Svmuu News Federal Reserve The probability of interest rates remaining unchanged in July is 74.9%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 25.1%. Federal Reserve The probability of interest rates remaining unchanged through September is 35.7%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 51.1% and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 50 basis points is 13.1%.