According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “2026 World Cup Third-Place Match: France vs. England,” “smart money” that generated over $480,000 in profits (0x1610db79f753a80207e1d66716be9e91e627ae49) purchased over $60,000 worth of bets on an England victory at an average entry price of 36¢.
France lost 0–2 to Spain in the semifinals, ending their strong run in the knockout stage; England, meanwhile, fell 1–2 to Argentina. Although both teams typically lack motivation in the third-place match, France’s recent form and depth of roster make them slight favorites. Given both teams’ strong defensive organization, a draw is also a possibility. England has performed consistently overall, but physical exhaustion and the emotional toll of their semifinal elimination will impact the outcome.
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