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4/12
08:55
Trump: U.S.-Iran talks are going well, consensus reached on most issues
Svmuu News U.S. President Trump stated that the U.S.-Iran talks are going well, with consensus reached on most issues, but the only truly important nuclear issue remains unresolved. Effective immediately, the U.S. Navy will begin blockading any vessels attempting to enter or exit the Strait of Hormuz. (Jin10)
08:53
Analyst: US-Iran Talks Collapse Solidifies Uncertainty, Dollar to Strengthen in Short Term
Svmuu News: Pepperstone strategist Dilin Wu stated that the failure of the US and Iran to reach an agreement has firmly rooted uncertainty. In the very short term, a stronger US dollar accompanied by a slight decline in US Treasury yields is a fairly reasonable pricing outcome. After the initial shock from the news subsides, the reaction of US Treasuries may become more complex. Short-term yields may still decline slightly due to safe-haven demand, but if oil prices continue to rise, they will quickly re-anchor higher inflation expectations, thereby creating new upward pressure on long-term yields. It is also highly likely that the energy and defense sectors will outperform the broader market on Monday, with a noticeable upward gap at the open.
The energy sector is the most direct beneficiary of supply-side contraction, while the defense sector reflects the rise in geopolitical risk premiums and their more persistent nature. However, the magnitude of the market movement will depend on two key factors—the sustainability of the strength in oil prices, and whether the market confirms this as a lasting supply shock rather than merely a temporary, sentiment-driven reaction. (Jin10)
08:44
Crypto Investment Firm Paradigm Backs Gen Z: Continues Betting on Young Talent, Chaotic but Highly Promising
Svmuu News: Matt Huang, co-founder and CEO of crypto investment firm Paradigm with approximately $12 billion in assets under management, stated that Gen Z employees "sometimes create a lot of chaos, enough to drive you crazy," but the creativity and technological breakthroughs they bring are equally astonishing. This has reinforced his commitment to betting on young talent. He revealed that MIT dropout Charlie Noyes was only 19 years old when he joined the company but later played a key role in MEV research and Flashbots investment, helping to establish that infrastructure as a crucial component of the Ethereum ecosystem. Matt Huang described Paradigm's team as "running an X-Men academy." Despite the unpredictability of young employees, their technical capabilities and speed of innovation often "far surpass those of traditional practitioners." (Fortune)
08:26
U.S. Media Reports No American Delegation Members Remain in Pakistan
Svmuu News After the conclusion of negotiations between the United States and Iran, no members of the American delegation remain in Pakistan. Reports indicate that U.S. President Trump's special envoy Witkoff, Trump's son-in-law Kushner, and the U.S. technical team have all departed from Islamabad, the capital of Pakistan. U.S. Vice President Vance had arrived at Ramstein Air Base in Germany before 7:00 AM Eastern Time on the 12th. According to earlier reports from Pakistani media, Vance had left Pakistan on the 12th local time. (Xinhua News Agency)
08:13
US-Iran Negotiations Fail to Yield Results, Sparking Market Volatility; Whale Adjusts Portfolio, Opens 20x Leveraged Long Position on Oil
Svmuu News According to Onchain Lens monitoring, against the backdrop of the US-Iran negotiations once again failing to reach an agreement, market risk aversion sentiment has intensified. A whale address "0x9e8" significantly adjusted its positions within the past 5 hours, closing most of its $SILVER (20x) long positions and opening a new 95,577 $CL (crude oil futures) 20x leveraged long position, with a position size of approximately $9 million.
07:57
Michael Saylor Once Again Releases Bitcoin Tracker Information, May Disclose Acquisition Data Next Week
Svmuu News According to reports, Michael Saylor, founder of the Bitcoin treasury company MicroStrategy, has once again released information related to the Bitcoin Tracker. He wrote: "Think ₿igger." Based on previous patterns, MicroStrategy typically discloses its Bitcoin acquisition information the day after such related messages are released.
07:52
UK Financial Regulator Urgently Assesses Risks of Anthropic's Latest AI Model
Svmuu News The UK's financial regulator is holding urgent consultations with the government's key cybersecurity regulator and the country's largest banks to assess the risks posed by Anthropic's latest artificial intelligence model.
Officials from the Bank of England, the Financial Conduct Authority, and the Treasury are in discussions with the National Cyber Security Centre to explore potential vulnerabilities in critical IT systems revealed by Anthropic's latest model.
According to two informed sources, within the next two weeks, the UK's major banks, insurers, and exchanges will meet with regulators and will be briefed on the cybersecurity risks exposed by Anthropic's latest model, Claude Mythos Preview. (FT)
07:46
Analyst: Bitcoin's Current Correction Remains Mild, Far from Entering Historic "Capitulation" Phase
Svmuu News According to a post by crypto analyst Axel Adler on the X platform, from a structural perspective, the current Bitcoin market correction is still significantly weaker than the bear market phases of the 2017–2018 and 2021–2022 cycles.
Historical data shows that at similar stages in previous cycles, Bitcoin's maximum drawdowns reached approximately -54% in the 2021–2022 cycle, -64% in the 2017–2018 cycle, and -43% in the 2013–2015 cycle. In comparison, the current market decline remains within a relatively mild range, more akin to a "normal adjustment" than a deep liquidation phase, but it is still insufficient to confirm that a market bottom has formed.
Axel stated that subsequent versions will continue to upgrade the model and data dashboard, and the upcoming version 1.6 will reconstruct the RISK ON/OFF module, introducing an LLM layer to comprehensively assess global market indicators for environmental judgment, further enhancing cycle identification capabilities. The current market is still in a phase of structural evolution, requiring continued observation of whether multi-layered data signals show systematic deterioration or confirm a reversal.
07:30
Svmuu Evening Brief
1. Robinhood excludes certain prediction market contracts due to concerns over market manipulation and insider trading risks;
2. X Product Lead: Reduces aggregated account revenue share to 60%, will cut another 20% next week and crack down on clickbait;
3. Iran's Deputy Parliament Speaker: The Strait of Hormuz is a "red line" and is entirely under Iran's control;
4. Justin Sun: Condemns the ongoing token scandal created by bad actors within WLFI;
5. Former Vice President of Bank of China, Wang Yongli: Views US crypto asset policy dialectically;
6. Analyst: Current short-term BTC trading is difficult, recommends regular investors focus on dollar-cost averaging;
7. Argentina includes cryptocurrencies in the net asset scope for qualified investors;
8. Analysis: The probability of the US and Iran reaching a consensus on core demands is not low;
9. CryptoQuant Analyst: If the US-Iran conflict persists and impacts inflation, it may force the Fed to raise interest rates in response;
10. Analyst: Bitcoin and Ethereum approach key price levels, potentially signaling a market trend reversal.
07:14
American musician G.Love loses 5.92 BTC after downloading fake Ledger app from Apple App Store
Svmuu News American musician G.Love from Philadelphia posted on platform X, stating that while replacing his computer and reconfiguring his Ledger, he mistakenly downloaded a malicious counterfeit application from the Apple App Store, resulting in the theft of his retirement funds. Approximately 5.92 bitcoins were transferred out within a short period. On-chain investigator ZachXBT subsequently indicated that the stolen funds have been tracked and pointed out that the related assets have completed their money laundering path transfer through deposit addresses of a CEX. ZachXBT also questioned Apple's App Store review mechanism, stating that the Apple platform has issues allowing counterfeit apps to be listed, further amplifying user asset security risks. The incident has once again drawn market attention to wallet security and application ecosystem review mechanisms.
07:02
Analyst: Failure of US-Iran Talks Could Provide Further Upside Momentum for the Dollar
Svmuu News: Senior strategist Fiona Lim from Maybank stated that the market might be somewhat disappointed by the failure of the US-Iran talks, but this outcome was not entirely unexpected. The US dollar may gain further upward momentum at the start of trading on Monday. Some Asian currencies, particularly those of net energy importers such as the South Korean won, Philippine peso, Japanese yen, and Thai baht, had already begun to weaken last Friday and may continue to face pressure this week. (Jin10)
07:00
enai.bnb transferred 41,025 RAVE from Aster two days ago and is now the TOP9 holder on the BSC network
Svmuu News According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi's monitoring, enai.bnb bought 46,336.76 tokens at an average price of $0.4556 on the second day of RAVE's launch and held them until 48 days ago, when all tokens were transferred into Aster (when the token price was $0.39), with an unknown purpose; then, 2 days ago, 41,025 tokens were transferred out from Aster, and he is now the TOP9 holder on the BSC network. If he had not sold at that time, his return rate would have been as high as 462%, with a floating profit of $86,000.
06:58
TRUMP Whales Gather Early, Withdraw Tokens from CEXs; US Senators Launch Conflict of Interest Inquiry
Svmuu According to Svmuu, as U.S. President Donald Trump's planned crypto-themed dinner approaches, some whales are continuously accumulating TRUMP tokens. Among them, address "8DHkza" recently withdrew approximately 850,500 TRUMP (worth about $2.4 million) from Bybit, while another address "7EtuAt" withdrew around 105,000 tokens from Binance, currently holding roughly 1.13 million tokens (worth about $3.2 million). On-chain data indicates that large outflows from exchanges are often seen as a signal of long-term holding or accumulation, potentially reducing short-term selling pressure.
This capital inflow occurred ahead of a private dinner exclusive to the top 297 token holders, with the top 29 qualifying for VIP status. Despite signs of token concentration, the TRUMP price remains around $2.80, near its historical lows.
Simultaneously, U.S. Senators Elizabeth Warren, Adam Schiff, and Richard Blumenthal have sent letters to relevant entities, demanding disclosure of whether Trump was involved in the event's preparation and if any benefits were obtained. They stated that Congress needs to assess potential conflict of interest issues. Against the backdrop of political scrutiny and weak price performance, the token faces dual uncertainties from both regulatory and market perspectives. (CoinD)
06:55
ETH falls below 2200 USDT, down 1.83% in 24H
According to OKX market data, ETH has fallen below 2200 USDT and is currently trading at 2199.64 USDT, down 1.83% in the past 24 hours.
06:35
Analyst: Failed US-Iran Talks Could Lead to Renewed Oil Price Rise, Risk Sentiment May Be Hit Again
Svmuu News Charu Chanana, Chief Investment Strategist at Saxo Bank, stated that the inconclusive outcome of the US-Iran talks represents a step backward. For the market, this means that the previous easing trade is likely to fade. Oil prices may rise again, and risk sentiment will once again be hit. The Strait of Hormuz, even if not completely closed, will remain a real and critical chokepoint risk. However, given the significant gap in positions between the two sides on nuclear safeguards and the Strait of Hormuz issue, this is not entirely unexpected. For the US dollar, this means it may regain some safe-haven support, but unless new military escalation occurs, it is unlikely to trigger a full-scale surge. Gold might benefit from renewed geopolitical hedging demand, but the market is not yet ready to fully return to the worst-case inflation shock scenario. (Jin10)
06:23
CryptoQuant Analyst: Bitcoin Long-Term Holdings Continue to Grow, Signaling Strengthening Market Speculation Cooling
According to CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost, the Bitcoin market is currently entering an early stabilization phase, with long-term holding behavior gradually strengthening, indicating a potential shift in market structure.
Data shows that since October, the number of BTC held for over one year has increased from approximately 12 million to about 12.4 million. Although the growth remains moderate, it reflects a market behavior tilting towards long-term holding. Since mid-December, the 30-day change has consistently remained positive, suggesting investors are more inclined to continue holding rather than distributing their holdings.
Darkfost pointed out that this change typically signifies the market is gradually transitioning from a speculation-dominated phase to a phase with stronger long-term conviction. In historical cycles, the proportion of long-term holdings usually declines significantly at market peaks and gradually recovers during bear markets. Therefore, the current trend can be viewed as an early signal of market stabilization.
However, he also emphasized that this indicator reflects long-term dimensional changes, which usually require a considerable amount of time to form a clear trend, and the current situation is still in its early stages.
06:17
Binance Life Market Cap Surpasses $150 Million, 24H Increase of 15.47%
According to data from GMGN, the market cap of Binance Life has surpassed $150 million, currently reported at $153.47 million, with a 24-hour increase of 15.47%.
Svmuu reminds users that Meme coin prices are highly volatile; investors are advised to participate cautiously.
06:07
Iran Responds to Trump: Blockading Iran Will Not "Open" the Strait of Hormuz
Svmuu News On the 12th, US President Trump reposted an article about a "naval blockade" of Iran on social media. The Iranian Embassy in Austria responded the same day, stating that a blockade cannot "open" the Strait of Hormuz. The embassy wrote on social media: "A simple note for those concerned: A blockade is a blockade. It cannot 'open' the Strait of Hormuz; it only restricts it. The only way out of this self-inflicted predicament is to remain open and flexible in negotiations. Follow reason." (Xinhua News Agency)
06:05
Security Experts: North Korea's "Open" Theft of Crypto Assets Has Become Its Financing Means
Svmuu According to security experts, as North Korea's infiltration and attacks targeting the crypto industry continue to escalate, the core difference between its hackers and those with backgrounds from other countries lies in the fact that crypto assets have become a crucial direct financing source for the country to sustain its military expenditures.
It is reported that in the recent months-long infiltration operation targeting Drift Protocol, North Korean hackers have once again caused a stir in the industry. Experts indicate that this model is not merely a "fund transfer tool" but rather a direct "predatory profit-seeking" method used to bypass international sanctions and obtain immediately usable hard currency funds.
Security researchers point out that unlike countries such as Russia and Iran, North Korea has almost no sustainable external economic or commodity export capabilities. Therefore, it relies more heavily on crypto theft as a core revenue source to support its nuclear weapons and ballistic missile programs. Experts also emphasize that North Korean hacking targets have expanded from simple phishing to include exchanges, wallet services, and key permission holders of DeFi protocols, commonly employing long-cycle social engineering and identity impersonation infiltration tactics.
Due to the "once confirmed, irreversible" nature of blockchain transactions, the crypto industry is far weaker than the traditional financial system in terms of fund freezing and recovery, making such attacks more destructive in terms of speed and scale. Security personnel warn that this "long-term lurking + precise takeover" attack model has yet to be effectively addressed by the industry. (CoinDesk)
05:59
Google News Accidentally Displays Polymarket Prediction Market Results, Official Statement Attributes It to System Error
Svmuu News Some links to Polymarket's prediction markets briefly appeared in the search results of Google's news service, Google News, displayed alongside mainstream media news, but were subsequently removed. A spokesperson for Google stated that this display was a system error, saying, "The website was briefly shown in Google News in error and is no longer appearing."
It is reported that before being removed, some users found Polymarket's market prediction results also appearing below reports from mainstream media outlets like Reuters and The Guardian in event-driven searches. For example, queries related to "whether ships pass through the Strait of Hormuz" displayed both relevant news and betting market information. (Cointelegraph)

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