ECB Rate Decision
★★★★★TrendRecently9Term · 9月 → 9月
Historical Data
| Issue No. | Publication Date (UTC) | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 12:15 | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.25% | |
| Jul 23, 2026 12:15 | 2.25% | 2.25% | 2.25% | |
| Jun 11, 2026 12:15 | 2.25% | 2.25% | 2% | |
| Apr 30, 2026 12:15 | 2% | 2% | 2% | |
| Mar 19, 2026 13:15 | 2% | 2% | 2% | |
| Feb 5, 2026 13:15 | 2% | 2% | 2% | |
| Dec 18, 2025 07:15 | 2% | 2% | 2% | |
| Oct 30, 2025 06:15 | 2% | 2% | 2% | |
| Sep 11, 2025 05:15 | 2% | 2% | 2% |
Interpretation of Indicators
The European Central Bank (ECB) Deposit Facility Rate is a key interest rate set by the ECB, which governs the Eurozone's monetary policy. It represents the interest rate banks receive for depositing funds with the ECB overnight. This rate is one of the three main policy rates of the ECB, alongside the Main Refinancing Operations (MRO) rate and the Marginal Lending Facility rate.
Definition and Scope
The Deposit Facility Rate is the interest rate banks earn when they deposit excess reserves with the ECB for a very short term, typically overnight. It effectively sets a floor for the overnight interbank money market rate, as banks would not lend to each other at a rate lower than what they can earn by depositing funds with the ECB. Conversely, if the rate is negative, it means banks are charged for holding excess reserves at the ECB, effectively penalizing them for not lending out those funds. The ECB's Governing Council determines this rate, and it applies to all eligible counterparties in the Eurosystem.
Publication Mechanism
The ECB's Governing Council is responsible for setting the Deposit Facility Rate. Decisions on this rate, along with the other key policy rates, are typically announced after the Governing Council's monetary policy meetings, which usually occur every six weeks. The announcement is made public through press releases and subsequent press conferences by the ECB President. These decisions are closely watched by financial markets globally, as they provide crucial insights into the ECB's monetary policy stance and its outlook for inflation and economic growth in the Eurozone.
Why the Market Cares
The Deposit Facility Rate is a critical tool for the ECB to manage liquidity in the Eurozone banking system and influence short-term interest rates. By adjusting this rate, the ECB signals its monetary policy intentions. A lower or negative rate can encourage banks to lend more, stimulating economic activity, while a higher rate can discourage lending, aiming to curb inflation. For investors, changes in this rate directly impact the cost of borrowing and the returns on savings, influencing bond yields, currency valuations, and equity markets. It is a primary indicator of the ECB's commitment to its price stability mandate.
How to Interpret
Historically, market participants interpret changes in the Deposit Facility Rate as a strong signal of the ECB's monetary policy direction. An increase in the rate is typically seen as a hawkish move, suggesting the ECB is concerned about inflation and is tightening monetary policy. This can lead to higher bond yields, a stronger euro, and potentially a dampening effect on equity markets. Conversely, a decrease in the rate, or moving it into negative territory, is usually interpreted as a dovish move, indicating the ECB is concerned about economic weakness or deflation and is easing monetary policy. This can result in lower bond yields, a weaker euro, and potentially a boost to equity markets. The market also pays close attention to the language used by the ECB President during press conferences, looking for forward guidance on future rate movements.
Related Indicators
The Deposit Facility Rate is intrinsically linked to the other two key ECB policy rates: the Main Refinancing Operations (MRO) rate and the Marginal Lending Facility rate. The MRO rate is the interest rate banks pay when borrowing from the ECB for one week, and it typically forms the middle of the ECB's interest rate corridor. The Marginal Lending Facility rate is the interest rate banks pay for overnight borrowing from the ECB, and it typically sets the ceiling of the corridor. Together, these three rates define the ECB's interest rate corridor, within which overnight interbank lending rates usually fluctuate. Other related indicators include Eurozone inflation data (Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices - HICP), GDP growth figures, and various sentiment indicators, all of which influence the ECB's decisions on the Deposit Facility Rate. The market also closely monitors the actions of other major central banks, such as the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, as their policy decisions can have spillover effects on the Eurozone.
