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3/6
19:22
Polymarket Sees Probability of "Crude Oil Price Breaking $100 in March" Surge to 76%
Svmuu News According to data from the Polymarket website, the probability of the event "crude oil price breaking $100 in March" has surged from a low of 35% yesterday to 76%, with trading volume exceeding $10 million.
Previously, JPMorgan stated that even if transit through the Strait of Hormuz is obstructed for only 3-4 weeks, it could force Gulf Cooperation Council member states to shut down oil production and push Brent crude oil prices above $100 per barrel.
19:17
OpenAI and Oracle May Abandon Expansion of Large AI Data Center in Texas
Svmuu News: OpenAI and Oracle have decided not to proceed with plans to expand a large artificial intelligence data center in Texas, USA. Negotiations between the two parties regarding the project had been stalled for a long time due to financing issues and OpenAI's continuously changing requirements. Informed sources stated that after the negotiations ultimately fell through, it created an opportunity for Meta's involvement. Meta is currently considering leasing the data center site in Abilene, Texas, originally planned for the expansion, from the developer Crusoe. It is reported that Nvidia played a facilitating role in connecting Meta with the developer.
19:07
Kaito AI: The beta version of Kaito Studio is now live, with the first 16 partners on board
Svmuu News: Kaito AI announced on X that the beta version of Kaito Studio has officially launched. Starting today, the platform is adopting a new model that enables brands and creators to make more targeted matches based on compatibility, preferences, and expectations. The first batch includes 16 partners, with more to be added gradually once details are finalized. In related news, the X platform has revised its developer API policy and will no longer permit applications that offer rewards to users for posting on the platform (i.e., infofi).
19:02
Kalshi and Polymarket Both Seek Funding at Approximately $20 Billion Valuations
Svmuu News Prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket are reportedly in talks with potential investors for a new round of funding, each targeting a valuation of around $20 billion. Informed sources indicate that the valuations of both companies were about half this level at the end of last year. As competition in the prediction market intensifies, both sides are accelerating their efforts to compete for user growth, leveraging this to drive new funding negotiations. (The Wall Street Journal)
12:37
BTC has fallen below 68,000 USDT, with a 24-hour decline of 3.95%
Svmuu News: According to OKX market data, BTC has fallen below 68,000 USDT and is currently trading at 67,985.7 USDT, down 3.95% over the past 24 hours. (This news brief was generated with AI assistance.)
11:54
Federal Reserve Board Member Milan: Interest rates should be lowered to a neutral level
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Board member Milan stated that the neutral interest rate is approximately 2.5% to 2.75%. If Federal Reserve does not cut interest rates, he expects to vote against the decision this month, arguing that Federal Reserve should lower rates to the neutral level before reassessing the situation. (Jin Shi)
11:42
Federal Reserve Director Milan: Federal Reserves do not typically react to oil prices
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Board member Milan stated that Federal Reserve does not typically react to oil prices; if anything, it would only make me lean toward a more dovish policy, as an oil shock could drag down core inflation by hurting demand. (Jin Shi)
11:25
Brent crude futures have broken through the $90 mark
Svmuu News: Tensions in the Middle East continue to escalate, driving international oil prices higher. Brent crude futures have broken through the $90 mark, while WTI crude surged more than 13% intraday, briefly approaching the $90 per barrel threshold. Brent crude is currently trading at $89.15 per barrel, up more than 8% for the day. (Jin Shi)
10:53
Today, the Bitcoin ETF saw net outflows of 1,697 BTC, while the Ethereum ETF saw net outflows of 3,185 ETH.
Svmuu News: According to Lookonchain data, the U.S. "Bitcoin" ETF saw net outflows of 1,697 BTC today, the "Ethereum" ETF saw net outflows of 3,185 ETH, and the Solana ETF saw net outflows of 66,239 SOL.
10:50
Bank of America: The Dollar's Safe-Haven Appeal Is in Full Swing, Pushing the Nonfarm Payrolls Report into the Background
Svmuu News: The U.S. dollar is having its best week in over a year, strengthening as the ultimate safe-haven asset amid conflict in the Middle East and soaring oil prices. As of this writing, the spot U.S. Dollar Index has risen 1.5% this week, marking its largest gain since late 2024.Hostilities are disrupting crude oil production and shipping and heightening inflation concerns at the Federal Reserve and other central banks. This has led traders to scale back bets on interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, further boosting the dollar. Complicating the economic picture, a report on Friday showed that U.S. employers unexpectedly cut jobs last month.However, with the focus largely on energy prices, the data only briefly weighed on the dollar, which quickly resumed its upward trend, while the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield climbed for the fifth consecutive day. Alex Cohen, a foreign exchange strategist at Bank of America, said: “'In this environment, the market is looking past the weak data, as ongoing uncertainty and record-high oil prices are the overwhelming dominant drivers.' (Jin Shi)
10:48
OPN has fallen below $0.32, with a 24-hour decline of over 25%
Svmuu News: Market data shows that the price of OPN has fallen below $0.32 and is currently trading at $0.315, with a 24-hour decline of over 25%. In related news, the founder of Opinion stated that they hope the community will lower its expectations for the S1 airdrop and emphasized that they will place greater importance on S2 rewards.
10:45
Curve Finance: PancakeSwap Allegedly "Used" Code Without Permission
Svmuu News: Curve Finance posted on X stating that PancakeSwap appears to have used Curve’s code without permission, in violation of its open-source license agreement. Curve Finance stated that such behavior is not only illegal but has historically proven to be unwise in other respects as well. Curve Finance also noted that if PancakeSwap wishes to legally use its Stableswap feature and adopt its security practices to safeguard user funds, it may still reach out through licensing or partnership channels.
10:35
Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps: Massive launch of new-generation missiles strikes multiple U.S. military bases
Svmuu News: The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps of Iran issued a statement announcing that, on the seventh day of U.S.-Israeli war and aggression against Iran, Iran continued to carry out the 22nd round of military operations under the "True Commitment 4" campaign. On that day, Iran carried out diverse and extensive joint strikes against U.S. and Israeli targets through the large-scale launch of a new generation of missiles. The statement indicated that Iran used various drones and precision-guided missiles to strike the U.S. Al-Zafra Air Base in the region. During the operation, in addition to destroying the base’s early warning radar, hangars used to store and maintain MQ-9 drones and U-2 reconnaissance aircraft were also destroyed and are still burning. The statement noted that an elementary school in the Iranian city of Minab was struck, resulting in the deaths of 165 students, and that the attack was launched from this very base. Iran also used cruise and ballistic missiles to strike the U.S. Al-Salim Air Base, destroying the base’s early warning radar and its associated facilities, aircraft fuel depots, and two airport runways. (CCTV News)
10:20
Magi has deposited another 210,000 USDC into Hyperliquid to increase his ETH long position.
Svmuu News: According to Hyperbot data, Maji Dage has once again deposited 210,000 USDC into Hyperliquid to add to his 25x leveraged ETH long position. Prior to this, Maji Dage’s ETH long position had been partially liquidated as the market declined.
10:06
Utexo Raises $7.5 Million in Funding Led by Tether, and Others
Svmuu News: Blockchain payment infrastructure company Utexo announced the completion of a $7.5 million seed round, co-led by Tether, Big Brain Holdings, and Portal Ventures, with over a dozen institutions participating, including Franklin Templeton, Maven11 Capital, and FlowTraders.By integrating the Bitcoin, the Lightning Network, and the RGB protocol, Utexo provides payment operators with a single API interface, enabling instant settlement of USDT on the Bitcoin native network. Transaction fees are fixed and predictable, settlement times are under one second, and the entire process is executed with end-to-end encryption and privacy.
10:04
Spot gold rose to $5,150 per ounce, up 1.36% on the day
Svmuu News: According to Gate data, spot gold rose to $5,150 per ounce, up 1.36% on the day.
10:01
A trader opened a short position in WTI crude oil with 3x leverage, with a liquidation price of $114.88.
Svmuu News: According to Lookonchain monitoring, WTI crude oil futures prices have surged, but trader “0x4ff9 ” bet against the trend by opening a 3x leveraged short position in WTI crude oil. The liquidation price was $114.88, and the position currently holds 30,000 contracts of WTI crude oil futures.
09:57
Federal Reserve Gursby: Interest rate cuts are expected to begin by the end of this year
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Gursby stated that interest rate cuts are expected to begin by the end of this year, but the timing for taking prudent action has been repeatedly delayed. (Jin Shi)
09:46
Institution: Weak employment data is unlikely to alter expectations for interest rate cuts in Federal Reserve
Svmuu News: Sonu Varghese, an analyst at Carson Group, said that the poor February jobs data is unlikely to alter expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year (Federal Reserve). He noted that the report “serves as a reminder that risks to the labor market have not yet been eliminated.”On the other hand, “inflation has remained stubbornly high even before the looming energy price shocks and AI-related bottlenecks.”" Varghese expects these two major factors to "prompt the Federal Reserve to remain cautious on interest rate cuts—a rate cut is unlikely in the near term." The market currently widely expects only one rate cut this year. (Jin Shi)
09:44
WTI crude oil is nearing $90 per barrel
Svmuu News: WTI crude oil surged 13.00% today and is currently trading at $89.21 per barrel. (Jin Shi)
09:41
Institution: Weaker-than-expected nonfarm payrolls provide ammunition for doves at Federal Reserve, but recent developments may diminish the need for rate cuts
Svmuu News: David Rees, Head of Global Economics at Schroders, stated that the nonfarm payrolls data, which came in significantly below expectations, will provide ammunition for dovish members within the Federal Open Market Committee (Federal Reserve). However, at least part of the shortfall was due to strikes in the healthcare sector, a situation that should be reversed.Furthermore, despite the weak employment report, we believe that continued growth in labor demand is inevitable given the U.S. economy’s sustained strong growth.It remains unclear whether Kevin Warsh, the incoming Chair of the Federal Reserve, will alter his view that the application of artificial intelligence will significantly boost U.S. productivity and create room for lower interest rates. However, any recovery in the labor market, coupled with inflation risks stemming from events in the Middle East, would diminish the need for rate cuts in the near term. (Jin Shi)
09:40
Over the past hour, liquidations across the entire network totaled $112 million, with BTC liquidations reaching $55.19 million.
Svmuu News: According to Coinglass data, liquidations across the network totaled $112 million in the past hour, with long positions accounting for $109 million and short positions for $3.76 million; Additionally, BTC liquidations reached $55.19 million, while ETH liquidations reached $28.12 million.
09:34
Gold and silver prices rose across the board, while the crypto volatility index fell, with the BVIX dropping 1.27% intraday
Svmuu News: According to the latest data from Gate, the price of gold has risen to $5,107.70 per ounce, marking a daily increase of 0.52%. The price of silver has risen to $82.980 per ounce, marking a daily increase of 0.97%. The BVIX (BTC Volatility Index) is currently at 54.34, down 1.27% for the day. The EVIX (ETH Volatility Index) is currently at 76.21, down 0.04% for the day. In the foreign exchange market, the US dollar against the offshore yuan (USD/CNH) fell 0.13% intraday, with the current exchange rate at 6.90783. The US dollar against the Japanese yen (USD/JPY) rose 0.20% intraday, with the current exchange rate at 157.876. In global stock indices, the Euro Stoxx 50 (EUSTX50) fell 2.03% intraday to 5,669.19 points; the UK FTSE 100 Index (UK100) fell 1.28% intraday to 10,259.25 points; and the German DAX 40 Index (GER40) fell 1.75% intraday to 23,418.19 points. In the commodities market, WTI crude oil rose 11.54% intraday to $87.92 per barrel. Brent crude oil rose 7.77% intraday to $90.61 per barrel. Gate enables users to trade traditional financial market products directly within the platform, offering one-stop access to a wide range of assets including precious metals, forex, global stock CFDs, major indices, and commodities, thereby achieving deep integration between crypto and traditional financial assets. Gate TradFi features have been fully integrated into the Gate App and web platform, allowing users to conveniently participate in global asset trading without switching platforms. This unlocks additional strategies and opportunities beyond the crypto market, continuously enhancing the multi-asset allocation experience.
09:31
The crypto sector opened lower across the board in U.S. stock markets, with Coinbase. down 1.58%.
Svmuu News: According to data from msx.com, U.S. stocks opened lower, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 1.28%, the S&P 500 down 1.22%, and the Nasdaq Composites down 1.45%.Crypto-related stocks were broadly lower, with ETHZilla down 1.17%, Circle down 0.13%, Bit Digital down 0.01%, Coinbase down 1.58%, and Strategy down 0.99%.It is reported that msx.com is a decentralized RWA trading platform that has listed hundreds of RWA tokens to date, covering U.S. stocks and ETF tokens such as AAPL, AMZN, GOOGL, META, MSFT, NFLX, and NVDA.
09:31
Bloomberg Analyst: 21Shares Polkadot ETF Has a 0.3% Fee and Initial Seed Capital of Approximately $11 Million
Svmuu News: Eric Balchunas, a senior ETF analyst at Bloomberg, posted on X that, according to disclosures, the first spot Polkadot ETF launched today by 21Shares in the U.S. market has a fee rate of 0.30% and an initial seed capital of approximately $11 million. In its product description, 21Shares noted that Polkadot’s uniqueness lies in its design to connect multiple independent blockchains into an interoperable network, enabling developers to build and operate their own customized blockchains on top of it.
09:20
Analyst: Federal Reserves Face a Dilemma as Latest Jobs Report Deviates from Expectations
Svmuu News: Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said the latest nonfarm payrolls data was deeply disappointing and fell short of expectations.The data in the report leaves no room for sugarcoating; the rise in the unemployment rate, coupled with a sharp increase in oil prices, will fuel traders’ concerns about the risk of stagflation. Federal Reserve: Should it take measures to support the job market, or maintain the status quo—or even threaten interest rate hikes—to curb inflation expectations? It faces a dilemma. (Jin Shi)
09:19
Hassett, Director of the White House Economic Council: Prediction markets have their uses
Svmuu News: Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council, stated that prediction markets have their uses. (Jin Shi)
09:17
Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council: Economic growth is projected to reach 4% this year
Svmuu News: Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council, stated that economic growth is expected to reach 4% this year and that attention should be focused on average employment figures. (Jin Shi)
09:17
Federal Reserve Daley Responds to Surprising Nonfarm Payrolls Data: "We Can't Ignore It, but We Shouldn't Overinterpret It"
Svmuu News: Nonfarm payroll data released Friday by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that the U.S. economy saw a decline in jobs in February. The month’s figures were severely impacted by severe cold weather and a strike at a major healthcare provider. Federal Reserve "I think this simply indicates that previous expectations of a stabilizing labor market may have been overly optimistic," Daly said in an interview with CNBC.We are also facing inflation above target and rising oil prices. We don’t know how long these conditions will last, but both of our objectives are currently at risk.” Daly added: “I don’t think we should ignore this report, but it is just a monthly figure and should not be overinterpreted.” (Jin Shi)
09:14
A whale has placed a follow-up bet of $5.72 million on Nasdaq Composite with a 100-lot short position, currently showing a floating profit of $565,000.
Svmuu News: According to Lookonchain data, a whale has added $5.72 million in short positions on Nasdaq Composite, bringing the total value of their positions to $30.72 million, with an unrealized profit of $565,000.

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