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6/25
08:20
Ahead of the PCE data release, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in July stands at 65.8%
Svmuu News: According to CME’s “Federal Reserve”: Federal Reserve The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 65.8%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 34.2%. Federal Reserve The probability of rates remaining unchanged through September is 32%, while the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate hike is 50.5% and the probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point rate hike is 17.6%.
08:19
Sharplink Signs Securities Purchase Agreement to Raise $75 Million to Expand Its ETH Reserves and Repurchase Company Stock
Svmuu News Nasdaq Listed Ethereum Treasury company Sharplink announced that it has signed a securities purchase agreement to sell 10,013,400 shares of common stock and warrants corresponding to 10,013,400 shares of common stock,raising a total of approximately $75 million. The proceeds will be used for working capital, to continue accumulating ETH assets, and to repurchase the company’s shares under its share repurchase program.
Sharplink also disclosed that as of June 16, the company held a total of 875,776 ETH. (B2i)
08:18
Deputy Governor of the Central Bank: Step Up Efforts to Combat Money Laundering Involving Virtual Currencies; Over 2,000 Money Laundering Cases Were Sentenced Last Year
Svmuu News: According to an article published on the WeChat official account People's Bank of China (PBOC), Xuan Changneng, Deputy Governor of the People's Bank of China (PBOC), stated that China’s anti-money laundering efforts have entered a new phase of high-quality development, with significant results achieved in combating money laundering and related criminal activities.In 2025, the number of cases nationwide in which defendants were convicted of money laundering under Article 191 of the Criminal Law exceeded 2,000. Efforts have been intensified to combat professional money laundering, virtual currency money laundering, and cross-border money laundering activities, while improving the quality and efficiency of investigations, prosecutions, and sentencing for money laundering crimes.
Criminal syndicates exploit differences and loopholes in legal systems and regulatory rules across different countries and regions to engage in arbitrage, using straw accounts, wash trading,and virtual currencies to conceal the flow of funds, posing new challenges to financial regulation and law enforcement efforts in various countries. This also creates an urgent need for enhanced cross-border coordination and cooperation among nations in areas such as intelligence sharing, case investigations, and asset recovery.
08:14
Messi Joins the Global “Billionaire Club”: He Has Dabbled in NFTs and Invested in Soccer-Themed Blockchain Gaming Companies Such as Sorare
Svmuu News: Messi officially joined the global “billionaire club” in June of this year, with a net worth of $1.1 billion. Among his achievements are investments in the crypto and blockchain sectors; he has ventured into the NFT (non-fungible token) space, issued digital collectibles, and positioned himself in the metaverse economy. Additionally, he has invested in blockchain-based soccer gaming companies such as Sorare, as well as tech startups. Since 2014, Messi has never fallen out of the top five on Forbes’ list of the world’s highest-paid athletes, and he topped the list in 2019 and 2022. (Forbes)
08:09
Bitcoin Panic in the derivatives market is mounting; core PCE may become a key catalyst for market movements
Svmuu News: Currently, Bitcoin risk appetite in the derivatives market has weakened significantly; investors are paying high premiums to hedge against downside risks, and overall market sentiment has approached panic levels.Institutional analysts note that the key catalyst for a short-term market rebound will be the release of the U.S. May core PCE price index at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time.
The market consensus forecast is for a 3.4% year-over-year increase in the May core PCE, a slight rise from April’s 3.3% and the highest level since late 2023.As a key inflation indicator monitored by Federal Reserve, if the actual data comes in below market expectations, it will reinforce the market’s view that inflation is continuing to cool, reducing the likelihood of further rate hikes by Federal Reserve. Improved liquidity expectations are expected to rapidly restore sentiment toward risk assets such as Bitcoin, sparking a sentiment-driven rebound. (Coindesk)
08:06
MemeCore has yet to respond to the community’s dissatisfaction over the token’s sharp decline; ZachXBT had previously questioned whether the high valuation might have been driven by internal funding.
Svmuu News: MemeCore’s ecosystem token, M, has experienced a sharp decline, with its market capitalization evaporating by nearly $3 billion in a single day. The project has yet to issue a public response to the token’s plunge, sparking discontent within the community. “On-chain detective” ZachXBT had previously raised concerns, suggesting that the M token’s high valuation might be driven by internal funds. Spot trading of M is primarily concentrated on a handful of exchanges, and its market buzz stems in part from trading volume generated by the platform where the token launched, as well as social media promotional campaigns driven by incentive mechanisms.
Market analysts believe that when such highly valued tokens are concentrated among internal holders, have limited trading channels, and lack sufficient actual buying interest, they may face rapid declines due to liquidity shortages when selling pressure arises. (CoinDesk)
08:03
Opinion: If U.S. PCE comes in stronger than expected, it could reverse the optimism sparked by Micron’s earnings report
Svmuu News: Ipek Ozkadskaya, senior market analyst at Ruixin Bank, said, “If the PCE data comes in stronger than expected, it could further encourage Federal Reserve to adopt a hawkish stance and reverse the market optimism that emerged following the release of tech earnings reports Micron.”” Özkağeskaya added that as tech giants continue to pile on debt to pursue their AI ambitions, this could reignite concerns about rising borrowing costs. (Jin Shi)
07:58
Serenity Takes an In-Depth Look at Tech Giants’ AI Strategies: Bullish on Amazon’s Growth Path; Microsoft, and Meta Need to Prove the Necessity of Their Capital Investments
Svmuu News: Serenity, known as the “White-Haired Stock Guru,” posted on X that the market should not interpret the AI capital expenditures of big tech companies as “capital being drained,”but rather that these investments are more accurately aimed at achieving large-scale revenue growth or margin improvements in the future. Her top pick at the moment is Amazon, which she believes is one of the clearest examples of AI transformation among hyperscale cloud service providers,In the future, the company may use large language models to enable autonomous delivery, warehouse robotics, and automation in logistics and transportation to reduce operating costs. Meanwhile, Amazon is driving revenue growth by expanding AWS’s computing power infrastructure and may enter the AI chip sales market with its in-house Trainium chip.
Serenity believes that Google ranks second among tech giants in terms of AI strategy; its AI capital investment is aimed at protecting the moat around its search business, while Google Cloud, leveraging the computational power of TPUs, also possesses chip commercialization potential similar to that of NVIDIA GPUs.Regarding Microsoft and Meta, Serenity notes that both companies still need to prove to the market the necessity of large-scale AI capital investments. Market sentiment toward Microsoft has been weak recently due to delays in the development of its in-house AI chip, Maia, as well as the impact on its AI development pace resulting from its partnership with OpenAI.
07:54
OpenAI and Anthropic have taken a relatively cautious approach to visual AI, leaving room for competition, while xAI has launched an upgraded video model, betting on the image generation market.
Svmuu News: Sources familiar with the matter reveal that xAI is increasing its investment in video and image generation tools in an effort to establish a competitive edge in multimodal capabilities. In contrast, OpenAI and Anthropic have taken a more conservative approach to visual generation, leaving room for xAI to make inroads. It is reported that xAI launched an upgraded video model last week, underscoring its continued progress in visual generation, even as it seeks external partnerships in areas such as encoding to counter its competitors. Sources indicate that xAI is working to boost user engagement and virality for its AI video tools, viewing them as a key driver for product competition in the next phase, while SpaceX has also publicly endorsed and highlighted the popularity of its AI video tools. (The Information)
07:51
U.S. Secretary of State: Israel and Lebanon Are Close to Reaching a Preliminary Agreement
Svmuu News: U.S. Secretary of State Rubio stated that Israel and Lebanon are close to reaching a preliminary agreement, but if Iran uses the funds to support its proxies, the deal will be null and void. The fact that U.S. Vice President Vance is leading the negotiations with Iran demonstrates the administration’s serious commitment.
Furthermore, following a meeting with ministers from the Gulf Cooperation Council, U.S. Secretary of State Rubio said, “We held a very productive meeting. The Gulf states expressed some serious concerns. Oman indicated that it does not support the imposition of a toll system on the Strait of Hormuz.”The Gulf states are completely opposed to imposing tolls in the Strait. “Fees” and “tolls” are one and the same. Establishing a toll system in the Strait of Hormuz is not feasible. It is unclear whether the Iranian funds held by Qatar have been transferred, and the $300 billion reconstruction fund was not discussed at the Gulf Cooperation Council meeting.
If negotiations with Iran fail to yield results, Donald Trump has a variety of options. The United States is closely monitoring the situation in Israel and Lebanon. We hope Lebanon will have a peaceful future, and we are about to facilitate a memorandum of understanding between the two countries. (Jin Shi)
07:48
Cloud computing startup Runpod raises $100 million in funding
Svmuu News: Cloud computing startup Runpod announced that it has secured $100 million in funding and stated that it has rejected multiple acquisition offers. Specific details about the investors have not yet been disclosed. The company focuses on providing developers with GPU computing power rental services and supports the deployment of open-source models and AI applications.Currently, this sector generally relies on NVIDIA GPU servers to provide computing resources. As AI applications expand, market demand for low-cost, highly scalable computing infrastructure continues to rise, driving up both the valuations and funding activity of cloud service providers like Runpod. (The Information)
07:47
Analysis: Micron May Be Entering a New Valuation Framework Based on the Logic of “Higher Profits, Higher Valuations”
Svmuu News: Deep Value Memetics published an analysis on X, noting that Micron (Micron) may currently be exhibiting an atypical semiconductor valuation structure: while earnings per share (EPS) are rising, the market’s valuation multiples are expanding in tandem.
Currently, Micron trades at a PE ratio of approximately 22x, which is below the S&P 500’s (SPY) average of about 22x and significantly lower than the Semiconductor Index’s (SOX) level of approximately 26x. In past cycles, analysts typically assigned lower valuation multiples during the peak earnings phase.However, as the “de-risking” process progresses, this “show-me” narrative is shifting, and the market may be entering a new phase of “EPS growth → valuation multiple expansion,” leading to an exponential revaluation.If EPS reaches $200 and is valued at 20 times, Micron’s stock price could rise to around $4,000.
07:45
AI data analytics platform Polysights has raised $1.5 million in a Pre-Seed funding round, with YZi Labs and others participating
Svmuu News: Polysights, an AI-powered data analytics platform backed by Polymarket, announced the completion of a $1.5 million pre-seed funding round, with participation from YZi Labs, Maven11, Varys Capital, Contribution Capital, and Edge Ventures. The platform is currently in the beta phase, and the new funding will support its use of AI technology to detect wallet clustering behavior, market anomalies, and potential signs of insider trading, providing data analysis support to traders, research institutions, and institutional investors. (CNBC)
07:43
Animoca Brands Makes Strategic Investment in AllScale to Explore Stablecoin Payments and AI-Powered Payment Infrastructure
Svmuu News: Animoca Brands has announced a strategic investment in AllScale, a stablecoin payment infrastructure company. The specific investment amount has not been disclosed. The company will explore the application of stablecoin payment solutions across Animoca Brands’ portfolio of more than 600 companies and advance autonomous payment scenarios for AI agents.
07:43
OpenAI has entered into a multi-year partnership with Getty, a leading stock photo agency, to provide licensed images to ChatGPT
Svmuu News: OpenAI has announced a multi-year partnership with Getty Images, a leading provider of image copyrights, to integrate its licensed visual content into ChatGPT’s search and discovery features. Getty Images had previously sued AI companies over copyright issues related to AI training data, though the progress of those lawsuits has not fully met expectations. As AI-generated content capabilities improve, the core value of media and copyright agencies is shifting from individual works themselves to “compliant, licensed content libraries” and the distribution channels through which content enters AI products. Copyright disputes will continue, but commercial partnerships are emerging as a key direction for the integration of the AI and content industries. (Forbes)
07:41
Analysis: A rebound in tech stocks has boosted risk sentiment, and the Bitcoin has rebounded slightly after hitting a recent low.
Svmuu News: Following Micron’s release of optimistic financial results and Qualcomm’s positive earnings outlook, sentiment in the tech sector has clearly improved, driving a rebound in market risk appetite and easing previous concerns about a cooling in AI-related trading. Bitcoin Driven by this, the price rebounded after hitting a 20-month low, rising 0.3% to $61,106, having earlier dipped to $59,062 during the session.Market attention has now shifted to the upcoming U.S. PCE inflation data, which may influence expectations for the Federal Reserve’s future interest rate policy and further shape the performance of risk assets.
07:38
Mixed Results for Private Equity Funds: Investors Who Bet on AI and Tech Stocks Reaped Huge Profits, While Funds Like Yunzhou Capital and Banxia Investment Saw Their Assets Shrink
Svmuu News: Amid the “tech bull market” in the A-share market, capital is accelerating its flow into the AI industry chain, leading to a marked divergence within the private equity sector. Some institutions with heavy exposure to AI and computing power have outperformed, while discretionary private equity firms that failed to keep pace with the market are facing declines in net asset value and shrinking assets under management. Data shows that Yunzhou Capital, a discretionary private equity firm that once managed assets worth 10 billion yuan, has seen its assets under management drop below 5 billion yuan. Previously, long-established 10-billion-yuan private equity firms such as Banxia Investment and Tongben Investment also experienced declines in their asset sizes. Li Bei, founder of Banxia Investment, responded to the drawdowns in her funds by stating that she is unwilling to blindly follow the AI trend, believing that the conditions for an AI bubble to burst have already emerged. Industry observers believe that whether or not a fund can keep pace with the AI industry chain has become the key factor distinguishing the performance of discretionary private equity funds. (Caixin)
07:37
ZachXBT: Polish Social Worker Who Attacked Hacker “Merry” Reportedly Subjected to a Police Raid and Investigation
Svmuu News: According to a post by “On-Chain Detective” ZachXBT on his personal channel, Polish social engineering attacker Wojtek Kulisz (online alias “Merry”) was reportedly raided and investigated by Polish law enforcement recently, along with three other individuals who were taken into custody. Although official press releases did not disclose his name or photograph, several pieces of designer clothing and jewelry displayed on his public Instagram account, “wojtekk,” closely match the items seized during the police operation. The case is being led by Poland’s Central Bureau for Combating Cybercrime (CBZC), with assistance from agencies such as the FBI and HSI.
07:37
Analysis: Bitcoins have fallen to the $62,000 range, prompting market skepticism about the “pain point effect” theory in options trading
Svmuu News Bitcoin As the price continues to weaken ahead of the expiration of $10 billion in options—trading well below the much-discussed “Max Pain” price of $72,000—doubts about the validity of this theory are once again intensifying.The “Max Pain Theory” posits that option sellers may manipulate the market to push the underlying asset’s price toward the Max Pain level, causing option buyers to incur maximum losses at expiration and thereby maximizing the sellers’ profits.This theory previously garnered market attention when Bitcoin approached the relevant price range ahead of certain monthly and quarterly option expiries. However, Bitcoin has recently fallen from approximately $67,000 to below $60,000—a trend that has not converged toward $72,000 but has instead diverged from the theory’s predictions.Jasper De Maere, an over-the-counter trader at Wintermute, noted that despite the massive scale of this options expiration, the market has not exhibited any significant price anchoring recently.
However, the market remains vigilant regarding the volatility risks associated with this options expiration. Deribit previously stated that the June quarterly options expiration is one of the larger liquidity events of the year, and the expiration or rollover of a large number of contracts to subsequent cycles could lead to increased short-term market volatility. (CoinDesk)
07:30
Svmuu Evening Brief
1. Analyst: Micron’s earnings boost overall market sentiment in the tech sector;
2. SBI Group acquires Bitbank for $289 million;
3. Countdown to SK Hynix’s U.S. IPO: $30 billion fundraising may trigger a valuation reassessment;
4. The top three companies on the Hurun Global Unicorn List are all investing in large language models;
5. Jefferies: Samsung is likely to follow SK Hynix’s lead and list in the U.S. via ADRs;
6. The “October 11 insider whale” has incurred floating losses of over $18.55 million on BTC long positions, with the liquidation price currently reported at $16,964;
7. A newly created wallet withdrew 17,675 ETH, worth $28.58 million, from Binance;
8. Stock markets in Japan and South Korea closed higher across the board, with the Japanese market hitting a new closing high;
9. Micron Technology (MU.O) surged 18% in U.S. pre-market trading, with several major banks raising their price targets;
10. Reaching a historic high, Bitcoin long-term holding addresses now hold 79% of the circulating supply.

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