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4/3
09:16
Strategist: Last Year's Rate Cut Was a Mistake, Latest Non-Farm Payrolls Present Complex Situation for the Fed
Svmuu News Carson Group's Chief Macro Strategist Sonu Varghese stated that the latest labor data indicates the economy is adding enough new jobs to keep pace with population growth. However, he pointed out: "This will present a more complex situation for the Federal Reserve, and considering rate cuts makes no sense, especially given the scale of the impending inflation shock." He added that the inflation issue existed even before the Middle East crisis that caused energy prices to soar, and "ultimately, it appears the rate cuts implemented last year were a mistake." (Jin10)
09:12
Analysts: Strong Non-Farm Payrolls Weaken Rate Cut Bets, Fed Forecasts No Rate Cuts Until June
Svmuu News Due to strong US labor market data, the market has reduced bets on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates this year. US Treasury prices fell, pushing yields up by 3 to 5 basis points, with the policy-sensitive two-year Treasury yield leading the gains. The market's previous expectation for the Fed to ease monetary policy this year was only about 1 basis point, compared to around 4 basis points before the report's release. David Robin, an interest rate strategist at TJM Institutional Services LLC, stated that the Fed is "highly likely to keep rates unchanged until at least the end of June, or even longer." He added, "This is data before the conflict erupted, but even so, it shows a higher baseline (for rate cuts)." (Jin10)
09:10
Agora Announces Cessation of Injective Stablecoin AUSD Issuance Starting April 3, 1:1 Redemption Available Until September 28
Svmuu News According to an official announcement, Agora has declared that it will gradually cease the issuance and support of AUSD on the Injective network starting April 3, 2026. Under the latest adjustment, no new AUSD will be minted on Injective from now on, and AUSD held on this network will no longer accrue any rewards. However, users can still redeem AUSD at a 1:1 value, with the redemption window remaining open until September 28, 2026. This adjustment applies solely to the Injective network and does not affect AUSD operations on other chains.
Regarding the redemption process, Agora stated that its customers can complete the operation by contacting their account manager. Users simply need to send their AUSD on Injective to the official channel, and the platform will assist in converting it to AUSD on the user's specified chain, or exchanging it for US dollars and other supported stablecoins. The official announcement emphasized that September 28, 2026, is the standard redemption deadline. Assets remaining after this date can still be processed, but may require additional KYC verification procedures and incur related fees.
Agora pointed out that this decision stems from its regular evaluation mechanism for multi-chain deployments, with primary considerations including actual usage, ecosystem health, and infrastructure costs. After a comprehensive assessment, Agora decided to strategically scale back its AUSD business on the Injective network to optimize resource allocation and enhance overall operational efficiency.
09:08
Probability of Fed Maintaining Interest Rates Unchanged in June Rises to 97.5% After Non-Farm Payrolls Report
Svmuu According to CME "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 0.5%, and the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 99.5%, both unchanged from before the report. The probability of the Fed cumulatively cutting rates by 25 basis points by June is 2.0% (7.8% before the report), the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 97.5% (91.7% before the report), and the probability of cumulatively raising rates by 25 basis points is 0.5% (same as before the report).
09:00
U.S. March Non-Farm Payrolls Exceed Wall Street Journal's Decade-Long Historical Forecast Range
Svmuu News The U.S. added 178,000 jobs in March, exceeding the historical forecast range for this indicator by The Wall Street Journal. The unemployment rate was 4.3%, falling within the historical forecast range. The employment report data is being closely watched as investors and economists are currently trying to use it to gauge any future interest rate decisions by the Federal Reserve and assess the cooling labor market. Regarding the March employment report, over the past decade, the deviation range between The Wall Street Journal's forecast and the actual reported value has been -38,500 to +73,000. The data released on Friday was 178,000, higher than the 59,000 expected by economists surveyed by the newspaper. The slight decline in the unemployment rate falls within the historical range of -0.2 percentage points to +0.1 percentage points. (Jin10)
08:54
Machi Big Brother opened new BTC and HYPE long positions 4 hours ago, with the current total position value at $15.777 million
Svmuu News Hyperbot data shows that Machi Big Brother opened a 40x leveraged BTC long position (11 BTC) and a 10x leveraged HYPE long position (10,000 HYPE) 4 hours ago. Additionally, he holds a 25x leveraged Ethereum long position (7,171 ETH). The current total position value is $15.777 million, with an unrealized loss of approximately $196,000.
08:45
The market appears to interpret the non-farm payroll data as indicating a solid labor market, allowing the Fed to focus on inflation reduction
Svmuu News According to a New York Times financial markets reporter based in New York, the stock market is closed today for the Easter holiday, but the bond market remains open for trading until local noon. Investors initially seemed to interpret the new data as suggesting that "against the backdrop of a still-solid labor market, the Federal Reserve can focus on lowering inflation." This likely implies higher levels of interest rates. The yield on the two-year U.S. Treasury note, which is sensitive to changes in interest rate expectations, surged to 3.85% following the data release. (Jin10)
08:43
Analysis: U.S. March Employment Rebound Exceeds Expectations, Fed's Focus on Inflation Risks May Further Intensify
Svmuu According to the closely watched employment report released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics on Friday, nonfarm payrolls increased by 178,000 last month, far exceeding market expectations of 60,000, marking the largest gain since the end of 2024. The February data was revised down to a decrease of 133,000. The unemployment rate in March was 4.3%, also lower than market expectations.
Economists widely expected a rebound in the job market in March following the end of the strike. The unemployment of over 30,000 healthcare workers in February and severe winter weather led to a significant drop in the unemployment rate. This strong growth may further intensify the Federal Reserve's focus on inflation risks, as rapid energy price increases triggered by the Middle East war have exacerbated these concerns. Wage growth was primarily driven by employment in the healthcare sector, which recovered after the strike ended. Construction, leisure and hospitality industries also rebounded after declines in February, likely reflecting a weather-related economic recovery. (Jin10)
08:35
Market pricing shows a decline in Fed rate cut bets for 2026
Svmuu News Market pricing indicates a decline in bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts for 2026. (Jin10)
08:33
After the non-farm payroll data was released, the US Dollar Index DXY surged sharply in the short term, reaching a high of 100.1.
Svmuu News: Following the release of the non-farm payroll data, the US Dollar Index DXY experienced a sharp short-term rally, reaching a high of 100.1. Major non-US currency pairs broadly declined, with EUR/USD and GBP/USD falling nearly 30 pips in the short term. (Jin10)
08:32
March Non-Farm Payrolls Surpass Expectations, Hitting Over a Year High; March Unemployment Rate at 4.3%
Svmuu News According to data, U.S. seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls increased by 178,000 in March, far exceeding market expectations of 60,000, reaching the highest level since December 2024, and showing significant improvement compared to the "negative growth" in employment last month. The U.S. unemployment rate for March was 4.3%, compared to an expectation of 4.40% and a previous value of 4.40%. (Jin10)
08:31
US March Seasonally Adjusted Non-Farm Payrolls 178,000, expected 60,000
Svmuu News According to Jinshi, US March seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls came in at 178,000, against an expectation of 60,000. The previous figure was revised from -92,000 to -133,000.
08:28
Probability of Fed holding rates steady in April before NFP release is 99.5%
Svmuu News According to CME FedWatch Tool: The probability of the Fed raising rates by 25 basis points in April is 0.5%, while the probability of holding rates steady is 99.5%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed by June is 7.8%, the probability of holding rates steady is 91.7%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 0.5%.
08:25
Cardano Foundation Seeks Diversified Asset Allocation: Increases BTC and Cash Reserves While Reducing ADA Dependence
Svmuu News The latest report from the Cardano Foundation shows that its asset structure is shifting from a high reliance on ADA towards a diversified allocation. By the end of 2025, ADA's proportion is expected to drop from the previous 76.7% to 51.6%, while Bitcoin's share will significantly increase to 25.5%, and the proportion of cash and financial assets will rise to 22.9%. It is reported that the Cardano Foundation's total assets amount to 287.5 million Swiss Francs (approximately $361 million), a decrease of about 45% from the $659 million at the end of 2024.
It is noteworthy that the increase in Bitcoin's proportion for the Cardano Foundation does not stem from additional purchases. Its BTC holdings have actually decreased from 1,054 to 656 (a 37% drop). The rise in proportion is primarily attributed to BTC's relative resilience during market downturns and the overall restructuring of the reserve system. Currently, its reserve system is transitioning from being driven by a single token to a more diversified and actively managed allocation model. (Cryptoslate)
08:25
Trump: Just a Little More Time to Easily Open the Strait of Hormuz
Svmuu News According to US President Trump, just give us a little more time, and we can easily open the Strait of Hormuz, access oil, and earn huge wealth. (Jin10)
08:25
Cambodia Enacts Strictest Anti-Telecom Fraud Law, Crypto Scams Could Lead to Life Imprisonment
Svmuu News Cambodia's National Assembly has unanimously passed a new bill to combat online fraud. Operators of large-scale scam compounds that utilize crypto assets could face a maximum sentence of life imprisonment. The bill is currently pending review by the Senate and final approval by King Norodom Sihamoni. According to the bill, core leaders of fraud syndicates will face 15 to 30 years in prison, with life sentences possible if their actions result in death; organizers could face up to 20 years and hefty fines, while participants may also face 2 to 5 years in prison and fines of up to $125,000. Analysis points out that crypto scams like "pig butchering" have proliferated rapidly in Southeast Asia in recent years, leveraging crypto assets for cross-border transfers and money laundering, involving tens of billions of dollars annually. Such crackdowns may more often lead to the "relocation rather than disappearance" of fraudulent activities, with the key being whether efforts are simultaneously made to combat corruption protection, money laundering networks, and cross-border fund circulation systems. (Decrypt)
08:08
Hyperliquid Plans to Lower Portfolio Margin Threshold After Next Network Upgrade
Svmuu News Hyperliquid announced that after the next network upgrade, users with account assets exceeding $10,000 will be able to enable Portfolio Margin without any trading volume requirements. New users can use this mode for trading immediately after depositing funds. Meanwhile, accounts with a main account weighted trading volume reaching $5 million can still enable portfolio margin, and this rule remains unchanged.
08:05
Two Individuals Sentenced for Illegally Tapping High-Voltage Lines to Mine Bitcoin in Pig Pen; Principal Offender Receives 10-Year Sentence
Svmuu According to documents disclosed on China Judgments Online, the Honggang District People's Court in Daqing City, Heilongjiang Province, recently announced a first-instance judgment. The court sentenced Zhang to ten years in prison and Zhao to four years and ten months in prison for the crime of theft. In order to seek illegal profits, Zhang and Zhao illegally tapped a high-voltage line belonging to an oil field to "steal electricity," setting up 36 Bitcoin mining machines in an abandoned pig pen to mine.
After trial, it was determined that on September 8, 2024, Zhang illegally tapped a high-voltage line belonging to an oil extraction plant of a certain limited liability company in Daqing. He used the stolen electricity to power Bitcoin mining machines located in an abandoned pig pen within a slaughterhouse building he had rented. Zhang had purchased 24 mining machines. Later, Zhang contacted Zhao to bring him in as a partner to jointly operate the Bitcoin mining machines for mining.
On December 12, 2024, after seeing Zhang profit from mining, Zhao, knowing full well that Zhang was illegally tapping oil field electricity, participated in the electricity theft to power Bitcoin mining machines. Zhao funded the purchase of 12 mining machines. The two operated a total of 36 Bitcoin mining machines. Zhang was responsible for contacting the purchase of mining machines, illegally connecting the power supply, providing the site for the machines, handling external repairs, and selling the Bitcoin. Zhao assisted Zhang by being responsible for the daily inspection of the 36 machines' operation and providing on-site maintenance for turning the machines on and off.
On August 1, 2025, Zhang and Zhao were apprehended by public security authorities. Calculations showed that Zhang stole 565,375.2 kilowatt-hours of oil field electricity, valued at 438,580.52 Chinese yuan. Zhao, starting from December 12, 2024, stole 468,060 kilowatt-hours of oil field electricity, valued at 363,750.78 Chinese yuan.
The court held that defendants Zhang and Zhao, with the purpose of illegal possession, stole public and private property, and the amount involved was particularly large. Their actions constituted the crime of theft. This case was a joint crime, with Zhang playing the principal role as the principal offender, and Zhao playing a secondary, auxiliary role as an accessory. Considering that Zhang and Zhao confessed to the facts and admitted guilt and accepted punishment, and that Zhao was an accessory, their sentences could be reduced or mitigated according to the law. (China News Weekly)
08:03
Analysis: Bitcoin Narrowly Fluctuates Around $66K, Macro and Geopolitical Conflicts Weigh on Market
Svmuu News The cryptocurrency market has seen overall subdued trading activity recently. Bitcoin has been fluctuating narrowly around $66,600, with short-term rebounds failing to break through the $67,000 mark. Meanwhile, Trump's tougher stance towards Iran has intensified geopolitical tensions. Rising energy prices are increasing inflation expectations, thereby weakening market bets on interest rate cuts (which previously served as a key support for Bitcoin's rise). Data shows that wallets holding between 1,000 and 10,000 BTC have cumulatively reduced their holdings by approximately 188,000 BTC since last year's peak. At the current price, nearly half of all Bitcoin is in an unrealized loss position, indicating clear signs of market pressure. (CoinDesk)
08:03
Hyperliquid's Testnet for Binary Markets HIP-4 Now Included in Mainnet-Level Bug Bounty Program
Svmuu News: Hyperliquid co-founder Jeff announced on the community platform that the testnet result trading for binary markets is now immediately included in the mainnet-level bug bounty program. The current scope of the bug bounty does not include multi-result markets. Frontend feedback is welcome, but it is not within the reward scope of the bug bounty program.
08:01
Bank of Canada: Aave V3's Zero Bad Loans Come at the Cost of Shifting All Losses to Borrowers
Svmuu News According to a working paper published by the Bank of Canada, Aave V3 achieved zero bad loans in 2024, but its risk control mechanism essentially shifts all losses to borrowers to protect the interests of lenders. The research, based on transaction data from January 27, 2023, to May 6, 2025, found that Aave V3 relies on over-collateralization and automatic liquidation mechanisms to close positions before the collateral value falls below the outstanding debt, effectively curbing losses for lenders. However, this model comes at the expense of borrower interests and also exhibits lower capital efficiency compared to traditional lending systems.
The paper also noted that recursive leverage (i.e., repeatedly borrowing against collateral and then using the borrowed assets as new collateral in a cycle) accounted for over 20% of the total borrowing volume and 8.2% of the number of loans, exacerbating borrower risk exposure during market downturns. Liquidation events showed a pattern of concentrated outbreaks, with four asset types—WETH, wstETH, WBTC, and weETH—collectively accounting for 90% of the total liquidation value. (Cointelegraph)
07:52
Cathie Wood: BTC Risk Structure Reshaped, "Era of 85% Plunge" May Be Gone Forever
Svmuu News Ark Invest founder Cathie Wood stated in a recent interview that Bitcoin has entered a mature phase, and the historically common deep plunges of 85%–95% may be a thing of the past. She pointed out that even if future pullbacks reach 50%, they will be seen as a "significant improvement" within the Bitcoin community. She believes Bitcoin has evolved from an emerging technology into a "mature monetary system and asset class."
In previous cycles, Bitcoin fell nearly 80% from its 2021 high of around $69,000, bottoming at $15,600. According to on-chain data platform Glassnode, the maximum drawdown in this bear market is approximately 52% (based on the October 2025 high of $126,200), which has not yet reached the historical average. (Cointelegraph)
07:48
Figure Releases Q1 Operational Data: YLDS Stablecoin Circulation Increases to $598 Million
Svmuu News Nasdaq-listed blockchain-native capital markets firm Figure Technology Solutions has released its Q1 2026 operational data report, disclosing that the circulating supply of its stablecoin YLDS has increased to $598 million, a 2% growth compared to the previous month. Additionally, the trading volume on its platform's consumer loan marketplace is close to $1.2 billion. (Globenewswire)
07:44
The White House of the United States: Trump's FY2027 Budget Seeks $1.5 Trillion in Defense Spending
Svmuu News The White House of the United States stated that Trump's fiscal year 2027 budget seeks $1.5 trillion in defense spending. (Jin10)
07:37
10x Research: Bitcoin Dollar-Cost Averaging Strategy May Have Lost Effectiveness, Dynamic Allocation Based on Market Cycles Performs Better
Svmuu reported that 10x Research posted on X, stating that as Bitcoin gradually evolves into a trillion-dollar asset, its return characteristics have shifted from early exponential growth to more pronounced cyclical fluctuations. The effectiveness of the traditional "Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA)" strategy is diminishing. Over the past five years, although Bitcoin has experienced significant volatility, its overall incremental returns have been limited. Passive holding strategies have faced multiple drawdowns with mismatched long-term returns, whereas dynamic allocation strategies based on market cycles have performed better. This difference primarily stems from dynamic allocation's ability to avoid significant drawdowns during structural bear markets and re-enter the market when conditions improve.
In the current market environment characterized by increased volatility, risk management itself is a source of excess returns. A cycle-based allocation framework helps investors protect capital during bear markets and participate opportunistically when the probability of success increases.
07:36
CoinGlass: Total Crypto Market Trading Volume in Q1 Reaches Approximately $20.57 Trillion, Derivatives Account for Over 90%
According to CoinGlass's Q1 2026 crypto market report, the total trading volume across spot and derivatives markets reached $20.57 trillion. Within this, derivatives trading volume amounted to $18.63 trillion, while spot trading volume was $1.94 trillion, resulting in a derivatives-to-spot trading ratio as high as 9.6:1. The top five platforms by derivatives trading volume were Binance, OKX, Bybit, Gate, and Bitget, in that order. For spot trading, the top five were Binance, Gate, Bybit, Coinbase, and OKX, indicating a relatively fragmented competitive landscape. The decentralized derivatives platform Hyperliquid performed notably well, with a quarterly trading volume of $492.7 billion and an average daily open interest (OI) of approximately $6 billion, securing a spot among the top ten global derivatives markets. The data shows that derivatives trading currently holds an absolute dominance in the crypto market, the competitive landscape is fragmented, and decentralized platforms are rapidly capturing market share from centralized exchanges.
07:35
Quantum-Safe Layer-1 Blockchain Developer Diamante Financial Completes $1.5 Million Strategic Funding Round
Svmuu News Quantum-safe Layer-1 blockchain developer Diamante Financial announced the completion of a $1.5 million strategic funding round. Khofiz Shakhidi, founder of Jefferson Capital Ltd and co-founder of Minexx Ltd, participated in the investment. The new funds will support the company in building a production-grade L1 cryptographic network based on post-quantum cryptography (FIPS 204) to address the quantum security vulnerabilities faced by crypto assets. (Einnews)
07:34
RWA Tokenization Platform Brickken Completes €3 Million Pre-A Funding Round with Participation from GRX and Others
According to Svmuu, Barcelona-based RWA tokenization platform Brickken has announced the completion of a €3 million Pre-A funding round, with participation from Dedagroup and GRX. The new funds will be used to enhance the compliance of its RWA tokenization infrastructure, support the tokenization of assets such as stocks, debt, bonds, funds, real estate, and commodities, and expand into the EU and UAE markets. (Vestbee)
07:33
Monad Co-Founder Releases 10-Point Protocol Security Self-Checklist, Emphasizing Key Risks in Multi-Signature and Permission Management
Svmuu News Monad co-founder Keone Hon published a protocol security self-checklist on the X platform, focusing on core issues such as administrative permissions, fund security, and multi-signature mechanism design. The checklist primarily includes ten points:
1. Clearly identify which admin functions could lead to fund loss;
2. Ensure that relevant operations are all equipped with timelocks;
3. Establish a real-time monitoring mechanism;
4. Provide timely alerts when admin functions are invoked;
5. Review all privileged accounts and adopt a multi-signature (k-of-n) structure as much as possible;
6. Clearly define signature threshold parameters;
7. Multi-signature signers should use dedicated cold devices solely for signing operations and follow best practices (such as independently verifying transaction hashes);
8. Implement rate limits on withdrawals and avoid control by the same multi-signature setup;
9. Ensure employee devices have malware detection and management capabilities;
10. Predefine extreme scenarios where multi-signature signers are compromised, deduce potential attack paths from an attacker's perspective, and optimize system design accordingly to increase attack cost and complexity.
07:30
Svmuu Evening Brief
1. Turkey sells $20 billion worth of gold in three weeks to support its fiat currency, the lira;
2. STRC is expected to raise funds this week to purchase 4,535 BTC;
3. Binance Wallet will launch the Sentio Pre-TGE event on April 7;
4. Drift: Key information related to the vulnerability exploit has been confirmed, and on-chain messages are being sent to wallets holding the stolen funds;
5. Dmail Network will gradually cease operations starting May 15, users need to export their emails before this date;
6. CZ's new book "Freedom of Money" has become the #1 bestseller in Amazon's cryptocurrency new book category;
7. Analyst: Bitcoin derivatives market dominated by shorts, longs continue to face liquidation pressure;
8. Ant Digital Technologies: Professional lobster product DTClaw officially begins internal testing;
9. Binance Wallet will launch the Sentio Pre-TGE event on April 7;
10. Ethereum Foundation stakes another $46.64 million worth of ETH, total staked amount reaches $96.59 million.

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