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6/25

09:14

a16z crypto: Prediction market trading volume has set new records for three consecutive weeks, with weekly trading volume rising to $14.4 billion

Svmuu News: Data released by a16z crypto shows that trading volume in prediction markets has hit a record high for the third consecutive week. Last week, total market trading volume reached $14.4 billion for the first time, a significant increase from the approximately $5–6 billion seen at the beginning of the year, while the previous record high of about $10 billion had been set just one week earlier. In addition, open interest rose to $1.6 billion, setting a new all-time high for the third consecutive week, indicating that the pace of new position openings continues to outpace the pace of position closures, and that market exposure is steadily expanding. Growth has been particularly significant in non-sports markets—covering areas such as macroeconomics and breaking news—where combined trading volume on Kalshi and Polymarket reached $3.6 billion last week, already surpassing the total size of all prediction market categories from last year.

09:14

A "smart money" bettor placed a $282,000 bet that Germany would not defeat Ecuador in the World Cup group stage.

According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, in the Polymarket prediction event for “Germany vs. Ecuador in Matchday 3 of Group E of the 2026 World Cup,” smart money generated profits exceeding $11.73 million (Address: 0x204f72f35326db932158cba6adff0b9a1da95e14) purchased over $282,000 worth of bets on “Germany failing to defeat Ecuador,” with an average entry price of 36.5¢, with a current unrealized profit of approximately $1,392.
This match will take place at 04:00 Beijing Time on June 26, Germany has already secured a spot in the knockout stage with two consecutive wins, while Ecuador, with one draw, one loss, and zero goals scored, must win to have even the slightest chance of advancing. Germany may make extensive lineup changes for the final group stage match, and their starting center back Schlotterbeck is out due to injury.
The Svmuu Seer channel continuously monitors the prediction market, spotting changes before prices are set.

09:05

Spark and Uniswap have jointly launched “FX Layer,” a stablecoin exchange infrastructure backed by $150 million in liquidity.

Svmuu News: Spark and Uniswap have announced a partnership to launch “FX Layer,” an institutional-grade stablecoin exchange system designed to enable low-slippage, high-efficiency swaps between USD-pegged tokens.Built on Uniswap v4, the system serves as a shared liquidity and trading infrastructure, enabling stablecoin issuers—such as banks, fintech companies, and payment institutions—to access a unified exchange network without having to set up their own liquidity pools or market-making systems.
In terms of architectural division of labor, Spark is responsible for the liquidity orchestration and governance coordination layer (FX orchestration layer), while Uniswap provides the underlying programmable automated market maker (AMM) framework.As a launch initiative, Spark will migrate approximately $150 million in liquidity from its USDS ecosystem to Uniswap v4 to establish foundational exchange pools for USDS, Tether (USDT), and PayPal’s PYUSD.Analysts believe this partnership is driven by the accelerating issuance of institutional stablecoins and heightened expectations for market expansion following the passage of the GENIUS Act. As the total market capitalization of stablecoins grows, cross-issuer interoperability is becoming a core infrastructure requirement. (The Block)

09:00

U.S. first-quarter GDP growth was revised upward from 1.6% to 2.1%

Svmuu News: The latest data released by the U.S. government on Thursday showed that the U.S. economy grew at a faster pace in the first quarter of this year than the previously estimated 1.6%. According to data from the U.S. Department of Commerce, real GDP grew at an annualized quarterly rate of 2.1% in the first quarter, after adjusting for seasonal and inflation factors. The Department of Commerce stated that this was primarily due to a downward revision in the growth rate of imports during the first quarter. The growth rate of consumer spending was also revised downward. The final figure for real personal consumption expenditures in the first quarter was 0.5% on a quarterly basis, marking the slowest growth rate in four years. (Jin Shi)

08:56

Pre-Market Highlights for U.S. Stocks: Short Bets on SpaceX Continue to Rise; NVIDIA's In-House 800V HVDC Cabinet

Svmuu News: Here are the key U.S. stock market financial headlines investors should focus on today:
1. Futures for the three major U.S. stock indices are all trading higher. Dow Jones futures are up 0.32%, S&P 500 futures are up 0.85%, and Nasdaq-100 futures are up 2.40%.
2. International oil prices fluctuated lower during the day. WTI crude oil futures fell 1.21% to $69.489 per barrel; Brent crude oil futures fell 0.80% to $73.279 per barrel.
3. International spot gold and silver prices saw a short-term rally. Spot gold rose 0.33% to $4,012.04 per ounce; spot silver rose 1.38% to $58.20 per ounce.
4. IBM unveiled the world’s first sub-1-nanometer (less than 1 nanometer) chip technology. Using a “nanostack” 3D transistor architecture, it integrates nearly 100 billion transistors onto a chip the size of a fingernail, with the new chip design delivering up to a 50% performance boost.
5. NVIDIA is reportedly actively developing its own 800V HVDC Power Rack solution, with the goal of completing inventory preparations by the third quarter of 2026; actual large-scale adoption is currently estimated to occur in 2028.
6. Qualcomm officially unveiled its High-Bandwidth Computing (HBC) architecture for the AI data center market.The first-generation HBC is expected to begin commercial testing in mid-2027, with the second-generation HBC potentially launching in 2028. Qualcomm’s stock surged more than 10% in pre-market trading.
7. Short bets on SpaceX continue to increase.
8. Apple has raised prices significantly due to a memory shortage, with price increases of up to 20% across multiple Mac and iPad models.
9. The U.S. core PCE index for May rose 3.4% year-over-year and 0.3% month-over-month, in line with market expectations. Traders have scaled back their bets on an interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve.

08:52

Neurometric AI Raises $4 Million in Funding; Everywhere.vc and Other Investors Participate

Svmuu News: Neurometric AI, an AI infrastructure company, announced that it has completed a $4 million funding round, with participation from Betaworks, ex-Ante, Everywhere.vc, and other investors. The company has simultaneously launched an automated token engineering platform, which is primarily designed to coordinate and optimize the operational workload of AI agents, enabling end-to-end cost control and performance improvements for these agents. This addresses industry pain points such as excessive token consumption and inefficient computing power scheduling that arise during the large-scale deployment of AI agents. It is reported that the entire $4 million raised in this round will be used to expand the engineering development team and the cutting-edge AI research team. (PRNewswire)

08:51

NVIDIA Launch of “Halos for Robotics,” a Full-Stack Security System for Physical AI Robots

Svmuu News NVIDIA NVIDIA has officially announced the launch of NVIDIA Halos for Robotics, a full-stack security system designed for robots and Physical AI. It aims to seamlessly integrate AI computing capabilities with robot safety architectures to accelerate the large-scale deployment of next-generation autonomous robots in factories, warehouses, and logistics settings.According to reports, humanoid robotics company Agility Robotics is among the first to adopt NVIDIA Halos for Robotics, implementing it in the safety system of its humanoid robot, Digit.

08:47

Rosen Law Firm is investigating Michael Saylor’s company, Strategy, in connection with alleged securities misrepresentation charges

Svmuu News: Rosen Law Firm has announced that it is launching an investigation into Michael Saylor’s companies Strategy (MSTR) and STRC regarding potential securities law claims. According to the firm, Strategy “may have disseminated materially misleading business information to the investing public,” and it is therefore assessing the losses incurred by affected investors and potential legal liability.

08:46

Financial markets are betting on an interest rate hike as early as September, followed by a possible second hike

Svmuu News: Driven by rising energy prices resulting from the conflict in the Middle East, U.S. inflation continued to climb in May, with the annual PCE inflation rate surpassing the 4% threshold for the first time in three years—a development that could bring the Federal Reserve closer to raising interest rates this year.Data released Thursday by the U.S. Department of Commerce showed that the year-over-year U.S. PCE price index for May stood at 4.1%, marking the largest increase since April 2023 and the first time the figure has exceeded 4.0%. The U.S.-led war against Iran has driven up oil prices, which in turn has pushed up gasoline prices.
Although crude oil and gasoline prices have retreated in recent weeks following a fragile ceasefire agreement, economists expect inflation to remain elevated for some time. Even before this conflict, consumers were already grappling with rising prices triggered by Donald Trump’s sweeping import tariffs. Federal Reserve Last week, the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged in the 3.50%–3.75% range, but updated quarterly forecasts indicate that policymakers, driven by growing concerns over inflation, expect to raise rates this year. Financial markets are betting on a rate hike as early as September, followed by a possible second hike. (Jin Shi)

08:42

Apple: Rapid Expansion of AI Data Centers Drives Surge in Memory Demand

Svmuu News: Apple stated that the rapid expansion of artificial intelligence data centers has led to a surge in demand for memory, prompting the company to raise prices on products such as Macs and iPads to address the memory shortage. Apple said it has never seen component prices rise so rapidly and will do everything in its power to find solutions to address the current situation. (Jin Shi)

08:41

U.S. stock index futures extended their gains as PCE data came in largely in line with expectations

Svmuu News: According to data from MSX.COM, U.S. stock index futures extended their gains as PCE data largely met expectations, bolstering market hopes that the Federal Reserve would not adopt an overly hawkish stance.A report from the U.S. Department of Commerce showed that the PCE rose 0.4% month-over-month in May, while economists surveyed by Reuters had expected a 0.5% increase. The year-over-year increase was 4.1%, in line with expectations. Core PCE rose 0.3% month-over-month, in line with expectations; the year-over-year increase was 3.4%.

08:38

SUI Group Expands Strategic Partnership with Bluefin, Providing an Additional 4 Million SUI in Loans to Support the DeFi Ecosystem

Svmuu News Nasdaq Listed company SUI Group Holdings Limited announced the expansion of its strategic lending partnership with Bluefin, a decentralized exchange within the Sui ecosystem.Under the amended digital currency loan agreement, SUI Group will lend an additional 4 million SUI to Bluefin, bringing the total loan amount to 6 million SUI.At the same time, the company has raised the revenue-sharing ratio from the original 5% to 11%, payable in SUI. The additional funds will be used to support Bluefin’s participation in the Bluewater-led financing transaction to acquire Suilend, the largest lending and DeFi platform on the Sui chain. (Businesswire)

08:37

OpenAI’s Pre-IPO Financial Structure Draws Attention: Asset-Light Financial Statements May Face Scrutiny from Capital Markets

Svmuu News: As OpenAI prepares for its IPO, its unique financial structure may come under further scrutiny from investors and the market. Based on publicly disclosed financial data, OpenAI exhibits the financial characteristics of a low-debt software company. As of March 31, 2026, the company’s balance sheet showed zero debt and lease liabilities of less than $750 million. At the same time, although OpenAI is currently one of the tech companies most reliant on hardware infrastructure, its cash flow statement shows that the company’s capital expenditures for the quarter were only about $46 million. This “asset-light” financial performance contrasts with OpenAI’s actual business model.
Analysts believe that if OpenAI is to move forward with its IPO, investors will likely focus on evaluating the asset structure underlying its financial statements, as well as how the company maintains capital efficiency while rapidly expanding its AI infrastructure. (The Information)

08:33

The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note fell following the release of the data, and the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) dropped by more than 10 points in the short term.

Svmuu News: According to Gate data, the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury note fell following the release of the data, latest at 4.392%, down 0.59 basis points. The yield spread between the U.S. 2-year and 10-year Treasury notes stood at +26.3 basis points. The yield on the U.S. 2-year Treasury note has recently fallen by 1.41 basis points to 4.123%. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has dipped by more than 10 points in short-term trading and is currently at 101.64.

08:32

Spot gold has surged by nearly $30 in the short term and is currently trading at $4,010 per ounce.

Svmuu News: According to Gate data, following the release of U.S. PCE figures, spot gold surged by nearly $30 in a short period and is currently trading at $4,010 per ounce.

08:31

The U.S. core PCE annual rate rose slightly to 3.4%, in line with market expectations.

Svmuu News: The U.S. core PCE price index for May came in at 3.4% year-over-year, in line with market expectations, marking its highest level since October 2023.
The U.S. core PCE price index for May rose 0.3% month-over-month, compared with an expected 0.30%; the previous reading was revised upward from 0.20% to 0.3%.
The U.S. PCE price index for May rose 0.4% month-over-month, compared with an expected 0.50%; the previous reading was 0.40%. (Jin Shi)

08:31

In the week ending June 20, initial jobless claims in the U.S. totaled 215,000, compared with an expected 225,000.

Svmuu News: In the week ending June 20, initial jobless claims in the U.S. totaled 215,000, compared with an expected 225,000; the previous figure was revised from 226,000 to 227,000. (Jin Shi)

08:28

Hong Kong's Securities and Futures Commission Adds Aurum/Aurum Foundation to List of Suspicious Virtual Asset Trading Platforms

Svmuu News: The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) announced that it has added Aurum/Aurum Foundation to its list of suspicious virtual asset trading platforms. The SFC stated that the company claims to be registered in Hong Kong under the Companies Ordinance and offers trading services for virtual assets, futures contracts, and derivatives on its website; however, the company has not been licensed by the SFC and is suspected of conducting unlicensed activities.

08:26

Cantor Equity Partners I Postpones Shareholder Vote on Merger with Bitcoin Standard Treasury

Svmuu News: Cantor Equity Partners I announced that it has postponed the shareholder vote on its proposed merger with the Bitcoin Standard Treasury Company, led by Adam Back; the vote is now expected to take place on July 2. Analysts believe this postponement means the transaction process will be delayed compared to the original schedule, and the market will continue to monitor the parties’ subsequent integration progress and potential structural adjustments. (The Block)

08:20

Ahead of the PCE data release, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in July stands at 65.8%

Svmuu News: According to CME’s “Federal Reserve”: Federal Reserve The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 65.8%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 34.2%. Federal Reserve The probability of rates remaining unchanged through September is 32%, while the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate hike is 50.5% and the probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point rate hike is 17.6%.

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