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6/22
22:25
The crypto market is broadly down, with the NFT sector falling nearly 4%; only the SocialFi sector has remained relatively resilient.
Svmuu News, June 23: According to data from SoSoValue, the crypto market as a whole is trending downward, with the NFT sector down 3.79% over the past 24 hours. Within the sector, Pudgy Penguins (PENGU) fell 2.96%, and Audiera (BEAT) dropped 6.29%. Meanwhile, Bitcoin (BTC) fell 1.06%, dropping below $64,000; Ethereum (ETH) fell 1.34%, fluctuating within a narrow range around $1,700.
Only the SocialFi sector remained relatively resilient, being the only sector to rise today, up 1.23% over the past 24 hours; among them, Gram (GRAM)—formerly known as Toncoin (TON)—rose 2.13%.
As for other sectors, the DeFi sector fell 0.47% over the past 24 hours, though DeXe (DEXE) surged 59.33%; the CeFi sector fell 0.94%, though OKB (OKB) rose 2.98%—partly driven by the formation of a joint venture with the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE)—and briefly surpassed $83 during intraday trading; The Layer 1 sector fell 1.51%, while TRON (TRX) rose 1.77% during the session; the Layer 2 sector fell 1.51%, with Celestia (TIA) bucking the trend and rising 5.40%; The Meme sector fell 1.55%, but BUILDon (B) rose 6.27%; the PayFi sector fell 2.04%, while Telcoin (TEL) rose 8.06%.
The crypto sector indices, which reflect historical sector performance, showed that the ssiAI, ssiDePIN, and ssiRWA indices fell by 7.86%, 5.26%, and 2.97%, respectively.
The crypto market is broadly down, with the NFT sector falling nearly 4%; only the SocialFi sector has remained relatively resilient.
22:16
predict.fun currently puts the probability of “France finishing first in Group I of the World Cup” at 77%
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer Prophet Channel, in the “World Cup Group I Winner” prediction event on predict.fun, the probability of France finishing first in Group I is currently reported at 77%. Additionally, the probability of Norway finishing first in Group I is currently reported at 23%.
Today, in the second round of Group I of the World Cup group stage, France defeated Iraq 3–0, while Norway beat Senegal 3–2. Both France and Norway have secured advancement to the knockout stage early, and the two teams will compete for first place in the group in the final round.
The Svmuu Seer Prophecy Channel continuously monitors prediction markets, spotting changes before prices are set.
22:11
Predict.fun: Probability of “Messi winning the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot” rises to 33%, up 12% in 24 hours
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, the probability of “Messi winning the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot” on Predict.fun has now risen to 33%, up 12% over the past 24 hours, surpassing Mbappé to take first place; the probability of Kane winning the Golden Boot is 16%, currently ranking third; The probability of Cristiano Ronaldo winning the Golden Boot is currently only 2%.
In the second round of Group J of the World Cup group stage, Argentina defeated Austria 2-0. After missing a penalty, Messi scored two goals, bringing his total to 18 and surpassing Klose to temporarily become the all-time leading scorer in World Cup history.
Svmuu Seer continues to monitor prediction markets, spotting changes before they are priced in.
Predict.fun: Probability of “Messi winning the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot” rises to 33%, up 12% in 24 hours
22:03
ARX briefly surpassed 0.4 USDT, with a gain of over 31% in 15 minutes
Svmuu News: According to OKX market data, following Upbit’s announcement that it would list ARX trading pairs against KRW, BTC, and USDT, the price of ARX briefly rose to 0.4 USDT.
22:00
Upbit to List Archium (ARX) in KRW Pairs
Svmuu News: According to an official announcement, Upbit will list the Archium (ARX) KRW trading pair.
21:58
a16z Crypto: The Crypto Industry Has Entered the “Show Me” Era; Vision Alone Is No Longer Enough to Survive
Svmuu News: Paul Cafiero, a communications partner at a16z Crypto, posted on X that the crypto industry has entered the “Show Me” era, and that vision and an MVP (minimum viable product) alone are no longer enough to gain market recognition.
Paul Cafiero noted that as traditional financial institutions accelerate their entry into the crypto space—such as BlackRock launching a tokenized money market fund, Fidelity applying for a crypto ETF, and JPMorgan Chase using an in-house blockchain to settle transactions—industry standards have been permanently raised.
He stated that partnerships today require real-world deployment cases and partners willing to publicly endorse the project; data must consist of actual metrics such as mainnet trading volume, active users, revenue, and retention curves—not testnet data; and the most compelling proof of product-market fit is no longer a press release, but rather an organically grown community established before the product’s launch.Paul Cafiero believes that the crypto industry’s past reliance on the “vision equals product” logic is failing, and that the market’s validation criteria for projects have fundamentally changed.
21:49
The Goldfinch community proposal has entered maintenance mode and is gradually winding down the Prime business; the current approval rate is 100%.
Svmuu News: The Goldfinch community, a decentralized lending protocol, has released a proposal titled “Approval of Goldfinch Operations and Maintenance and the Phased Wind-Down of Goldfinch Prime.” Voting will close tomorrow, and the proposal currently has a 100% approval rate.
The proposal calls for the orderly winding down of Goldfinch Prime’s operations and the transition of Goldfinch to “maintenance mode.” Subsequent efforts will focus on supporting the ongoing liquidation of the historical borrower pool, maintaining access to older versions of the application so users can continue to receive repayments and principal, and completing the shutdown of the foundation and related administrative obligations.
Additionally, Warbler Labs will receive a fixed service fee of $150,000, of which $100,000 is new funding and $50,000 comes from the reallocation of previously approved operational funds. These funds will be used to support the liquidation and business transition of Goldfinch Prime and the Foundation, as well as the technical and operational maintenance of the historical borrower pool for the next two years or longer.
Previously, Goldfinch completed a $25 million funding round in 2022, led by a16z.
21:47
President of ETF Store: Cboe is considering converting the Bitcoin and Ethereum continuous futures into perpetual futures
Svmuu News: Nate Geraci, President of ETF Store, posted on X that the Chicago Board Options Exchange (Cboe) is considering converting its Bitcoin and Ethereum continuous futures products into perpetual futures.
Nate Geraci believes that traditional financial institutions are continually being forced to respond to crypto-native innovations. He noted that this is just the beginning of traditional finance absorbing innovations from the crypto market.
21:46
South Korea's KOSPI index plummeted 3% during the day
Svmuu News: According to Gate data, South Korea’s KOSPI index has plummeted 3% intraday and is currently trading at 8,840.41 points.
21:44
A total of 425 million ONDO tokens have been received; 8 hours ago, a certain address received another 150 million ONDO tokens via a multi-signature transfer from the Ondo team.
Svmuu News: According to on-chain analyst Ai, the Ondo team’s multi-signature wallet transferred 150 million ONDO tokens—worth $49.56 million—to a certain address 8 hours ago;Since April 22, this address has cumulatively received 425 million ONDO tokens, with a total value of $147 million. Following the two previous transfers, the tokens were deposited in batches into Coinbase; their intended use remains unknown.
21:33
“The White-Haired Stock Guru” Serenity: OE Solutions May Be One of the Most Attractive M&A Targets in the Optical Communications Sector
Svmuu News: Serenity, known as the “White-Haired Stock Guru,” posted on X, stating that he believes South Korean optical communications company OE Solutions (138080.KQ) is one of the most reasonable choices among potential acquisition targets for large downstream companies at present.
Serenity pointed out that the company currently has a market capitalization of approximately $215 million but possesses rare EML/CW laser intellectual property (IP). He believes that companies such as Source Photonics or Suzhou Dongshan Precision, if seeking vertical integration, could gain greater strategic value by acquiring OE Solutions.
Serenity stated that, given the substantial R&D investment and capital expenditures required for wafer fab expansion and initial construction—and considering that OE Solutions itself remains a relatively small optical company—it presents a certain degree of M&A appeal. The firm also disclosed that it currently holds a position in the company.
21:30
Svmuu Morning Brief
1. Both Strategy and Bitmine have unrealized losses of approximately $9 billion on their holdings;
2. Michael Saylor: Purchased 520 BTC for $35 million, increasing his BTC reserves to 847,363;
3. Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) and OKX have established a joint venture named OKXICE;
4. Strive added 759 BTC at an average price of $65,850, bringing its total holdings to 19,864;
5. BitMine: Purchased a total of 52,203 ETH over the past week, valued at $92 million;
6. Micron has entered into multiple partnerships with Anthropic and participated in Anthropic’s Series H funding round;
7. Polymarket updated its documentation: It did not disclose short-selling eligibility criteria and encouraged users to focus on genuine interaction;
8. Goldfinch, backed by a16z, experienced tens of millions of dollars in loan defaults, causing its GFI token to plummet 99.8%;
9. Donald Trump signed two executive orders to advance the deployment of quantum computers for scientific research by 2028;
10. Bank of America predicts the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 75 basis points in 2026.
21:24
Gray Scale: If Federal Reserve postpones interest rate hikes, Bitcoin may catch up to stock performance
Svmuu News: Zach Pandl, Head of Research at Grayscale, wrote that since the war in Iran began in late February, U.S. stocks have risen 9%, the Bitcoins has fallen 1%, and gold has dropped 20%.Although significant AI-related spending has supported the stock market, Bitcoin and gold have underperformed, partly due to market expectations that Federal Reserve may raise interest rates to combat inflation. Grayscale does not share this view; its base-case scenario is that Federal Reserve will pause rate hikes.Zach Pandl noted that since the start of the war in Iran, the expected 1-year Federal Reserve interest rate has risen by about 60 basis points, roughly half of Federal Reserve officials believe that a rate hike in 2026 may be appropriate, and European Central Bank (ECB) has already raised rates.As non-interest-bearing monetary assets, gold and Bitcoin compete with fiat currencies, and rising real interest rates on fiat currencies increase the opportunity cost of holding Bitcoin and gold, thereby suppressing demand. Bitcoin It serves a dual purpose in a portfolio: on one hand, it is a scarce digital commodity that can act as a long-term store of value; on the other hand, it is a public blockchain asset that provides exposure to the long-term growth of the crypto industry. Therefore, the role of Bitcoin in a portfolio is similar to, but not entirely equivalent to, that of gold and growth stocks.Zach Pandl noted that if the likelihood of interest rate hikes decreases—in line with Grayscale’s base-case scenario—Bitcoins may catch up to the performance of stocks.
21:09
Nakamoto Shuts Down Its Medical Business and Fully Transitions to Operating as Bitcoin
Svmuu News: According to an official announcement, Nakamoto—the financial services company under David Bailey’s Bitcoin—announced that its medical clinic operations officially ceased on June 19, 2026, with related administrative wrap-up work expected to be completed in the third quarter of 2026.
Nakamoto stated that this move marks the gradual closure of the company’s traditional healthcare business and its full transition to operating as Bitcoin. Going forward, the company will focus on businesses such as media and information services, asset management, and consulting services, driving sustained growth across all business lines through recurring revenue.
CEO David Bailey stated that the company has built a differentiated platform encompassing leading global Bitcoin media, asset management, and consulting businesses, and is currently fully committed to expanding these operations to create long-term shareholder value.
21:05
The U.S. dollar rose 0% against the yen to 161.577
Svmuu News: According to the latest data from Gate, the price of gold has fallen to $4,193.38 per ounce, marking a 0.01% decline for the day. The price of silver has fallen to $64.903 per ounce, marking a 0.05% increase for the day.

The BVIX (BTC Volatility Index) is currently quoted at 41.47, down 1.68% for the day. The EVIX (ETH Volatility Index) is currently quoted at 55.36, down 2.88% for the day.

In the foreign exchange market, the U.S. dollar against the offshore yuan (USD/CNH) fell 0% intraday, with the current exchange rate at 6.77742. The U.S. dollar against the Japanese yen (USD/JPY) rose 0.05% intraday, with the current exchange rate at 161.577.

In global stock indices, the Euro Stoxx 50 Index (EUSTX50) rose 0.38% intraday to 6,318.41 points; the UK FTSE 100 Index (UK100) rose 0.11% intraday to 10,421.2 points; the German DAX 40 Index (GER40) rose 0.17% on the day to 25,092.3 points.

In the commodities market, WTI crude oil rose 0.15% intraday to $74.94 per barrel. Brent crude oil rose 0.08% intraday to $78.79 per barrel.

Gate enables users to trade traditional financial market products directly on the platform, offering one-stop access to a wide range of asset classes including precious metals, foreign exchange, global stock CFDs, major indices, and commodities, thereby achieving deep integration between crypto assets and traditional financial assets. Gate TradFi features have been fully integrated into the Gate App and web platform, allowing users to conveniently trade global assets without switching platforms. This unlocks additional strategies and opportunities beyond the crypto market, continuously enhancing the multi-asset allocation experience.
21:05
U.S. stocks closed with AI-related stocks broadly lower; AeroVironment fell more than 10.78%
Svmuu News: According to data from MSX.COM, at the close of U.S. trading, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.29%, the S&P 500 fell 0.37%, the Nasdaq Composites fell 1.32%, and the VIX fear index rose 2.98%.AI-related stocks fell across the board, with AeroVironment down 10.78%, Arm down 7.22%, Palantir down 6.98%, Tempus AI down 5.88%, and CoreWeave down 5.65%. It is reported that MSX is a leading RWA trading platform that has listed hundreds of RWA tokens to date, covering popular U.S. stocks and ETF tokens such as NVDA, GOOGL, MSFT, AMZN, META, TSM, and AMD.
20:52
Polymarket Becomes the Bundesliga's Exclusive Prediction Market Partner in the U.S.
Svmuu News: Polymarket has been named the exclusive prediction market partner for the German Bundesliga (Bundesliga) in the U.S. market.
Polymarket announced that official prediction contracts related to the Bundesliga and its clubs are now live, allowing users to trade predictions on relevant matches and events. (The Block)
20:47
Morgan Stanley: Liquidity Crunch Is the Main Threat Facing U.S. Stocks
Svmuu News: Mike Wilson, Chief Investment Officer and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist at Morgan Stanley, stated that liquidity—rather than interest rate hikes—is the primary risk facing the U.S. stock market in the near term. He noted that the size of the Reserve Management Program has fallen by about 75% from its peak, and the volume of Treasury repurchase agreements has also shrunk by 50%. Wilson expects the U.S. stock market to experience volatility in July and possibly a pullback, with the next leg of the earnings-driven bull market likely to be delayed until liquidity headwinds subside. (Jin Shi)
20:44
U.S. CFTC Seeks Public Comments on 24/7 Futures Trading and Energy Perpetual Contracts
Svmuu News: According to an announcement by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the CFTC has officially sought public comment on two issues related to the energy derivatives market, including extending trading hours for standard futures contracts to 7×24 hours and introducing perpetual contracts based on storable energy commodities such as crude oil.
CFTC Chairman Michael S. Selig stated that this move aims to gather data-driven market feedback to better assess the impact of such innovations on the market, while supporting innovation and safeguarding the market against manipulation and disruption.
This public comment period primarily covers two areas: first, extending standard futures contract trading to 24/7 while retaining a fixed expiration date mechanism; and second, studying the feasibility of perpetual contracts for physically deliverable energy commodities. Comments must be submitted within 30 days of publication in the Federal Register.
20:34
Two whales went long on 2,754 BTC today, with a position valued at $175 million.
Svmuu News: According to on-chain analyst Yu Jin, two whales went long on BTC today, with a total position value of $175 million. One of these whales went long on 1,654 BTC, with a position value of $105 million. The entry price was $64,130; the position is currently showing a paper loss of $500,000, and the liquidation price is $59,076; Another whale went long on 1,100 BTC, with a position value of $70.2 million. The entry price was $64,508, and the position is currently showing a floating loss of $750,000, with a liquidation price of $61,723.

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