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5/3

06:58

CryptoQuant Analyst: Model Shows BTC Needs to Drop to $59,000 for Mid-to-Long Term Bottom Formation to Begin

Svmuureports that CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr posted on X, stating that based on the Adjusted Realized Price Bands model calibrated to Bitcoin's current circulating supply, a drop to the key $59,000 range is required for a true mid-to-long term bottoming process to begin. Bottoming is not a short-term process and will not be completed within one to two weeks; the base case scenario estimates it will take approximately six months.
Axel Adler Jr emphasized that while Bitcoin has recently seen some increase in price, what truly drives market stabilization is not sentiment recovery or a local rebound, but the return of long-term genuine demand. That is, when the market begins to price in future value again and spot buying continues to recover, the bottom may be truly established.

06:49

Hyperliquid Mainnet Launches Outcome Markets, Debuting First Daily BTC Settlement Prediction Market

Svmuu reports that Hyperliquid has announced the launch of Outcome Markets (HIP-4) on the mainnet, which is currently an initial version with limited functionality. Outcome Markets are fully collateralized contracts that settle within a fixed range, suitable for prediction markets, range options, and similar scenarios, without involving leverage or liquidation mechanisms. The first phase aims to validate the technical implementation. The first market launched is a daily binary Outcome contract, settled daily at 06:00 UTC based on the BTC mark price on Hyperliquid. The official statement indicates that more features and market types will be rolled out in phases subsequently.

Hyperliquid Mainnet Launches Outcome Markets, Debuting First Daily BTC Settlement Prediction Market

06:36

"Fed Mouthpiece": Fed’s Internal Winds Shift as Policy Path Moves from Rate-Cut Expectations to Rate-Hike Assessment

Svmuu reports that Nick Timiraos, known as the "Fed Mouthpiece," wrote in The Wall Street Journal that the discussion within the Federal Reserve regarding the interest rate path has undergone a noticeable shift. The focus is no longer primarily on when to restart rate cuts but has begun to consider under what conditions rate hikes might be necessary again. Since the Fed began releasing policy statements in 1994, disagreements over how to describe the policy direction—rather than actual rate changes—have been rare.
Three regional Fed presidents, including Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, opposed retaining the wording "the next move is more likely a rate cut" at this week’s policy meeting, arguing that the next rate adjustment could be either a hike or a cut. Outgoing Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that the committee is gradually shifting from a "rate-cut bias" to a "neutral stance" and noted that if rate hikes become necessary in the future, the Fed would first move to a neutral position before signaling increases. (WSJ)

06:23

Iranian Crypto Exchange Nobitex Controlled by Founders' Family with Close Ties to High-Ranking Officials, Trading Remains Active During Wartime

Svmuu reports that Nobitex, Iran's largest cryptocurrency exchange, was founded by members of the Kharrazi family, who have close ties to Iran's supreme leadership. Investigations show the exchange was created by brothers Ali and Mohammad Kharrazi, who previously used the surname "Aghamir" to conceal their connection to the Kharrazi family. This family has long-standing, deep ties to Iran's political core, including historical links to Ali Khamenei and his successors.
The report indicates that Nobitex currently serves over 11 million users, dominates the Iranian crypto market, and has continued operating throughout conflicts between Iran, the United States, and Israel, even processing transactions during nationwide internet blackouts. Analysts say its trading volume exceeded $100 million during wartime, with significant funds flowing overseas.
Additionally, multiple on-chain analytics firms point out that the platform has processed transactions linked to sanctioned entities, with estimated volumes ranging from $22 million to $366 million. Other data shows that wallets associated with the Central Bank of Iran transferred hundreds of millions of dollars worth of crypto assets to Nobitex in 2025, allegedly to circumvent financial sanctions. Nobitex denies any connection to the government, stating that illegal transactions represent only a small fraction of its overall business. (Cointelegraph)

06:21

Data: Monthly spending on crypto cards rises to $600 million, with USDT accounting for 62.5%

Svmuu reports that data from Memento Research shows the monthly spending volume of crypto payment cards has risen to $600 million, a six-fold increase from a year ago. Cumulative on-chain transaction volume has reached $7.2 billion, with a total of 24 million transactions completed, involving 1.36 million wallet addresses. Among them:
1. 62.5% of transactions are settled using Tether (USDT), indicating that stablecoins are gradually becoming the underlying infrastructure for consumer payments;
2. Approximately 90% of transactions are completed via the Visa network;
3. On-chain data also shows that the Solana ecosystem contributed about $348 million in transaction volume, while Jupiter’s Jupiter Global saw a month-over-month growth of 660%.

06:14

Tether CEO: May Advance WDK and QVAC Integration for Agent Cards

Svmuu reports that Paolo Ardoino, CEO of stablecoin issuer Tether, stated in a post on platform X that Tether may need to promote integration between WDK and QVAC in the future to support the development of Agent Cards-related features. Analysts believe this direction could help improve the connection layer between AI agents and crypto payment infrastructure, providing more efficient underlying support for automated application scenarios.

06:08

Particle Network Releases Next Phase of Universal Accounts Roadmap, Chain Abstraction Ecosystem Continues to Accelerate

Svmuureports that Particle Network has announced the next phase of its product roadmap for Universal Accounts, set to launch two new products in the coming months:
1. Universal Deposit SDK: Developers only need approximately 10 lines of code to enable users to deposit assets into their application from any chain, significantly lowering the barrier for multi-chain asset integration.
2. Universal Agent Accounts: APIs and a Dashboard designed for AI Agents, allowing AI Agents to own and manage their own Universal Accounts.
Previously, in March, Particle released EIP-7702 Universal Accounts, enabling seamless upgrades from any standard EOA account to a Universal Account. This latest roadmap further solidifies Universal Accounts’ positioning as essential infrastructure for scenarios such as developer integration, AI Agent asset management, and multi-chain asset transfers.
Overall, Particle is advancing Universal Accounts from an "account abstraction capability" towards a broader chain abstraction application-layer infrastructure, which is expected to enhance its developer adoption rate and distribution capabilities within the onchain ecosystem.

06:04

TON Mainnet Validation Rules Tightened: Minimum Staking Threshold May Rise to 1 Million TON

Svmuu reported that TON has issued an update for mainnet validators, stating that due to new capital entering the validation network, both the minimum and maximum effective staking thresholds required to participate in validation have risen simultaneously. Validators need to promptly check whether their current resource configurations are sufficient to continue participating in validation and, where conditions permit, consolidate their staking positions. Currently, the minimum and maximum staking thresholds for this round of validation are 824,000 TON and 2.425 million TON, respectively. It is expected that these will soon rise further to 1 million TON and 3 million TON. For validators who cannot simultaneously meet the staking requirements for both validation rounds, TON recommends using staking services or configuring a 1-of-2 round validation mode to maximize capital efficiency.

TON Mainnet Validation Rules Tightened: Minimum Staking Threshold May Rise to 1 Million TON

06:01

Iranian Revolutionary Guard: Trump Must Choose Between Military Action and a "Bad Deal"

Svmuu: Iran's Revolutionary Guard stated, "Trump must choose between an impossible military operation or reaching a bad deal with Iran. The United States' room for decision-making has narrowed." (Jin Shi)

06:00

Iranian media: An Iranian supertanker has broken through the U.S. blockade

Svmuu: A very large crude carrier (VLCC) belonging to the National Iranian Tanker Company has broken through the surveillance blockade of an "extraterritorial naval fleet," carrying over 1.9 million barrels of crude oil. The report states this demonstrates Iran's capabilities in energy supply chain management and shipping strategies to evade US Navy surveillance, once again proving Iran's operational expertise in ensuring the security of energy transportation. (Xinhua News Agency)

05:54

U.S. CFTC Chair to Limit State Regulators' Intervention in Prediction Markets

U.S. CFTC Chairman Moves to Limit State-Level Regulatory Intervention in Prediction Markets
SvmuuNews: U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) Chairman Michael Selig announced that the agency is pushing to limit state-level intervention in prediction markets, aiming to prevent state regulatory measures from hindering or even stifling the industry's development.
Sources indicate that Michael Selig, a sports fan himself with his office decorated with extensive sports memorabilia, has long shown interest in sports prediction markets. Since taking office several months ago, he has swiftly initiated related efforts to create a more lenient federal regulatory environment for prediction markets, enabling more U.S. users to participate in trading predictions on sports events and other outcomes. (The Information)

05:31

ZachXBT: US Law Firms' "Free-Riding Claims" May Hinder Recovery and Compensation of Funds for Hacking Victims

SvmuuPaperImperium, the head of MegaETH, disclosed on X platform that documents from the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York show that a U.S. court has issued an injunction against the Arbitrum DAO, prohibiting it from transferring approximately $71 million in ETH assets that were previously frozen during the KelpDAO hacking incident. In response, on-chain detective ZachXBT posted on X platform, stating that certain U.S. law firms are using his investigative work and on-chain forensics to help victims of some hacking incidents file legal claims. However, this practice may actually slow down or hinder victims from receiving compensation or recovering funds.
ZachXBT added that in previous hacking incidents involving the Lazarus Group, such law firms often stepped in after on-chain fund tracking or freezing was completed, proposing subsequent legal actions that were weakly related to the crypto incidents themselves. Similar "free-riding claims" strategies were used in events like Harmony and Bybit. He called on the crypto community to establish a DAO to resist such practices.

05:31

New York court orders Arbitrum DAO to freeze $71 million in ETH, potentially for compensation to victims of North Korea-related cases

Svmuu News: MegaETH lead PaperImperium disclosed on X platform a court document from the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York, showing that a U.S. court has issued an injunction against the Arbitrum DAO, prohibiting it from transferring approximately $71 million worth of ETH assets that were previously frozen in the KelpDAO hacking incident. The plaintiffs are attempting to use these funds to enforce outstanding judgment compensation in cases related to North Korea's involvement in terrorism, kidnapping, and other matters spanning several years. They have also filed a motion to serve legal notice to the Arbitrum DAO via alternative means, treating it as an accountable "partnership."
The court document further notes that the Arbitrum DAO has a Security Council governed by ARB holders, which has the authority to take action in emergencies. As a result, relevant members who refuse to comply may face legal consequences such as contempt of court. Market observers believe that this case could set an important precedent for the U.S. judicial system to directly constrain DAO governance structures, further highlighting the compliance pressure faced by DeFi protocols under real-world legal frameworks.

05:16

Ethereum The Foundation: Key objectives of the Glamsterdam upgrade have been largely completed; a consensus has been reached on a 200 million gas limit.

Svmuu reported that the Ethereum Foundation has published a summary of its Soldøgn Interop work, having essentially completed the key objectives of the Glamsterdam upgrade. These achievements include reaching consensus on a 200 million Gas Limit floor post-upgrade, achieving stable operation of the external Builder process for ePBS, and finalizing the parameters for the EIP-8037 Gas repricing. The focus of the Glamsterdam upgrade is to safely increase the Gas Limit to expand Ethereum's throughput capacity, while EIP-8037 aims to prevent the unlimited expansion of the state caused by a high Gas Limit by increasing the cost of state creation.
The Ethereum Foundation also stated that most clients have achieved stable operation on the glamsterdam-devnet-2 network and have successfully tested the full external Builder workflow. Furthermore, substantial progress has been made on FOCIL, native account abstraction, and features related to the Hegotá upgrade. In the coming weeks, core developers will continue to advance client hardening, test completion, and code merging, with the final parameters still to be publicly confirmed at the AllCoreDevs meeting.

05:03

Galaxy Research Director: Satoshi’s 1.1 Million BTC Should Not Be Moved, PQ Solutions Need to Be Prepared in Advance

Svmuu News: Galaxy Research Director Alex Thorn posted on X platform, stating that after in-depth discussions with multiple Bitcoin industry figures on the topic of quantum computing and Bitcoin, he believes that the market is gradually forming a consensus:
First, the approximately 1.1 million BTC held by Satoshi Nakamoto (distributed across about 22,000 P2PK addresses) should not be arbitrarily moved. Violating property rights to address quantum risks could undermine Bitcoin’s core value proposition. Even in extreme scenarios where these BTC are transferred, the market has strong absorption capacity, and risks can be further mitigated through solutions such as “Hourglass.”
Second, advancing research, testing, and signature compression of new cryptographic technologies like quantum-resistant (PQ) cryptography for Bitcoin is a positive direction. Contingency plans can be prepared in advance. However, prematurely pushing for protocol-layer implementation should be avoided to prevent consensus deadlock or the introduction of new, unverified risks. Even if there is only a 1% chance that quantum threats will impact Bitcoin, sustained research investment is worthwhile.

04:55

OPEC+ plans to increase its oil production target by 188,000 barrels per day starting in June

Svmuu reported, citing market sources: The draft statement from OPEC+ indicates that the group plans to raise its oil production target by 188,000 barrels per day starting in June. (Jin10)

04:42

Wasabi Protocol: Users Can Now Safely Interact with Contracts and Withdraw Remaining Funds

Svmuu reported that Wasabi Protocol posted a security incident update on platform X, stating that users can now safely interact with the protocol's contracts to withdraw their remaining funds. The team said they are working diligently behind the scenes to advance related processing efforts. However, as the investigation is still ongoing, they are unable to disclose further details at this time. Updates will be shared with the community as soon as circumstances permit.

04:31

10x Research Founder: BTC Stands Firm on Short/Medium-Term Moving Averages, Dominance Rate Exceeds 60% Releases Bullish Signal

Svmuu News: 10x Research founder Markus Thielen posted on X platform that Bitcoin has now risen above the 7-day and 30-day moving averages, with short-term and medium-term trends remaining bullish. It has gained 1.1% in the past week. News of continued institutional buying and ongoing accumulation by large corporate treasuries has further boosted market confidence. However, influenced by the historical pattern of "buy the rumor, sell the news," the market subsequently experienced a brief consolidation.
Markus Thielen analyzed that hints from White House advisors about an upcoming major announcement regarding national strategic reserves have also strengthened bullish market sentiment. With Bitcoin's dominance rate remaining above 60%, some altcoins are quietly forming a bottom driven by fundamental catalysts. Projects related to privacy coins and RWA infrastructure are particularly worth paying close attention to.

04:27

DCG Founder: Bitcoin Validates Trillion-Dollar Demand, Privacy Coins Like Zcash Will Benefit from 'Prophet Advantage'

Svmuureports that Barry Silbert, founder of the Digital Currency Group (DCG), the parent company of Grayscale, stated in a post on the X platform that in 2015, the market had yet to realize the existence of a $2 trillion global demand for decentralized digital value storage tools like Bitcoin. At the time, the industry generally believed that Bitcoin itself was sufficiently private to serve as a relatively private global store of value and transfer tool. Now, as market awareness increases and privacy needs are more clearly identified, privacy coins like Zcash will benefit from this 'prophet advantage.'

04:12

South Korea's KB Financial Group Partners with Pantera Capital to Expand Digital Asset Strategy

Svmuu News: South Korean financial giant KB Financial Group has announced a strategic partnership with U.S. crypto venture capital firm Pantera Capital, aiming to expand its digital asset strategy, enhance its blockchain financial competitiveness, and accelerate the development of new businesses. Previously, KB Financial had signed a memorandum of understanding with the Bank of Korea regarding the "Project Han River" and also established a partnership with stablecoin issuer Circle. (Koreaherald)

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