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7/2

08:24

Ahead of the nonfarm payrolls report, the Federal Reserve's probability of keeping interest rates unchanged in July stands at 68.5%.

Svmuu News: According to CME’s “Federal Reserve”: Federal Reserve The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 68.5%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 31.5%. Federal Reserve The probability of rates remaining unchanged through September is 35.7%, while the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate hike is 49.2%, and the probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point rate hike is 15.1%. Federal Reserve The probability of interest rates remaining unchanged through October is 27.8%; the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 46.2%; the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 50 basis points is 22.6%; and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 75 basis points is 3.3%.

08:20

The Wall Street Journal: Nonfarm Payrolls Expected to Rise by 115,000; Unemployment Rate Expected to Remain Steady

Svmuu News: Traders and investors will be closely watching the June nonfarm payrolls report, which is set to be released later today. Economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal forecast 115,000 new jobs for June, but analysts warn that the figure may be influenced by short-term hiring related to the World Cup. This figure would be lower than the 172,000 jobs added in May. The unemployment rate is expected to remain at 4.3%. Human resources firm ADP said this week that hiring growth among private-sector employers in June was slightly below expectations. (Jin Shi)

08:15

Micron Tech and SanDisk shares rose in premarket trading, and futures for the three major U.S. stock indices reversed their earlier losses

Svmuu News: According to data from MSX.COM, futures for the three major U.S. stock indices have reversed their earlier losses and are now all trading higher. Shares of Micron, and SanDisk rose in premarket trading, recovering from losses of more than 4% to turn positive; both are currently up more than 1%.Shares of computing power leasing companies Nebius and CoreWeave turned positive in premarket trading, rising 3% and 2%, respectively. On the previous trading day, they closed down 17% and 14%, respectively.

08:13

A "smart money" bettor placed a $112,000 bet on Spain to win the World Cup Round of 16 match.

According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “2026 World Cup Round of 16: Spain vs. Austria,” smart money generated total profits of nearly $163,000 (Address: 0x3dfb153c197d4c19d3b31c1ecd2c7b6860eeabaf) purchased $112,000 worth of positions betting on Spain to win, with an average entry price of 74¢, with 150,000.0 shares purchased; the current unrealized profit is $1,305.
The Spain vs. Austria knockout match will take place at 3:00 a.m. Beijing Time on July 3. Spain boasts top stars such as Yamal, Torres, and Pino; the team is ranked 3rd in the world, with a total squad value exceeding 1.2 billion euros; Austria is ranked 23rd in the world, with a total squad value of 245 million euros and an average player age of 28. The two teams have faced each other twice in recent years, with each side winning once; overall, Spain still holds the upper hand.
Svmuu Seer continues to monitor the prediction markets, spotting changes before prices are set.

08:10

Serenity: SIVE Plans to Complete the Listing Process on Nasdaq “in the coming quarters,” but the market has overlooked a key signal

Svmuu News: “The White-Haired Stock Guru” Serenity posted that Sivers Semiconductors (SIVE) has disclosed plans to complete the listing process on Nasdaq in the coming quarters,but this significant signal had previously been significantly underestimated in market sentiment. In essence, this means the company’s IPO process has moved from the “evaluation phase” to the “formal confirmation of a timeline,” marking a “substantial improvement” in its path through the capital markets—shifting from uncertainty-driven assessment to an execution phase with a clear timeline.
Serenity previously disclosed that SIVE had completed a 700 million Swedish krona capital increase. The influx of institutional capital will help provide price support and may have reached a critical inflection point for scaled development.

08:04

Binance Co-CEOs Respond to MiCA Regulations Taking Effect: Transition Support Will Be Provided to Affected Users

Svmuu News: Richard Teng, Co-CEO of Binance, issued a statement in response to the entry into force of the EU’s new MiCA regulations. He stated that Binance will continue to provide transitional support to affected users, including guidance on follow-up procedures and alternative options, to ensure asset security and service continuity. He also advised users to contact official customer service channels for account-related support and assistance.Richard Teng noted that regulatory changes may bring some uncertainty and inconvenience to users. He added that the company remains in close communication with regulatory authorities to advance the compliance transition in a responsible manner.

08:02

Binance Launch of the Smart DCA Feature

Svmuu News: According to an official announcement, Binance has announced the launch of SmartDCA, a new optional advanced setting for Binance ConvertRecurring that allows users to dynamically adjust their recurring purchase amounts based on CoinMarketCap’s Fear & Greed Index.Users can set investment ratios for two market zones—oversold (index 0–40) and overbought (index 60–100)—ranging from 10% to 200% of the original amount.This feature is entirely optional, and users may continue to use the standard recurring plan. SmartDCA is available for eligible single-cryptocurrency recurring plans but does not include stock tokens.

07:59

NDV Founder: Keep a Close Eye on Circle for Pullback Opportunities; Stablecoin Competition Helps Expand the Crypto Market

Svmuu News: Jason Huang, founder of NextGen Venture (NDV), posted that his firm had previously successfully issued an early warning about the risk of a pullback in Strategy (MSTR), and is now taking the opposite approach by adding Circle (CRCL) to its watchlist to seek opportunities amid bearish market sentiment.
Jason Huang analyzed that Circle’s stock price fell by approximately 14% yesterday amid concerns over intensified competition following the joint launch of Open USD by multiple financial institutions. However, he noted that this logic has been misinterpreted by the market: the joint entry of large institutions will not shrink the stablecoin market; rather, it may expand the overall “pie.”Currently, the total global market capitalization of stablecoins is only about $317 billion, and the industry remains in its early growth stage. Historical experience shows that payment and financial projects jointly promoted by multiple parties often fail due to misaligned incentives—as seen with Libra, for example—so in the long term, this may not necessarily alter the core competitive landscape.
Jason Huang revealed that Circle has been included as one of the few tradable U.S. stock securities in the stablecoin sector. Although he has not yet provided a specific target price or plans to build a position immediately, he stated that he will closely monitor its quarterly performance and changes in fundamentals.

07:57

WTI crude oil futures extended their losses to 2%, hitting their lowest level since February 27.

Svmuu News: According to Gate data, WTI crude oil futures extended their losses to 2%, trading at $67.199 per barrel—a new low since February 27.

07:56

Did Meta “Drag Down” Tech Stocks? Industry Insiders: The Notion of Excess Computing Power Is a Misinterpretation

Svmuu News: A-share tech stocks plummeted, with sectors such as semiconductors, computing power hardware, and memory chips seeing particularly sharp declines. Taking the “Dual Innovation Boards”—which are heavily weighted with tech stocks—as an example, the ChiNext Index and the STAR Market Composite Index fell by 5.71% and 5.64%, respectively. From a market perspective, the sharp decline in A-share tech stocks stemmed from the market’s interpretation of Meta’s announcement regarding the sale of computing power as an indication of an oversupply of computing resources. However, several industry insiders believe this news has been misinterpreted; Meta’s sale of computing power does not signal the end of AI capital expenditures, but rather indicates the maturation of the AI infrastructure business model. (Securities Times)

07:55

Silicon Valley AI startup Higgsfield AI is seeking $300 million to $500 million in funding, with a target valuation of $5 billion

Svmuu News: Silicon Valley AI startup Higgsfield AI is in talks for a new round of funding, aiming to raise between $300 million and $500 million, with a target pre-money valuation of $5 billion. If the funding is completed at the target valuation, it would represent more than a fourfold increase from the company’s valuation of approximately $1.3 billion in January 2026. Higgsfield has raised a total of $138 million to date from investors including Accel and Menlo Ventures. It is reported that this latest funding round will be approximately three times larger than the company’s previous total funding. (Cryptobriefing)

07:53

Strive CEO Announces That the SATA Issuance Mechanism Will No Longer Automatically Increase the Supply at $100 by Default

Svmuu News: Strive CEO Matt Cole announced in a post on X that SATA will no longer automatically issue new shares/tokens at the $100 price level by default, but the core objective for SATA remains to anchor the price at $100 and minimize long-term volatility as much as possible. Matt Cole noted that, unless otherwise communicated, investors should not assume that Strive will automatically issue additional SATA at the $100 price level; however, under normal market conditions, this mechanism “may still occur.” The current market environment is “not normal,” so the company needs to retain greater flexibility in issuance decisions, which is also in line with the long-term interests of shareholders and SATA’s stability goals. Overly rigid issuance rules could be exploited by market behavior, potentially increasing volatility risks in the long run; therefore, the company will not adopt an overly rigid mechanism design.
Furthermore, any decision by Strive to suspend issuance or take other measures will be based entirely on management’s assessment of long-term shareholder interests and stability, and the company will not “pre-announce specific actions” in advance. While market data such as short interest ratios and borrowing costs will be considered, the company will not rely on any single metric.

07:52

THENA Unveils 2.0 Roadmap, Plans to Issue Approximately 32.61 Million Additional Tokens to Expand Its Treasury

Svmuu News: THENA, a decentralized liquidity platform in the BNB ecosystem, has announced its 2.0 roadmap, planning to issue approximately 10% of the original maximum supply of THE tokens (about 32.61 million), to be minted in two 5% tranches and injected into the multi-signature treasury to support the ecosystem’s long-term development and expansion. In terms of its development path, THENA 2.0 will focus on rebuilding core liquidity and trading activity, advancing the mobile and consumer-grade trading experience, building a unified financial ecosystem gateway, prioritizing liquidity for tokenized real-world assets (RWAs), and expanding spot and perpetual trading market capabilities. The relevant roadmap can only be implemented after approval through the governance mechanism (veTHE voting).

07:48

Hamilton Lane's Equity Strategy Fund Completes $3.8 Billion Fundraising Round

Svmuu News: Hamilton Lane, a global leader in private market investment management, announced that its direct equity strategy fund, the Hamilton Lane Equity Opportunities Fund VI (EO VI), has successfully raised $3.8 billion, exceeding the $2.1 billion raised by its predecessor fund. Investors include a diverse range of institutional participants such as public pension funds, sovereign wealth funds, union pension funds, endowments, foundations, and family offices. The fund will provide investors with diversified investment exposure.
Hamilton Lane has already established a presence in the crypto space. In March of this year, it made a strategic investment in the on-chain investment platform Republic. Its senior credit opportunity securitization fund, HLSCOPE, holds approximately $9 million in assets on the Polygon network, primarily investing in senior secured private credit and senior secured loans in North America and Europe. (Bloomberg)

07:47

Musk is pushing forward with the “Terafab” semiconductor project within Tesla

Svmuu News: Musk is pushing forward with a semiconductor manufacturing project called “Terafab” within Tesla. The project is reportedly valued at $55 billion and has been described as a cross-company collaborative effort involving both Tesla and SpaceX.As the project moves forward, expectations are mounting that Musk may propose a merger between Tesla and SpaceX.Reports indicate that, from an organizational structure perspective, the two companies have already adopted a model of closer synergy in several key technology areas. It is reported that several executives, including Charlie Kuehmann, hold key roles at both companies simultaneously, forming cross-company management and collaboration mechanisms, particularly in core technology areas such as materials engineering.
Analysts believe that the Terafab project, along with the cross-company integration of personnel and resources, is seen as part of Musk’s push to “unify the technology stack and manufacturing system,” bringing Tesla and SpaceX closer to a “quasi-integrated operational structure” in certain key areas. (The Information)

07:46

Crypto-friendly bank Erebor Bank is seeking a new round of funding, with a valuation potentially reaching $8 billion

Svmuu News: Erebor Bank, backed by investor Peter Thiel, is in talks for a new round of funding, targeting a valuation of at least $8 billion—nearly double its valuation of approximately $4.35 billion at the end of last year. Sources familiar with the matter revealed that the bank’s deposit base has nearly quadrupled over the past three months. Erebor Bank obtained its banking license just five months after its founding and is now attracting interest from new investors as its deposits grow rapidly. (Bloomberg)

07:45

Data center operator Switch launches a $2 billion private financing round, led by a16z

Svmuu News: Data center operator Switch has announced the official launch of a $2 billion private financing round led by a16z. Sources familiar with the matter revealed that Switch’s post-funding enterprise valuation (including debt) may approach $50 billion, with an equity value of approximately $19 billion (excluding new investments).Sources say that a16z will invest approximately $400 million. Additionally, Goldman Sachs Group and JPMorgan Chase are assisting in facilitating this funding round, which may serve as preparation for Switch to conduct an initial public offering (IPO) as early as next year. (Bloomberg)

07:38

Agent for “1011 Insider Whale”: A Shift Is Underway in AI Computing Power Trading, with Capital Flowing from Memory Chips to Hyperscale Cloud Providers

Svmuu News: Garrett Jin, representative of “1011 Insider Whale,” posted that the market structure has undergone significant changes this week, and capital within the AI industry chain is being reallocated.
Change 1: Signs of a temporary peak in the memory chip sector are emerging
He noted that Micron’s stock price encountered resistance near $1,250 and retreated. Although its earnings report outperformed expectations, the stock continued to decline on heavy volume, exhibiting the classic “weakness after positive news” characteristics of a market top.
Meanwhile, capital is rapidly flowing out of the memory sector. DRAM-related ETFs have seen heavy-volume declines, and SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics in the South Korean market have also weakened. Data shows that foreign investors have withdrawn more than 100万亿韩元 (approximately $650亿美元) from the South Korean stock market over the past two months.
Change 2: Capital Shifts Toward AI Hyperscalers
He pointed out that the real destination for capital is not small- and mid-cap AI-themed stocks, but rather core cloud computing giants such as Google, Microsoft, and Amazon.
Last Friday, as the chip sector came under pressure, GOOG and MSFT stabilized amid heavy trading volume, and this week, META’s surge on heavy volume further reinforced this trend.
Garrett Jin believes the logic behind this round of capital migration is the “token optimization trend”: As more and more simple tasks are handled by low-cost models, value will gradually concentrate in the cloud services and orchestration layers—which are billed per token—rather than in the foundational model layer. This also constitutes the core moat of hyperscale cloud providers, and the current strategy should focus on catch-up rally opportunities for these companies.

07:36

Bitcoin Mining firm Ionic Digital Completes $400 Million Private Financing Round and Plans to Go Public Nasdaq

Svmuu News Bitcoin Mining company Ionic Digital has filed for a direct listing on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol “IOND.” The company also disclosed that it has completed a $400 million private placement.Financial data shows that Ionic Digital generated $51.4 million in revenue in the first quarter of this year, with its digital infrastructure leasing (AI/HPC) business contributing $44 million—exceeding the $7.4 million generated by its Bitcoin mining operations for the first time.
Ionic Digital stated that it has repurposed its data centers for AI and high-performance computing (HPC) infrastructure and has signed a 126-month long-term lease agreement with Nscale, representing approximately $1.95 billion in contract revenue;If the planned 89 MW of additional capacity is approved and comes online, total contract revenue is expected to increase to approximately $2.6 billion.Meanwhile, Ionic Digital continues to scale back itsBitcoinmining operations. As of the end of March this year, it owned approximately 120,600 mining rigs, but only about 23,200 were operational, with total hash rate dropping to 2.0 EH/s. (Bitcoin News)

07:35

Bitcoin Market capitalization has returned to above $1.2 trillion, surpassing memory giants such as SK Hynix, Samsung, and Micron.

Svmuu News: SK Hynix saw $160 billion (approximately 10000亿元) wiped off its market value in a single day, with its total market capitalization falling below the $1 trillion mark, while Bitcoin saw a slight rebound today.According to data from 8MarketCap, Bitcoin’s market capitalization has now returned to above $1.2 trillion, with a 24-hour gain of 2.41%, rising to 16th place in the global market capitalization rankings and surpassing memory giants such as Samsung, Micron, and SK Hynix.

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