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4/12
06:35
Analyst: Failed US-Iran Talks Could Lead to Renewed Oil Price Rise, Risk Sentiment May Be Hit Again
Svmuu News Charu Chanana, Chief Investment Strategist at Saxo Bank, stated that the inconclusive outcome of the US-Iran talks represents a step backward. For the market, this means that the previous easing trade is likely to fade. Oil prices may rise again, and risk sentiment will once again be hit. The Strait of Hormuz, even if not completely closed, will remain a real and critical chokepoint risk. However, given the significant gap in positions between the two sides on nuclear safeguards and the Strait of Hormuz issue, this is not entirely unexpected. For the US dollar, this means it may regain some safe-haven support, but unless new military escalation occurs, it is unlikely to trigger a full-scale surge. Gold might benefit from renewed geopolitical hedging demand, but the market is not yet ready to fully return to the worst-case inflation shock scenario. (Jin10)
06:23
CryptoQuant Analyst: Bitcoin Long-Term Holdings Continue to Grow, Signaling Strengthening Market Speculation Cooling
According to CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost, the Bitcoin market is currently entering an early stabilization phase, with long-term holding behavior gradually strengthening, indicating a potential shift in market structure.
Data shows that since October, the number of BTC held for over one year has increased from approximately 12 million to about 12.4 million. Although the growth remains moderate, it reflects a market behavior tilting towards long-term holding. Since mid-December, the 30-day change has consistently remained positive, suggesting investors are more inclined to continue holding rather than distributing their holdings.
Darkfost pointed out that this change typically signifies the market is gradually transitioning from a speculation-dominated phase to a phase with stronger long-term conviction. In historical cycles, the proportion of long-term holdings usually declines significantly at market peaks and gradually recovers during bear markets. Therefore, the current trend can be viewed as an early signal of market stabilization.
However, he also emphasized that this indicator reflects long-term dimensional changes, which usually require a considerable amount of time to form a clear trend, and the current situation is still in its early stages.
06:17
Binance Life Market Cap Surpasses $150 Million, 24H Increase of 15.47%
According to data from GMGN, the market cap of Binance Life has surpassed $150 million, currently reported at $153.47 million, with a 24-hour increase of 15.47%.
Svmuu reminds users that Meme coin prices are highly volatile; investors are advised to participate cautiously.
06:07
Iran Responds to Trump: Blockading Iran Will Not "Open" the Strait of Hormuz
Svmuu News On the 12th, US President Trump reposted an article about a "naval blockade" of Iran on social media. The Iranian Embassy in Austria responded the same day, stating that a blockade cannot "open" the Strait of Hormuz. The embassy wrote on social media: "A simple note for those concerned: A blockade is a blockade. It cannot 'open' the Strait of Hormuz; it only restricts it. The only way out of this self-inflicted predicament is to remain open and flexible in negotiations. Follow reason." (Xinhua News Agency)
06:05
Security Experts: North Korea's "Open" Theft of Crypto Assets Has Become Its Financing Means
Svmuu According to security experts, as North Korea's infiltration and attacks targeting the crypto industry continue to escalate, the core difference between its hackers and those with backgrounds from other countries lies in the fact that crypto assets have become a crucial direct financing source for the country to sustain its military expenditures.
It is reported that in the recent months-long infiltration operation targeting Drift Protocol, North Korean hackers have once again caused a stir in the industry. Experts indicate that this model is not merely a "fund transfer tool" but rather a direct "predatory profit-seeking" method used to bypass international sanctions and obtain immediately usable hard currency funds.
Security researchers point out that unlike countries such as Russia and Iran, North Korea has almost no sustainable external economic or commodity export capabilities. Therefore, it relies more heavily on crypto theft as a core revenue source to support its nuclear weapons and ballistic missile programs. Experts also emphasize that North Korean hacking targets have expanded from simple phishing to include exchanges, wallet services, and key permission holders of DeFi protocols, commonly employing long-cycle social engineering and identity impersonation infiltration tactics.
Due to the "once confirmed, irreversible" nature of blockchain transactions, the crypto industry is far weaker than the traditional financial system in terms of fund freezing and recovery, making such attacks more destructive in terms of speed and scale. Security personnel warn that this "long-term lurking + precise takeover" attack model has yet to be effectively addressed by the industry. (CoinDesk)
05:59
Google News Accidentally Displays Polymarket Prediction Market Results, Official Statement Attributes It to System Error
Svmuu News Some links to Polymarket's prediction markets briefly appeared in the search results of Google's news service, Google News, displayed alongside mainstream media news, but were subsequently removed. A spokesperson for Google stated that this display was a system error, saying, "The website was briefly shown in Google News in error and is no longer appearing."
It is reported that before being removed, some users found Polymarket's market prediction results also appearing below reports from mainstream media outlets like Reuters and The Guardian in event-driven searches. For example, queries related to "whether ships pass through the Strait of Hormuz" displayed both relevant news and betting market information. (Cointelegraph)
05:49
U.S. Senator Warns: CLARITY Act Should Be Passed Soon, Otherwise Regulatory Window May Close Until 2030
Svmuu News U.S. Senator Cynthia Lummis stated that the United States should not continue to delay the legislative process of the CLARITY Act, otherwise it may take nearly four years to advance the improvement of the cryptocurrency industry's regulatory framework again. She posted on social platform X, saying, "This is our last chance to pass the CLARITY Act until at least 2030," and emphasized, "We cannot put America's financial future at risk." The bill aims to provide a clearer regulatory structure for the crypto industry, defining the responsibilities of regulatory agencies to promote industry innovation and market development. With the U.S. midterm elections approaching, there are market concerns that congressional priorities may shift, thereby slowing down the legislative process.
Former White House AI and Crypto Affairs Director David Sacks also expressed support for advancing the bill as soon as possible, stating, "Now is the time for action," and predicting that the relevant market structure legislation would ultimately be signed into law by the President.
From the industry side, several individuals, including Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong, have recently called for accelerating the legislative process, believing that clear rules will foster innovation and increase market participation. On the regulatory side, SEC Chairman Paul Atkins also expressed support for advancing comprehensive market structure legislation to avoid ongoing regulatory uncertainty affecting industry development. (Cointelegraph)
05:29
Tether CEO: Centralized AI Is Unsustainable and Leads to a Dead End; We Should Return to User Autonomy
Svmuu News: Paolo Ardoino, CEO of stablecoin issuer Tether, posted on platform X, stating that "AI should be open like freedom." He believes the development path of centralized AI has reached a "dead end." Against the backdrop of large tech companies continuing to build closed AI systems, Tether is pushing in the opposite direction. Through QVAC, it is exploring solutions for running AI models on local devices, enabling users to control their own data and computing power. This model aligns more closely with the core concept of "self-custody" in the crypto industry, meaning users should have autonomy over their data and computational resources.
05:16
A multi-signature address withdrew 31.93 million RAVE from a CEX over the past two days, and its asset value has surged to $89.1 million
According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi's monitoring, the multi-signature address 0x0A1...790d7, which cumulatively withdrew 31.93 million RAVE from Bitget over the past two days, has seen its asset value surge from $37.54 million to $89.1 million, effectively 'printing' $50 million in two days. As of April 8th, this batch of tokens was only worth $8.52 million.
05:05
Iranian Parliament Speaker: The United States Has Understood Iran's Logic and Principles
Svmuu News: The Speaker of the Iranian Parliament stated that the Iranian delegation put forward forward-looking initiatives, but the other side ultimately failed to win the trust of the Iranian delegation in this round of negotiations. The United States has understood Iran's logic and principles, and now it is time for them to decide whether they can win our trust. We appreciate Pakistan's efforts in promoting the progress of these negotiations. (Jin10)
05:02
Analyst: Bitcoin and Ethereum Approach Critical Price Levels, Possibly Signaling Market Trend Reversal
Svmuu News Macro analyst Jordi Visser stated that despite widespread market expectations of the crypto industry entering a bear market, Bitcoin and Ethereum are less than 10% away from key levels that could trigger a trend reversal. He pointed out that if Bitcoin breaks above $76,000 and Ethereum rises above $2,400, it could signal the start of a sustained uptrend lasting throughout the year.
Visser believes the probability of a US economic recession in the short term is low, a view also reflected in the pricing of prediction market Kalshi, which currently estimates the probability of a recession by 2026 at around 24%. He also noted that against a backdrop of persistently high inflation and a lack of clear growth momentum in traditional markets (such as the S&P 500), capital may continue to flow into asset classes with yield potential.
However, market views remain divided. Veteran trader Peter Brandt recently suggested that Bitcoin's yearly low may not yet be in, and the price could retest or even fall below the $60,000 range. Visser emphasized that the market should not be simplistically categorized into bull or bear cycles, but rather judged from a longer-term structural and liquidity perspective. (Cointelegraph)
04:53
CryptoQuant Analyst: If US-Iran Conflict Persists, Inflation May Force Fed to Raise Interest Rates
Svmuu News CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost posted on platform X, stating that the current US inflation structure has gradually become clearer. Although the March CPI data recorded the largest month-on-month increase since 2022, the core CPI remained largely unchanged, indicating that inflationary pressures have not yet spread comprehensively. This trend needs to be continuously monitored in subsequent PCE data and over the coming months. As long as this structure persists, it suggests that inflation has not yet become systemically embedded in the US economy and is more of a phased phenomenon, possibly related to geopolitical conflicts. However, if the US-Iran conflict lasts for an extended period, inflation may gradually evolve into a systemic risk and begin to impact economic growth. At that point, the Federal Reserve may have no choice but to respond by continuing to raise interest rates.
04:43
Robinhood Excludes Certain Prediction Market Contracts Due to Concerns Over Market Manipulation and Insider Trading Risks
Svmuu News Robinhood, while accelerating its expansion into prediction markets, has proactively excluded certain contract products due to concerns that they could facilitate market manipulation and insider trading risks. Jordan Sinclair, President of Robinhood UK, stated that the company is highly focused on market abuse issues and will not offer users all prediction markets or event contracts. Instead, it will selectively list products that are more suitable for its customers.
Recently, several instances of "precise betting" have raised regulatory concerns. For example, on Polymarket, unusually large bets appeared before the U.S. took action against Iran; Israeli regulators have also sued two individuals for using confidential information to participate in betting. Furthermore, "mention markets" (such as betting on words that will appear in a speech) are explicitly excluded from Robinhood's product offerings due to their susceptibility to manipulation.
Currently, Robinhood primarily provides compliant prediction market services through partnerships with Kalshi and ForecastEx, prioritizing regulated platforms to mitigate information misuse and cross-border compliance risks. In contrast, less regulated platforms like Polymarket allow users to trade via crypto wallets and have relatively lax identity verification processes.
Robinhood previously anticipated that prediction markets would become a significant growth engine. CEO Vlad Tenev stated that this business is expected to be one of the fastest-growing segments in 2025 and could potentially drive the formation of a trillion-dollar annual trading volume in the future. (Financial Times)
04:29
Analysis: The probability of the core demands of the US and Iran reaching consensus is not low
Svmuu News According to CITIC Securities, from the perspective of the US's core demands, if Iran can abandon uranium enrichment, it would become the most significant achievement of the war for the US and the greatest "accomplishment" that Trump could use to appease the domestic audience. This round of conflict has already generated substantial negative impacts on the midterm elections, necessitating an early exit. Since the Iranian Islamic Revolution, the US has lost control over Iran's nuclear capabilities. Over the past few decades, successive US presidents have failed to resolve this issue, severely impacting the US's Middle East strategy. Compared to the immense political propaganda value of Iran's "nuclear abandonment achievement," the indirect link between oil prices and inflation likely has a smaller impact on elections. Therefore, the Trump administration might be willing to compromise on issues such as control over the Strait of Hormuz.
From the perspective of Iran's core demands, this war has proven that blockading the strait and threatening Middle Eastern infrastructure are extremely important bargaining chips, even more destructive and flexible than the threat of nuclear weapons. Compared to the extremely high cost and difficult-to-control scale of nuclear weapons, blockading the strait and attacking infrastructure only require low-cost drones to inflict significant damage on the US and the global economy, thereby forming Iran's tool for counterbalancing the US. The fact that both the US and Iran have repeatedly stopped short of the red line of large-scale infrastructure destruction also implies that the probability of extreme escalation of the war is not high, and the likelihood of extreme oil prices, severe recession, or stagflation is decreasing. (Jin10)
04:25
German Hacker Involved in Cryptocurrency Ransom Case Arrested in Bangkok, Facing 74 Cybercrime Charges
Svmuu News A 27-year-old German hacker, Noah Christopher, has been arrested in Bangkok, Thailand, facing up to 74 cybercrime arrest warrants in Europe. Investigations reveal that the individual is suspected of developing and operating a ransomware platform and a "Cybercrime-as-a-Service" (CaaS) system between 2021 and 2025. This included providing Distributed Denial of Service (DDoS) attack tools (such as Fluxstress, Neldowner), assisting global clients in launching cyberattacks and collecting payments. Related ransom payments involved cryptocurrencies and other digital assets, constituting transnational cybercriminal activities. Currently, his visa has been revoked, and he is being held pending extradition to Germany. (BangkokPost)
04:23
Argentina Includes Cryptocurrency in Qualified Investor Net Asset Scope
Svmuu News: The Argentine National Securities Commission (CNV) has now recognized cryptocurrencies as assets that can be counted towards an individual's net worth, thereby allowing individuals to qualify as investors. It is reported that the Argentine National Securities Commission (CNV) issued General Resolution No. 1125/2026, stipulating that virtual assets will be considered part of an individual's net worth for determining eligibility as a qualified investor in the country. The resolution defines virtual assets as "any digital representation of value that can be traded and/or transferred digitally and used for payment or investment," meaning cryptocurrencies, tokenized assets, and even stablecoins can be used as such assets. (News.bitcoin)
04:11
Analyst: Current BTC Short-Term Trading is Difficult, Advises Ordinary Investors to Focus on Dollar-Cost Averaging
Svmuu According to a post by crypto analyst Murphy on platform X, the difficulty of short-term Bitcoin trading is currently extremely high. For most investors, adhering to a dollar-cost averaging (DCA) strategy over the next 6 months may be the optimal approach, with a win rate approaching "100%". Investment and trading should be strictly distinguished. In the past two months, he has only executed 4 trades, with 3 being profitable and 1 resulting in a loss. The latest trade involved building positions in batches at $71,500 and $73,000, with an average cost of $72,300, using 5x leverage. He was stopped out during market volatility.
Therefore, avoiding "holding onto losing positions" and wishful thinking is crucial; otherwise, it's easy to fall into a risk pattern of small profits and large losses. Decision-making should be guided by long-term cycle trends. Short-term trading requires strict discipline in execution. The core of analysis lies in serving trading decisions, not emotional gambling.
04:06
Former Vice President of Bank of China Wang Yongli: A Dialectical View on US Crypto Asset Policy
Svmuu News Former Vice President of Bank of China, Wang Yongli, authored an article titled "A Dialectical View on US Crypto Asset Policy". He pointed out that the explanatory and guiding implementation rules document "Application of Federal Securities Laws to Certain Crypto Assets and Related Transactions" for the Clarity in Classification and Regulation of Crypto Assets Act (CLARITY Act) represents a significant improvement in the US's approach to crypto asset classification and regulation. It is worthy of global study and reference for understanding, classifying, and appropriately regulating crypto assets. However, a dialectical approach is still necessary towards US crypto asset policy. The US's approach to classified regulation of crypto assets is worth learning from, and effective and appropriate regulation is essential for the innovative development of crypto assets. A dialectical view on the changes in US crypto asset regulatory policy includes:
First, the development of the on-chain crypto world must be given high priority;
Second, effective classified regulation must be implemented based on a precise grasp of the essential attributes of crypto assets;
Third, regarding crypto assets, while learning from the US's experiences and lessons, it is also necessary to adhere to a realistic approach based on one's own national conditions.
04:00
Justin Sun: Condemning the Ongoing Token Scandal Perpetrated by Bad Actors Within WLFI
Svmuu News Justin Sun posted on the X platform, stating: "I have always been a steadfast supporter of President Trump and his crypto-friendly policies. As an early supporter of World Liberty Financial, I invested significant capital in the project's initial stages because I believed in the vision presented to the public: a DeFi platform promoting financial freedom, removing intermediaries, and bringing the benefits of decentralized finance to the general public.
However, what was never disclosed to me or any investor is this: World Liberty secretly embedded a backdoor blacklist function within the smart contract deploying the WLFI token. This function grants the company unilateral power to freeze, restrict, and even effectively confiscate the property rights of any token holder without notice, without reason, and without any recourse. This is the antithesis of decentralization. This is a trap disguised as a gateway.
I hereby condemn the ongoing token scandal perpetrated by bad actors within WLFI.
I was the first and largest victim—as early as 2025, they illegally blacklisted my WLFI token wallet, an act that violated fundamental investor rights and the principles of fairness on the blockchain.
All actions taken by the WLFI team—extracting fees from users, secretly embedding backdoors to control user assets, freezing investor funds without disclosure and due process, treating the crypto community as a personal ATM—all of these actions are illegitimate and were never authorized through any fair, transparent, or good-faith community governance process.
The governance votes cited to legitimize the aforementioned actions were not conducted through fair or transparent processes. Critical information was withheld from voters, meaningful participation was restricted, and the outcomes were predetermined. These votes do not represent the will of the community—they represent the will of those who designed them. These actions have nothing to do with me. They have nothing to do with the investors who believed in the project's promises. We oppose each and every one of the above actions in the strongest possible terms.
The actions of the WLFI team are eroding the community's trust in the project. Unlock the tokens, maintain transparency to the community. Let us build with integrity, not through misconduct."
03:41
Iranian Deputy Speaker: Strait of Hormuz is a "Red Line," Fully Controlled by Iran
Svmuu According to Iran's Mehr News Agency report on the 12th, Haji Babaei, Deputy Speaker of the Islamic Consultative Assembly of Iran, warned the United States that the Strait of Hormuz is a "red line," fully controlled by Iran, and its transit fees must be paid in rials. The report stated that the majority of members of the Iranian parliament support the plan concerning the Strait of Hormuz. According to directives from the leadership, control over this strategic waterway is non-negotiable under any circumstances. (Xinhua News Agency)

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