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7/4

10:51

The U.S.-Iran peace agreement has unleashed a large volume of crude oil supply, reigniting concerns about a global supply glut

Svmuu News: As a peace agreement between the U.S. and Iran unleashed a massive surge in supply, oil prices fell across the board. With demand unable to absorb the excess, the market is once again discussing the issue of a crude oil supply glut.This is a stunning reversal: less than three months ago, the world’s major physical crude oil benchmarks were hitting record highs; and just a few weeks ago, senior industry executives were still warning that global inventories had fallen to extremely low levels due to the Iran crisis.Beyond the immediate impact of the Strait’s reopening, analysts at institutions ranging from Morgan Stanley to Goldman Sachs have warned this week that the market faces the risk of a supply glut next year.
Kit Haynes, head of oil research at energy consultancy Energy Aspects, said, “The overwhelming sentiment in the market right now is bearish.” Even before the U.S. and Iran signed a memorandum of understanding in mid-June to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, suppliers in the Persian Gulf had already been increasing their shipments. In the weeks following the signing of the agreement, more than 60 million barrels of crude oil—which had been stranded due to the outbreak of war—flooded the market. (Jin Shi)

10:46

U.S. M2 Exceeds $23 Trillion, Setting a New Record and Sparking Debate Over a “Liquidity-Driven Bubble”

Svmuu News: The latest data from the U.S. Federal Reserve shows that in May, the seasonally adjusted broad money supply (M2) rose to $23.05 trillion, surpassing the $23 trillion mark for the first time and reaching a record high.M2 has risen for five consecutive months since the beginning of the year, accumulating a growth of approximately $623 billion from January’s level of $22.43 trillion, with a month-over-month increase of about $247.8 billion, indicating continued expansion of liquidity.
Some industry insiders believe this growth may reflect the Federal Reserve’s (Federal Reserve) re-injection of liquidity following its tightening cycle, sparking discussions about a “resurgence of monetary easing.” However, mainstream economic views point out that the money supply typically grows naturally in tandem with the size of the economy, and the current rise can also be seen as a correction to the previous contraction.
In terms of asset pricing, the market is widely focused on the potential impact of liquidity on risk assets. Cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin, due to their limited total supply, are viewed by some investors as hedges against currency devaluation, and the narrative of “liquidity-driven rallies” has gained momentum once again.
At the same time, the continued accumulation of gold by global central banks as a reserve asset is also seen as an indirect signal of hedging against the long-term stability of the fiat currency system. The next set of M2 data will be released in late July, and the market will continue to monitor whether the expansion of liquidity persists. (Bitcoin News)

10:44

Strategy CEO: Bitcoin Is a Rule-Based System for Monetary Freedom

According to Svmuu News, Phong Le, CEO of Strategy, posted on X that Bitcoin is essentially an “embodiment of freedom” and likened it to “the United States of the currency world.”He reflected on his own experiences in Vietnam, noting that the country has undergone tremendous changes in economic development and social vitality, but “the United States remains a destination many people around the world aspire to,” symbolizing opportunity, upward mobility, and institutional freedom.
Phong Le pointed out that the United States’ long-term success stems from its constitutional system, capitalist mechanisms, and culture of innovation, which enable ordinary people to achieve social mobility through education, entrepreneurship, and risk-taking. He noted that his own family’s experience as Vietnamese refugees immigrating to the United States is a testament to this system.Building on this, he defined Bitcoin as “the United States in digital form,” arguing that through transparent rules, code enforcement, proof-of-work, and a fixed supply mechanism, it achieves a “sovereignty-free monetary order” analogous to a constitutional system.
Phong Le emphasizes that Bitcoin is not merely an asset but a “mechanism of hope,” offering an alternative for savers in inflationary environments, residents of regions with institutional instability, and those seeking asset sovereignty. Bitcoin It shares the core spirit of the American system: individual sovereignty, property rights, open competition, and long-termism. He concluded: “The United States provides freedom at the national level; Bitcoin provides monetary freedom at the network level.”

10:43

Six addresses purchased a total of 12,128 ETH and transferred it to Tornado Cash

Svmuu News: According to monitoring by on-chain analyst Ai, six addresses purchased 12,128 ETH via Cowswap over the past two hours at an average price of $1,760.55, and subsequently transferred the funds in batches to Tornado Cash.It is reported that the USDC used to purchase the ETH was transferred via CCTP from Solana through Circle, and the earliest transactions from the source addresses can be traced back four years.

10:42

Binance Life Short surged more than 20% at one point, reaching a high of over $0.91

Svmuu News: According to GMGN market data, Binance’s price briefly rose by more than 20%, peaking at over $0.91, and is currently trading at $0.78.
Svmuu reminds users that meme coins are highly volatile; investors are advised to exercise caution.

10:27

predict.fun: More than 120,000 unique users participated in trading this week, all of which took place on the BNB Chain

Svmuu News: The prediction market platform predict.fun reported that more than 120,000 unique users have completed transactions on its platform this week, with all activity taking place on the BNB Chain.

10:23

A certain address accumulated a total of 19,725.38 ETH and 161.35 WBTC by buying at the bottom; it currently has an unrealized gain of $3.59 million.

Svmuu News: According to on-chain analyst Ai, the new address 0x268…47643 withdrew another 61.35 WBTC half an hour ago. Since June 30, it has accumulated a total of 19,725.38 ETH and 161.35 WBTC, with a total value of $41.5 million; the position, established at a low point, has already realized a profit of $3.59 million.

10:10

A trader opened a long position in ANSEM with 4x leverage and is currently showing a paper profit of over $110,000.

Svmuu News: According to Lookonchain data, trader 0xe8be opened a 4x leveraged long position in ANSEM, holding approximately 619,853 $ANSEM (about $213,000). The position has currently recorded an unrealized profit of approximately $111,000, representing a return of about 209.28%, demonstrating that short-term price fluctuations have generated significant leveraged returns.

10:05

Wang Chun has recently sold off 36,600 ETH and 160 WBTC in a series of transactions, with an estimated profit of $3.4 million.

Svmuu News: According to on-chain analyst Yu Jin, Wang Chun of Yuchi Lianchuang has gradually reduced his holdings by 36,600 ETH and 160 WBTC over the past few days, with an estimated profit of $3.4 million. In June, he gradually bought the dip, acquiring approximately 70,600 ETH ($117 million) and 966 WBTC ($60.29 million).

09:26

Circle So far this year, 64.53 billion USDC have been minted on the Solana blockchain.

Svmuu News: According to Onchain Lens, Circle has just minted 280 million USDC on the Solana blockchain. So far this year, 64.53 billion USDC have been minted on the Solana blockchain.

09:24

Negotiations between the United States and Iran will take place in Pakistan on July 11

Svmuu News: According to Saudi media outlets Hadath and Al-Arabiya TV, negotiations between the United States and Iran will take place in Pakistan on July 11. (Jin Shi)

08:58

U.S. Media Reveals Inside Story of U.S.-Iran Ceasefire Agreement: Iranian President and Central Bank Governor Jointly Urged Supreme Leader to “Sign It Immediately”

Svmuu News: According to four officials familiar with the details of the meeting, Iranian President Pezeshizyan visited Iran’s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei during the final stages of negotiations, when the Supreme Leader was hesitating to approve a preliminary ceasefire agreement. The Iranian president told the Supreme Leader that the economic situation was dire, that the U.S. naval blockade was strangling Iran, and that he would resign if the Supreme Leader rejected the agreement. Additionally, Abdulnasser Hemmati, Governor of the Central Bank of Iran, wrote a letter to Khamenei stating that the country was facing a severe budget crisis and that, if the naval blockade continued, critical food and medical supplies would be exhausted by the end of August.
In his letter, Hemmati explained that Iran could not sell oil on the scale required or find alternative trade routes. These statements played a key role in Mujtaba’s ultimate decision to support the agreement. In a brief public statement, he said that although he opposed the agreement “in principle,” he would instruct the president to proceed if the president secured the support of the Supreme National Security Council. Pezeshchiyan stated that the council approved the agreement by a vote of 12 to 1 out of 13 members. (Jin Shi)

08:56

Several U.S. tech companies are cutting back on AI spending, and Teslas is limiting employees' AI-related expenses

Svmuu News Tesla The company will begin limiting employee spending on AI tools starting on the 6th of this month. Similar measures have also been adopted by several other U.S. tech companies.According to reports, Tesla has issued an internal memo to employees announcing that, effective July 6, each employee’s weekly spending on AI tools will be capped at $200, with any amounts exceeding that limit requiring approval from a supervisor.However, Tesla employees’ use of the Grok model—developed by Musk’s xAI—does not count toward the $200 limit. It is reported that Grok has seen low adoption among Tesla employees, with most still opting to use Anthropic’s Claude. (CCTV Finance)

08:44

AI data center Crusoe plans to raise $3 billion, with its valuation potentially rising to $30 billion

Svmuu News: AI data center provider Crusoe Energy Systems is in talks for a new round of financing worth approximately $3 billion. Upon completion of this round, the company’s valuation is expected to triple compared to the previous round, reaching approximately $30 billion.
Founded in 2018, Crusoe initially started as a crypto-related business before transitioning into an AI infrastructure and data center service provider. It is currently classified as one of the “neocloud” companies—a new type of cloud computing enterprise—focused on providing computing power for generative AI. The company has signed computing power supply contracts with tech giants including Meta and Oracle, and as demand for AI infrastructure surges, its computing power business continues to expand.
Previously disclosed information indicates that Crusoe raised approximately $1.38 billion in funding last year, with a valuation exceeding $10 billion. If this funding round is successfully completed, it will mark another massive capital move in the AI infrastructure sector.
Market observers expect the final valuation for this round to be around $30 billion, but the deal is still in progress and has not yet been finalized. (Reuters)

08:32

Revolut Announces It Will Delist USDT by the End of August, Signaling Tighter Compliance Regulations in Europe

Svmuu News: Digital bank and fintech platform Revolut has notified some users that it will officially delist the U.S. dollar-pegged stablecoin Tether (USDT) after August 31, 2026, and will automatically convert users’ remaining holdings into their underlying fiat currencies at the exchange rate on that day.
According to the official notice, Revolut will suspend USDT purchase services starting July 6 and halt USDT deposits after July 30; at that time, any incoming USDT will be rejected outright.
If users do not sell or withdraw their USDT by the end of August, their holdings will be automatically converted by the system into the account’s base currency. The company attributed this adjustment to “regulatory and risk-related considerations,” but did not specify the exact regulatory framework that triggered the change.
This move reflects how fintech platforms are continuing to tighten access to related assets amid shifting global stablecoin regulatory environments. Previously, trading platforms including Coinbase had already delisted USDT from European markets to comply with the EU’s MiCA regulatory framework.
Revolut has not yet clarified whether this policy applies to all regions, but the company has obtained an EU Crypto-Asset Service Provider (CASP) license, indicating that it is strengthening its compliance-oriented product restructuring. (Cointelegraph)

08:30

Analysis: The high compliance thresholds of the UK FCA’s crypto regulatory framework may pose a key challenge to implementation

Svmuu News: The UK’s Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) officially announced its regulatory framework for crypto assets this week. The framework is widely viewed by the industry as an international approach that emphasizes “access to global liquidity,” but its implementation still faces significant compliance and approval challenges.
Under the new regulations, the FCA allows overseas trading platforms to serve UK users through locally authorized branches and to access global trading infrastructure, thereby avoiding the creation of a closed, domestic liquidity pool. At the same time, stablecoins not issued in the UK may also circulate in the UK market—a stance seen as distinctly different from the regional isolation model outlined in the EU’s Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA). The “Qualified Crypto-Asset Trading Platform” (QCATP) mechanism in the new regulations is viewed as a key structure connecting global exchanges with the UK market and is expected to enhance price efficiency and market depth. However, industry insiders point out that the FCA has not yet clarified which jurisdictions are deemed to offer “comparable regulatory protection,” and this uncertainty may influence companies’ strategic decisions.
Furthermore, rules related to decentralized finance (DeFi) remain unclear, and some industry practitioners are concerned that early proposals may restrict centralized platforms’ access to the DeFi ecosystem, causing the UK to lag behind other jurisdictions in this area of innovation.
On the compliance front, lawyers note that under the new Financial Services and Markets Act framework, the authorization process may be extremely rigorous; historical data shows that the approval rate for FCA anti-money laundering registration applications is less than 15%. The new system will also encompass multi-dimensional regulatory requirements covering consumer protection, capital adequacy, operational resilience, and executive accountability, significantly raising the barriers to entry.
Industry observers believe that, overall, this framework provides an institutional foundation for institutional capital to enter the crypto market; however, whether the UK can truly become a global crypto hub will depend on the certainty of regulatory enforcement and the efficiency of the approval process in the coming months. (CoinDesk)

08:10

Iran Warns Foreign Countries Not to Create a Crisis in the Strait of Hormuz

Svmuu News: British Prime Minister Starmer and French President Macron issued a joint statement on the 3rd, stating that the two countries will cooperate with Oman to ensure the safety of shipping in its sovereign territorial waters. Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Gari Babadi responded on the 4th, stating that the Strait of Hormuz is not a venue for military displays by non-regional countries, and that Iran opposes any military actions that could affect the security of the waterway. Ghari Babadi responded on social media, stating that as a guarantor of security in the Strait of Hormuz, Iran will remain highly vigilant regarding relevant military developments. Security in the Strait of Hormuz should be jointly maintained by the coastal states, and any actions that create a crisis will result in the relevant parties bearing the consequences themselves. He also emphasized that the aforementioned warning “is serious.” (Xinhua News Agency)

07:41

Tether CEO: The AI industry faces multiple risks of capital misallocation, with a severe mismatch between profit generation and investment cycles

Svmuu News: Paolo Ardoino, CEO of Tether, stated that in the current AI industry, large tech companies are expanding their user bases by subsidizing computing power, but this relies on infrastructure expansion driven by high capital expenditures (CAPEX), and the related assets typically depreciate rapidly within 3 to 5 years.
Paolo Ardoino pointed out that this model is creating multiple structural misalignments, including: a mismatch between token prices and real value, a mismatch between profit cycles and capital investment cycles, a mismatch between the cost of capital and debt maturity, and a trend where open-source AI continues to erode revenue potential.
Paolo Ardoino believes that, under the combined weight of these structural pressures, industry risks are mounting, and he asks, “In such a structure, what could go wrong?”

07:30

Svmuu Evening Brief

1. CryptoQuant: Bitcoin The next bull market may require $1 trillion in new capital;
2. South Korean investors are betting on Chinese AI, snapping up $2.8 billion worth of stocks in half a year: A-share stocks such as Northern HuaChuang and Cambricon are being snapped up;
3. The UXLINK hacker swapped $10.54 million in DAI for 6,001 ETH;
4. Big Brother Ma Ji has once again opened long positions in BTC and HYPE;
5. A man who illegally crossed into Myanmar (including Mawaddy) to participate in telecom fraud—luring victims into investing in cryptocurrency—has been sentenced;
6. SK Hynix plans to pay investment banks a 0.5% base underwriting fee for its ADR offering;
7. Micron Japan launches a chip expansion project worth over $9 billion, betting on demand for high-bandwidth memory for AI;
8. Coinbase Bitcoin The premium index has remained in negative territory for 47 consecutive days, setting a new record for the longest streak of negative premiums;
9. Analysts: Active BTC investors are currently facing losses of around 20% on average, and the cyclical correction continues;
10. Local German banks are accelerating their expansion into crypto trading services, with related offerings expected to launch in the coming months.

07:20

After a whale withdrew 212,500 HYPE tokens from Morpho, they transferred all of them to Coinbase

Svmuu News: According to on-chain analyst Yu Jin, over the past few days, HYPE has rebounded from $60 and reclaimed the $70 mark.A whale reportedly withdrew 212,500 HYPE (worth $15 million) from Morpho about an hour ago and then transferred the entire amount to Coinbase.

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