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4/10
08:05
Fed's Daly: Sees Lower Probability of Rate Hikes Compared to Cuts or Holding Rates Steady
Svmuu News Fed's Daly believes the probability of a rate hike is lower than that of a cut or holding rates steady. If inflation remains above expectations for an extended period, the Fed will maintain a wait-and-see approach until confident that the inflation issue has been resolved. (Jin10)
08:01
Jiangsu Securities Regulatory Bureau: Beware of Hong Kong "Pseudo-Exchanges" Falsely Listing, Guard Against Illegal Fundraising Through "Original Shares"
Svmuu News The Jiangsu Securities Regulatory Bureau has issued a risk warning. Recently, illegal intermediaries have been using the gimmick of "listing and ringing the bell on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange upon payment" to provide services such as fake stock codes and website publicity. The related platforms are mostly "pseudo-exchanges" and package false listings through fabricated ceremonies. Some companies take the opportunity to promote equity and "original shares" to the public, suspected of illegal fundraising. The regulator reminds investors to verify the qualifications of institutions through the official website of the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission, be wary of capital-guaranteed and high-yield promotions, avoid transferring funds to personal accounts or unofficial platforms, and promptly report and file complaints upon discovering clues.
07:58
Anchor Fintech plans to launch regulated Hong Kong dollar stablecoin HKDAP in phases during Q2
Svmuu News: Animoca Brands announced on the X platform that Anchor Fintech, a joint venture co-founded by Standard Chartered Bank, HKT, and Animoca Brands, will phase in the launch of the regulated Hong Kong dollar-backed stablecoin HKDAP (HKD At Par) starting in the second quarter of this year. Its Group President, Evan Auyang, stated that a properly governed Hong Kong dollar-backed stablecoin is crucial for Hong Kong's financial infrastructure.
07:57
RWA Tokenization Platform Libeara Completes New Funding Round, AlloyX Ventures Participates
Svmuu News Real-world asset (RWA) tokenization platform Libeara has announced the completion of a new funding round. AlloyX Ventures, the venture capital arm of NASDAQ-listed company SOLOWIN HOLDINGS, participated in the investment. The specific investment amount has not been disclosed. The new funds will be used to advance the construction of compliant digital infrastructure. (Globenewswire)
07:49
Arab Media: Lebanon-Israel Negotiations to Precede US-Iran Talks
Svmuu News According to Arab media Asharq News: Negotiations between Lebanon and Israel will take place before those between Iran and the United States. A preparatory phone conference was held today, with participants including Israeli Ambassador to Washington Nada Hammad Muawad, Israeli Ambassador to Washington Yeshir Leit, US Ambassador to Lebanon Michelle Issa, and US State Department Director of Policy Planning Mike Needham. The Lebanon-Israel face-to-face meeting is scheduled for Tuesday, chaired by Lebanese Ambassador Hammad Muawad. The Lebanon talks have now been assigned to US Secretary of State Rubio and are completely separate from the Iran talks and the Islamabad talks. (Jin10)
07:48
Anthropic Reaches Data Center Leasing Agreement with CoreWeave
Svmuu News Anthropic has agreed to lease data center capacity from CoreWeave to meet the growing demand for its AI services. In a statement on Friday, CoreWeave said this multi-year agreement will help Anthropic build and deploy its Claude AI models. CoreWeave CEO Intrator stated that the agreement will include various NVIDIA chip architectures within US data centers. Both companies declined to disclose the financial terms of the deal.
Anthropic, like OpenAI, has been at the forefront of the AI service boom, sometimes struggling to keep its products online in the face of what it calls "unprecedented demand." Earlier this week, Anthropic announced partnerships with Broadcom and Google to secure 3.5 gigawatts of energy (1 gigawatt is enough to power approximately 750,000 US households simultaneously). (Jin10)
07:45
World Cup Prediction Market Heats Up, Gate Platform Shows Spain's Probability of Winning "2026 World Cup Champion" at 15.4%
Svmuu News: The World Cup prediction market heated up today, with odds distribution becoming more dispersed and market divergence intensifying. As a CEX integrated with Polymarket, data from the Gate platform shows that in the "2026 World Cup Champion" prediction market, the corresponding probabilities for Spain, France, and England are 15.4%, 14.7%, and 11.3% respectively, reflecting the market's concentrated focus on traditional powerhouses coexisting with uncertainty.
Currently, users can directly access the prediction market through the Gate App, using assets from their exchange accounts to participate in event predictions, trading with USDT, or conducting on-chain prediction trades on the Polygon network via a Web3 wallet.
07:43
An OTC Whale Missed Out on Approximately $870,000 in Profits by Selling RAVE Too Early
Svmuu News According to Lookonchain monitoring, a whale address, which had previously purchased 163,405 ETH (approximately $440 million) and 4,000 cbBTC (approximately $296 million) via over-the-counter (OTC) trading, sold 899,999 RAVE (approximately $229,000) at cost three weeks ago.
However, the price of RAVE has surged by 226% today. If the address had not sold early, its unrealized profit would now be approximately $870,000.
07:42
Analysis: Multiple Factors Support Long-Term Bullish Trend for Gold, Year-End Gold Price May Reach $5,800
According to Svmuu, institutions including ANZ and Goldman Sachs state that gold could still rebound in the long term even if the Middle East war disrupts markets. Analysts from various institutions believe that resilient central bank demand, persistent geopolitical uncertainty, expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, and diversification away from US dollar-denominated assets are all reasons for long-term bullishness. ANZ analysts Soni Kumari and Daniel Hynes stated that prices are expected to eventually recover as the deteriorating macroeconomic mix of growth and inflation paves the way for central banks to resume rate cuts.
ANZ maintains its outlook, forecasting the gold price to reach $5,800 by year-end. The analysts wrote that central bank gold purchases are expected to remain a key supporting pillar, with official purchases projected to be around 850 tonnes in 2026. ANZ's bullish stance echoes similar forecasts from Goldman Sachs and RBC Capital Markets in early March. Goldman Sachs maintains its $5,400 forecast, citing continued central bank buying and expectations for the Fed to cut rates by 50 basis points this year. Goldman Sachs analysts previously noted that if disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz persist, gold still faces tactical downside risks in the short term. However, a prolonged conflict could accelerate the diversification away from traditional Western assets, providing long-term support for gold prices. (Jin10)
07:41
Caixin: Polymarket's Use of USDC for Settlement and Delivery Poses Significant Legal Risks for Participants in Mainland China
Svmuu News Caixin.com published an article titled "Financial Innovation or Insider Trading? The Rise and Controversy of Polymarket." It points out that when insider information can be openly monetized, the boundaries of prediction markets have already blurred. Is this "gambling" cloaked in financial attire, or even suspected insider trading? However, regardless of the legal debate over whether it constitutes gambling, the fact that Polymarket uses the USDC stablecoin for settlement and delivery itself poses a significant legal risk for participants within mainland China. Previously, U.S. Senators Merkley and Klobuchar introduced the "End Prediction Market Corruption Act," which prohibits the President, Vice President, and members of Congress from trading on prediction markets and requires the prediction market trading activities of their spouses and dependent children to be included in annual financial disclosures.
07:40
China AI Industry Development Alliance Meeting: Token Consumption Rises, Agent Frameworks Led by OpenClaw Accelerate Their Rise
Svmuu News The 17th Plenary Session of the China Artificial Intelligence Industry Development Alliance was held at the National Cybersecurity Base in Dongxihu District, Wuhan. Yu Xiaohui pointed out that artificial intelligence is currently accelerating its entry into the intelligent-native era, with four major trends worthy of attention: First, the capabilities of foundational large models continue to break through, with programming abilities rapidly advancing from "code completion" to "full-stack development agents." Second, agent frameworks represented by OpenClaw are accelerating their rise, leading to explosive growth in the agent application ecosystem. Third, the large-scale application of agents continues to activate the intelligent economy, with rising Token consumption driving rapid growth in cloud services. Fourth, security risks such as data privacy and permission abuse brought about by the rapid proliferation of agents cannot be ignored; security governance must advance in tandem with application promotion. He stated that the Alliance will continue to focus on five areas: technological innovation, application traction, ecosystem building, international cooperation, and security governance, to jointly create a new landscape for the development of the AI industry. (China Academy of Information and Communications Technology)
07:37
Hong Kong Monetary Authority Chief: Stablecoin Purchases or Usage Should Be Through Regulated Channels
Svmuu News: Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) Chief Executive Eddie Yue stated that the first batch of stablecoin issuer licenses have been granted today. According to the business plans of the licensees, they are expected to commence operations within the coming months upon completion of relevant preparatory work.
Yue mentioned that he looks forward to the issuers launching their businesses as planned, actively exploring development opportunities while managing risks effectively, promoting the application of compliant stablecoins, and addressing pain points in financial and economic activities. Meanwhile, the public should remain vigilant against any fraudulent activities or scams claiming to be associated with licensed entities or their issued stablecoins. When purchasing or using stablecoins, regulated channels should be utilized. If in doubt, individuals should consult the HKMA's register to verify the identity of licensees or contact the licensees directly for further inquiries.
07:36
Coinbase and MarketVector Jointly Launch COINSOV Store of Value Index
Svmuu News Coinbase Asset Management announced a collaboration with global index provider MarketVector Indexes to launch the Coinbase Store of Value Index (COINSOV). The index aims to integrate digital assets and traditional assets into a rules-based index framework. It dynamically adjusts the allocation weights between Bitcoin and gold based on volatility and rebalances quarterly. The goal is to capture Bitcoin's upside potential while striving to maintain drawdown levels close to those of gold, providing institutional investors with a store-of-value tool that balances digital and traditional assets. (Businesswire)
07:33
Analyst: CPI Data May Be "Ignored," US-Iran Negotiations Become the Sole Variable
Svmuu News: Foreign exchange analyst Giuseppe Dellamotta stated that, given the market focus is on US-Iran negotiations and the March inflation data increase is widely perceived as war-driven, the market is likely to overlook today's data, as everything hinges on the outcome of the US-Iran talks. We can see significant divergence in forecasts for overall CPI, while predictions for core CPI are more concentrated. The Federal Reserve currently maintains a firmly neutral stance but has left the door open for further policy tightening, should inflation expectations begin to rise or the war last longer than anticipated. The market expects about 7 basis points of easing by year-end, implying no rate hikes or cuts are projected for 2026. (Jin10)
07:31
The Royal Government of Bhutan transfers 250 BTC to a newly created wallet
Svmuu News According to Onchain Lens monitoring, the Royal Government of Bhutan has transferred 250 BTC to a newly created wallet, valued at $18.05 million.
07:30
Svmuu Evening Brief
1. ETH staking rate hits a new all-time high, with staked ETH valued at approximately $85 billion;
2. HSBC and Standard Chartered Bank obtain stablecoin licenses in Hong Kong;
3. The Japanese government cabinet has approved a bill classifying cryptocurrencies as financial products;
4. Binance to adjust the minimum price movement unit for multiple USDT-margined perpetual contracts;
5. A newly created wallet deposits 5 million USDC into Hyperliquid to buy HYPE, having purchased 69,200 HYPE so far;
6. BIT: Bitcoin is clearly in an oversold zone, but it's uncertain whether the downtrend has ended;
7. "First, set 10 big goals" short position increased to $270 million, currently with a floating profit of $644,000;
8. Greeks.live: Bitcoin and Ethereum options with a notional value of $2.27 billion expire today;
9. Coinbase CEO supports accelerating the passage of the CLARITY Act in the US;
10. "OpenClaw-like Agent Deployment Risk Management Guide" officially released.
07:19
Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister: Parties Have Reached Consensus, Iran's Ten-Point Plan to Serve as Negotiation Basis
Svmuu News: On the 10th, Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Ravanchi stated at a meeting attended by foreign diplomats and representatives of international organizations stationed in Iran that all parties have reached a consensus, and Iran's ten-point plan will serve as the basis for negotiations. He emphasized that Iran has always welcomed diplomacy and dialogue but will never accept dialogue based on false information aimed at deception and paving the way for renewed military aggression against Iran. (CCTV News)
07:19
Analyst: Bitcoin's Daily Bollinger Bands Narrow to Lowest Level Since Early 2024, Possibly Indicating an Approx. 40% Price Swing
Svmuu News The cryptocurrency market stabilized overall on Friday, with Bitcoin experiencing minor fluctuations and currently trading around $71,700, while Ethereum is at $2,180, continuing the low-volatility trend seen over the past several months. Regarding technical indicators, Bitcoin's daily Bollinger Bands have narrowed to their tightest level since early 2024. Crypto analyst Eric Crown noted that Bitcoin's price has been confined within a range of $63,000 to $75,000 since early February. Historically, whenever the price has consolidated within such a narrow range, it has ultimately resulted in a price swing of approximately 40%.
According to CoinGlass's liquidation heatmap, if Bitcoin breaks above $75,000, it could trigger upward momentum, forcing short sellers to cover their positions. Conversely, a short-term drop below $70,000 would liquidate approximately $200 million worth of long positions betting on a breakout.
One of the key catalysts on Friday was the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. The inflation rate for March is estimated to be 3.3% year-over-year, driven by surging energy prices. Higher inflation data typically strengthens the U.S. dollar, which in turn puts pressure on risk assets like Bitcoin. (CoinDesk)
07:04
StarkWare researchers propose a scheme to achieve "quantum-safe" Bitcoin transactions without a soft fork
Svmuu News Researcher Avihu Levy has proposed the Quantum Safe Bitcoin (QSB) scheme, which enables Bitcoin transactions to be quantum-resistant using only existing traditional script constraints. According to the scheme, standard Bitcoin transactions rely on ECDSA (Elliptic Curve Digital Signature Algorithm) signatures, which could be broken by a sufficiently powerful quantum computer running Shor's algorithm. To address this issue, the researchers proposed QSB, which replaces the reliance on elliptic curve cryptography for transaction security with a Binohash-based construction that uses a one-time signature scheme embedded within Bitcoin scripts.
Binohash achieves transaction integrity through a proof-of-work puzzle based on signature length. However, the paper notes that quantum computing could also crack this puzzle.
QSB eliminates this vulnerability by creating a "hash-to-signature" puzzle that requires the payer to solve a puzzle based purely on hashing rather than elliptic curve mathematics, thereby making it resistant to quantum attacks that break elliptic curve cryptography.
"Since this puzzle depends only on the preimage resistance of RIPEMD-160 (and not on any elliptic curve assumption), it is completely unaffected by Shor's algorithm," the researchers explained. (The Block)
06:54
A newly created wallet deposited $3 million USDC into HyperLiquid and purchased 123,100 HYPE
Svmuu News According to Onchain Lens monitoring, a newly created wallet further deposited $3 million USDC into HyperLiquid and purchased a total of 123,100 HYPE at a price of $40.6.

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