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7/16
04:13
According to monitoring data from the PPP prediction market tool, Polymarket has launched a market titled “When will the U.S. and Iran reach a two-week ceasefire?” The current probability for July 18 is provisionally reported at 5%; the probability for July 24 is currently reported at 15%; for July 31, 23%; for August 14, 43%; and for August 31, 54%.
The settlement rule for this event is as follows: If the United States does not take any military action against Iran between the time the market is created and 11:59 p.m. on the specified end date, the market will settle as “Yes.” Otherwise, the market will settle as “No.” The first day of this 14-day period will be the calendar date (Eastern Time) of the most recent qualifying military action. The period continues until 12:00 p.m. Eastern Time on the 14th day. If the most recent qualifying military action during this period occurred on or before the specified end date, the market will be settled as “Yes.”
A “qualifying military action” refers to an airstrike or ground-to-ground missile strike initiated by the United States and directed specifically against Iran. Airstrikes may include the use of bombs, air-to-ground missiles, and drones launched from the air. Ground-to-ground missile strikes include one-way attack drones as well as ground-to-ground missiles such as cruise missiles or ballistic missiles.
Eligible military actions include munitions destroyed or intercepted prior to impact; surface-to-air missile strikes; small-arms fire; ground incursions; cyber operations; naval gunfire and artillery fire; howitzers, artillery, mortars, and rocket launchers (such as multiple launch rocket systems); small-scale ground-to-ground strikes, including short-range cruise missiles, close-air-support drones, and anti-tank missile attacks; and any threats, authorizations, or declarations of force that have not yet been carried out.
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04:12
Svmuu News: Bitget has launched its Unified Cross-Asset Account (UTA), which currently includes more than 370 assets—including 100 U.S. stock tokens (rTokens)—in its unified margin pool.Under this mechanism, users’ U.S. stock tokens (rTokens) not only allow them to hold shares and receive dividends but can also be used as margin and collateral for borrowing, further enhancing capital efficiency.
The first batch of U.S. stock tokens included in the margin system covers 100 mainstream securities, such as Apple (rAAPL), NVIDIA (rNVDA), and Tesla (rTSLA). Discount rates are tiered by asset type, with the highest reaching up to 95%.As the product evolves, Bitget will continue to expand the list of assets eligible for margin and leveraged trading, further breaking down liquidity barriers between traditional financial assets and crypto trading scenarios.
04:11
Svmuu News: According to OKX market data, BTC has fallen below 64,000 USDT and is currently trading at 63,999 USDT, down 0.92% over the past 24 hours.
04:11
Svmuu News: According to OKX market data, ETH has fallen below 1,900 USDT and is currently trading at 1,897.73 USDT, with its 24-hour gain narrowing to 1.32%.
04:07
Svmuu News: South Korean cryptocurrency exchange Bithumb announced that it will discontinue trading support for GRACY, SPURS, ZTX, WIKEN, and FITFI on August 18, citing the failure to resolve the specific issues that prompted the trading suspension. Upbit also announced that it will delist the SPURS token on August 18.
04:05
Svmuu News: According to data from MSX.COM, in pre-market trading on U.S. stock markets, SK Hynix ADRs (SKHY.O) fell more than 6%, while SanDisk (SNDK.O) and Western Digital (WDC.O) each fell more than 4%.
03:46
Svmuu News: According to an official announcement, BitMart Futures will launch the TZAUSDT perpetual contract on July 16, 2026, at 19:00 (UTC+8), with leverage of up to 25x.
03:46
Svmuu News: BitcoinTreasuries.NET posted on X that Swedbank AB, with assets under management of $264 billion, has increased its holding of Bitcoin Strategy shares by 8,278 shares, bringing its total holding to 90,590 shares, valued at $8.81 million.
03:45
According to PPP prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “Will Argentina Win the 2026 World Cup?”, smart money with a win probability exceeding 72% (0x701187150980c2421bc3c87a74dbdef31d75c6da) has purchased over $90,000 worth of positions betting that Argentina will not win the 2026 World Cup, with an average entry price of 58.1¢.
Spain defeated Portugal 1–0 and Belgium 2–1 in the knockout stage, before eliminating France 2–0 in the semifinals. Argentina, meanwhile, defeated Egypt 3–2, beat Switzerland 3–1, and came from behind to defeat England 2–1 in the semifinals thanks to two late goals. The two teams will face off in the World Cup final for the championship.
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03:42
Svmuu News: CZ posted that while AI is powerful, it cannot protect personal assets from inflation—but Bitcoin can.
03:34
Svmuu News: Strategy Inc. currently holds 843,775 BTC, valued at approximately $55 billion based on a price of about $64,500;Its total cost basis for the “Bitcoin” is approximately $63.69 billion, with an average cost of about $75,500 per BTC, resulting in an unrealized loss of nearly $9.9 billion.
Michael Saylor, Executive Chairman of Strategy, disclosed that as of July 12, 2026, the company’s BTC reserves stood at 843,775, with USD reserves of $3 billion, and that it had increased its USD reserves by $450 million.
The company has not purchased any additional Bitcoin since June 22 and recently sold 3,588 BTC to build a cash position. The $3 billion in reserves can cover approximately 20 months of preferred stock dividends and debt interest obligations.
Strategy raised approximately $467 million by selling common stock through a market offering that week and did not increase its holdings of Bitcoin for the third consecutive week. Saylor stated that Strategy converted Bitcoin into Digital Credit.
03:25
Svmuu News: South Korea will tighten margin requirements for leveraged trading of individual stocks, raising the minimum margin from 10 million won to 30 million won, and will only accept cash as margin. (Yonhap News)
03:06
Svmuu News: The U.S. Senate passed a non-binding resolution by unanimous consent, clearly stating that FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried should not receive a presidential pardon or sentence reduction under any circumstances.
The resolution was sponsored by Senators Cynthia Lummis and Ruben Gallego.SBF was convicted in November 2023 on seven charges related to the FTX collapse and is currently expected to be released as early as around 2044. U.S. President Donald Trump stated in January of this year that he had no plans to pardon SBF. (CoinDesk)
03:06
Svmuu News: Starting today, South Korean cryptocurrency exchange Bithumb has designated AZIT, CUDIS, FANC, TEMCO, EGG, and STAT as “cautionary trading” tokens, as their combined market capitalization and trading volume across domestic and international exchanges have not met the required standards. Bithumb will suspend deposits of the aforementioned tokens starting at 16:00 on July 16. Subsequent announcements regarding extensions, removals from the list, or the termination of trading are expected to be released during the third week of October.
03:01
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, the probabilities of the following four events on Polymarket—“Deng Yu will win the 2026 Fields Medal,” “Wang Hong will win the 2026 Fields Medal,” “ John Parden will win the 2026 Fields Medal,” and “Jacob Chimmelman will win the 2026 Fields Medal”—have risen sharply over the past week, with all currently standing at over 98%.
The 2026 International Congress of Mathematicians will convene on July 23 in Philadelphia, USA, at which time multiple awards, including the Fields Medal, will be announced. Recently, some netizens claimed that by analyzing the front-end code of the ICM 2026 official website schedule, they discovered that the above four individuals might be the winners; however, the list has not yet been officially confirmed. If Deng Yu and Wang Hong ultimately win, they will be the first Chinese mathematicians to receive the Fields Medal.
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02:59
Svmuu News: Christopher Hodge, former chief economist at the New York Fed and chief U.S. economist at Natixis, said that Fed Chair Warsh’s hawkish start could create a “credibility trap.” Christopher Hodge noted that Warsh’s aversion to “forward guidance” and “dot plots” is justified given the current uncertain environment, but also reveals a risk-taking tendency; If CPI data in the coming months becomes distorted by short-term disruptions such as tariffs or energy shocks, Warsh may be forced to raise rates due to his previous stance. Natixis expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged throughout 2026.
02:35
Svmuu News: Cryptocurrency exchange Luno has formally challenged South Africa’s proposed foreign exchange law reforms, arguing that the Ministry of Finance’s plan to include digital assets under capital controls bypasses Parliament and affects the property and privacy rights of millions of South Africans.
In its submission, Luno pointed out that the draft legislation includes provisions for asset seizure without a court order, forced liquidation, and sanctions that could lead to business closure. Violators could face up to five years in prison, a fine of $53,000, or both.
Luno recommends that the final framework for cryptocurrency capital flows be established through a parliamentary bill, which would classify cryptocurrency assets purchased and held on licensed South African exchanges as domestic assets and distinguish between different categories of digital assets based on their economic functions.
Luno also recommends removing mechanisms for forced sales and warrantless asset seizures, and allowing non-resident international trading firms to continue accessing the South African market upon proper registration, in order to maintain market liquidity.
02:34
Svmuu News: According to Gate data, the Nikkei 225 index closed down 1,915.97 points, or 2.79%, at 66,835.54 on Thursday, July 16; Kioxia shares fell 14%. South Korea’s KOSPI index closed down 466.06 points, or 6.4%, at 6,818.35 on Thursday, July 16; South Korea’s KOSDAQ index closed down 4.5%; SK Hynix fell 11%, and Samsung Electronics dropped 8%. South Korean authorities stated that they would soon announce measures to address the controversy surrounding leveraged ETFs linked to Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix shares, which have exacerbated stock market volatility.
02:30
Svmuu News: DeepSeek is preparing for a listing on the Shanghai STAR Market, planning to submit its application by the end of this year, with the listing expected to be completed as early as the second quarter of 2027.
DeepSeek has begun discussions with investors and banks regarding its listing plans. The funds raised through the IPO are intended for model R&D, talent recruitment, and the construction of computing infrastructure. The relevant timeline is subject to change, and the listing plans are subject to regulatory approval. (The Wall Street Journal)
02:19
Svmuu News: Zolfaghari, a spokesperson for the Iranian Armed Forces’ Hatam al-Ambiya Central Command, stated today (July 16) that if Iranian infrastructure continues to be targeted by U.S. military attacks, Iran will strike all infrastructure in the region. He also stated that the issue of the Strait of Hormuz is a “red line” for Iran, and that Iran will not allow U.S. interference in the matter. (CCTV International News)

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