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6/17
14:21
Svmuu News Federal Reserve The dot plot shows that, of the 19 officials, only 18 submitted dot plot projections for 2026 and 2027, and only 17 submitted projections for 2028.Prior to the release of the dot plot at Federal Reserve, the market had already anticipated that the newly appointed Federal Reserve Chair, Wash, would not submit a dot plot projection. It is currently unclear which Federal Reserve official followed Wash’s lead and did not submit a dot plot projection for 2028. (Jin Shi)
14:17
Svmuu News Federal Reserve The dot plot shows that 1 person believes there should be 3 interest rate hikes in 2026 (compared to 0 in March), 5 people believe there should be 2 interest rate hikes in 2026 (compared to 0 in March),3 people believe there should be one rate hike in 2026 (compared to 0 in March), and 8 people believe interest rates should remain unchanged in 2026 (compared to 7 in March),1 person believes there should be 1 rate cut in 2026 (7 in March),0 people believe there should be 2 rate cuts in 2026 (compared to 2 in March), 0 people believe there should be 3 rate cuts in 2026 (compared to 2 in March), and 0 people believe there should be 4 rate cuts(1 person in March). Overall, the number of people supporting interest rate hikes in 2026 rose sharply to 9, including one who supports an aggressive 75-basis-point hike, while the number supporting rate cuts fell sharply to 1. (Jinshi)
14:11
Svmuu News: Nick Timiraos, “Federal Reserve’s Voice,” comments on the Federal Reserve interest rate decision: This Federal Reserve dot plot shows a clear hawkish bias.Among the 18 officials, 9 expect at least one rate hike this year, with 6 of them even anticipating multiple hikes. In contrast, only one official expects a rate cut this year; additionally, one participant (presumed to be Federal Reserve Chair Wash) did not submit a Summary of Economic Projections (SEP). Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve’s policy statement was comprehensively revised from start to finish, and the text was significantly shortened. Overall, the communication framework for this meeting has undergone a significant change, and market expectations regarding the interest rate path may be recalibrated as a result. (Jin Shi)
14:06
Svmuu News Federal Reserve The dot plot shows that, of the 19 officials, only 18 submitted dot plot projections. Among the 18 officials, one believed that cumulative interest rate hikes of 75 basis points should be implemented for the remainder of 2026,5 believed there should be a cumulative increase of 50 basis points, 3 believed there should be a cumulative increase of 25 basis points, 8 believed rates should remain unchanged, and 1 believed there should be a cumulative cut of 25 basis points. (Jinshi)
14:06
Svmuu News: The CEO of Strive posted on X, stating that Bitcoin is the company’s minimum return benchmark. His view is that, measured by simple total return, investing in the companies operating Bitcoin over the next 10 to 15 years will likely struggle to outperform Bitcoin itself.However, supporting the Bitcoin network is important, and Bitcoin is a core asset in its treasury. Part of this involves helping Bitcoin operating companies grow and succeed. As the balance sheet continues to expand, it may be worth considering investing in Bitcoin companies on a relatively small scale relative to the balance sheet to help drive the success of the native Bitcoin.
14:05
Svmuu News: The market now fully expects Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points before the end of the year. (Jin Shi)
14:02
Svmuu News Federal Reserve FOMC Statement: 9 of the 18 FOMC participants expect interest rate hikes in 2026. (Jin Shi)
14:01
Svmuu News Federal Reserve For the fourth consecutive meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) kept the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 3.50%–3.75%, in line with market expectations. (Jin Shi)
12:59
Svmuu News: Haseeb Qureshi, Managing Partner at Dragonfly, posted on X that while it was previously believed that the gap between open-source and proprietary models would continue to widen due to data gaps, hardware disparities, and increasing restrictions on data refinement, this view was incorrect, Zhipu has reached a new level, with its models performing exceptionally well in benchmark tests and receiving strong early user feedback.
12:49
Svmuu News: U.S. President Donald Trump delivered remarks on Wednesday following the conclusion of the G7 summit in France, defending the agreement reached between the United States and Iran and stating that he did not want to see the war in the Middle East continue, as that could trigger an economic disaster. Speaking in the French lakeside resort town of Evian-les-Bains, Donald Trump said: “‘The one thing I want to avoid most is an economic disaster. If this conflict continues, that is entirely possible.’Donald Trump said he did not want to become another Herbert Hoover. Hoover was serving as U.S. president when the stock market crashed in October 1929, an event that wiped out billions of dollars in wealth and ultimately triggered the economic crisis later known as the “Great Depression.” (Jin Shi)
12:34
Svmuu News: According to market reports: European Central Bank (ECB), President Lagarde, has directly blocked Binance from accessing Europe in order to support the promotion of the digital euro.
12:25
Svmuu News: Satori Finance, a multi-chain decentralized exchange backed by Polychain Capital, Coinbase Ventures, and other investors, has announced that it will cease operations and begin the shutdown process. The company stated that due to “prolonged adverse market conditions,” the platform’s revenue is insufficient to sustain ongoing operations, and it has therefore decided to gradually wind down its business.Users must complete asset withdrawals by 23:59 UTC on July 16; after that, the platform will no longer be accessible. In 2022, Satori Finance completed a $10 million seed funding round led by Polychain Capital, with participation from Coinbase Ventures, Jump Crypto, and others. The platform was deployed across multiple networks, including Arbitrum,Optimism, and BNB Chain, and at one point promoted 25x leverage and a “point mining” incentive model. (The Block)
12:19
Svmuu News Donald Trump reports that the agreement reached with Iran will be signed tomorrow or the day after tomorrow. It may be signed on Friday. If an agreement with Iran is not reached within 60 days, the bombing will resume.We do not want to bomb Iran again, but we may have to. A copy of the memorandum of understanding has been sent to Israel, in which Iran agrees not to produce or acquire nuclear weapons. (Jin Shi)
12:17
Svmuu News: According to OKX data, BTC has broken through 66,000 USDT and is currently trading at 66,005.1 USDT, up 0.3% over the past 24 hours.
12:06
Svmuu News: According to an official announcement, Coinbase has announced that it will list Re (RE).
12:03
Svmuu News Donald Trump reports that the Strait will soon be fully reopened and that the Iran deal is a very strong agreement. (Jin Shi)
11:57
Svmuu News: Nick Timiraos of “Federal Reserve” notes that there are three key points to watch in the “Federal Reserve” meeting, which Wash is chairing for the first time: 1. Will the phrase “dovish bias” be removed? If so, what will replace it?Since 2024, the phrase regarding “further adjustments” in policy statements has consistently signaled to the public that the next interest rate move is more likely to be a cut than a hike. This phrasing sparked controversy at the last “Federal Reserve” meeting and now appears somewhat untenable.Removing it would satisfy all parties: hawks want it gone, and Wash could tout the move as a reform rather than a signal of a shift toward a hawkish stance. Even Donald Trump foreshadowed this move at Wash’s swearing-in ceremony. 2. Will the “dot plot” take over as the guiding tool? Who will forecast rate hikes? Federal Reserve will release its first interest rate projections since March; at that time, 12 of the 19 officials expected at least one rate cut in 2026. Now, most do not expect any rate cuts;I’m watching to see how many predict a rate hike—and whether Wash, a long-time skeptic of the dot plot, will submit his own forecast or downplay its significance by abstaining from the vote. 3. How will Wash communicate at the press conference? Federal Reserve The chairman’s remarks can only move the markets if people believe he commands a majority—that is, that his words represent the committee’s direction, not just his personal views. Wash leads a divided group that is not necessarily entirely under his control.If he can faithfully convey his colleagues’ views, he can begin to establish his authority to speak on their behalf; conversely, if he fails to do so, his colleagues will express their own positions elsewhere—for example, by casting dissenting votes. Under a chair who tends to minimize signaling, those “dissenting votes” themselves may become tools for conveying signals. (Jin Shi)
11:54
Svmuu News: The asset management division of JPMorgan Chase is urging investors to continue holding stocks and other high-risk assets in the second half of 2026. The firm said that despite persistent inflation and Federal Reserve’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged, the AI investment boom and consumer resilience will support the U.S. economy’s continued expansion.There is growing market concern that this year’s sharp rally in U.S. stocks has left the market vulnerable to a correction. The firm, which manages $4.3 trillion in assets, noted that economic growth momentum is strengthening as companies increase investment in AI infrastructure. Meanwhile, driven by the wealth effect resulting from rising stock and home prices, high-income consumers continue to spend.In its mid-2026 outlook, JPMorgan Asset Management stated that bonds are once again becoming attractive due to persistently high yields, and that emerging markets are becoming increasingly integrated with Asia’s chip supply chains. To achieve investment diversification, the firm recommends that investors select defensive assets such as real estate, infrastructure, and transportation, while also directing their attention to the European and Japanese markets.(Jin Shi)
11:51
Svmuu News: Adam, a macro researcher at Greeks.live, wrote that SpaceX’s stock price volatility has recently intensified significantly. Although its market capitalization is approximately $2.5 trillion, daily price fluctuations of about 10% have become the norm due to its low-float structure—a level equivalent to “the intraday fluctuation in the market capitalization of a large publicly traded company.” SpaceX’s trading structure essentially follows a “low liquidity, high valuation” model, which makes it easier for marginal trading to amplify price volatility; this structure shares similarities with the liquidity characteristics of the crypto market. Volatility in the crypto market continues to decline, with implied volatility (IV) falling by approximately 10% compared to last week. This low-volatility environment has persisted for about half a year, and the market as a whole remains in a compressed state.
11:49
Svmuu News: Receipts Depositary Corporation (RDC), an issuer of digital asset and alternative asset depositary receipts, announced the completion of a new $7 million funding round led by LiveOak Ventures, with participation from Hivemind Capital, Onigiri Capital, OTC Markets Group, GTS, and Redbeard Ventures. The new funds are intended to accelerate the development of digital asset depositary receipt products and provide U.S. investors with compliant securitization products and infrastructure services across multiple asset classes. (PRNewswire)

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