Worst-Performing BTC Treasury Company to Date.

21:05

US stock market closed with a broad rise in crypto-related stocks, with BNB Network up over 14.06%

According to data from MSX.COM, at the US stock market close, the Dow Jones rose 0.72%, the S&P 500 rose 0.22%, the Nasdaq rose 0.2%, and the VIX fear index fell 2.67%. Crypto-related stocks saw broad gains, with BNB Network up 14.06%, Robinhood up 11.15%, American Bitcoin up 7.62%, Strategy up 4.91%, and Circle up 4.4%.
It is reported that MSX is a leading RWA trading platform, having listed hundreds of RWA tokens, covering US stocks and ETF token targets including AAPL, AMZN, GOOGL, META, MSFT, NFLX, NVDA, and others.

20:48

The U.S. Treasury Department has imposed new sanctions on Iran, adding eight individuals and five entities to the sanctions list

Svmuu reported that the U.S. Department of the Treasury announced on the 29th that, as part of "Operation Economic Fury," individuals and entities from multiple countries linked to Iran have been added to a new sanctions list to continue applying economic pressure on Iran. The Treasury stated that the Office of Foreign Assets Control, in coordination with the U.S. Department of Commerce and the FBI's Los Angeles Field Office, took action against a procurement network based in Iran that allegedly used "fake identities and defrauded U.S. companies" to procure goods for U.S.-sanctioned users, including Iran's Ministry of Defense and Armed Forces. On the same day, according to Iranian sources, the sanctions announced by the U.S. Treasury's Office of Foreign Assets Control target eight individuals and five entities.

20:46

Approximately $50.56 million worth of ETH—believed to belong to a new Bitmine wallet—was received from Kraken.

Svmuu: A newly created wallet has received 25,000 ETH from Kraken, worth approximately $50.56 million, and the wallet likely belongs to Bitmine.

20:44

US XRP Spot ETF Sees Single-Day Net Inflow of $11.8794 Million

According to SoSoValue data, yesterday (Eastern Time, May 29), the XRP spot ETF recorded a total net inflow of $11.8794 million in a single day.
The XRP spot ETF with the largest net inflow yesterday was the Bitwise XRP ETF (XRP), which saw a net inflow of $7.3571 million, bringing its total historical net inflow to $471 million.
This was followed by the Canary XRP ETF (XRPC), with a single-day net inflow of $2.3779 million, bringing its total historical net inflow to $454 million.
As of press time, the total net asset value of XRP spot ETFs stands at $1.123 billion, with an XRP net asset ratio of 1.37%. The historical cumulative net inflow has reached $1.423 billion.

20:02

U.S. Treasury Secretary Says Approximately $1 Billion in Iranian Crypto Assets Seized

Svmuu reports that U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has stated that since the outbreak of the conflict in February, the U.S. government has seized a substantial amount of cryptocurrency assets from entities linked to the Iranian military, valued at approximately $1 billion. Scott Bessent also indicated that the U.S. has taken direct control of the relevant wallets, and some holders may not yet be aware that their assets have been seized.

Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has been accused this month of promoting a maritime insurance platform called Hormuz Safe, which settles payments in Bitcoin. Iran had also previously planned to require oil tankers passing through the Strait of Hormuz to pay transit fees in Bitcoin. Scott Bessent did not directly link this seizure to the aforementioned arrangements, nor did he specify whether Bitcoin was involved.

Separate allegations claim that Iran-linked actors have used Tether's USDT stablecoin to transfer funds, and that the IRGC has reportedly received $1.5 billion in USDT.

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