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4/12
10:19
Trump: Measures to Block the Strait of Hormuz Would Be Similar to Those for Venezuela
Svmuu News U.S. President Trump stated that social media posts about eliminating Iranian civilization brought Iranians to the negotiating table, and two U.S. warships passing through the Strait on Saturday encountered no obstruction. Measures to block the Strait of Hormuz would be similar to those taken against Venezuela. (Jin10)
10:10
Trump: Blocking the Strait of Hormuz will take some time; talks with Iran ended "very friendly"
Svmuu News U.S. President Trump stated: We will block the Strait of Hormuz, which will take some time. Clearing the (Hormuz) Strait won't take too long. The talks with Iran ended "very friendly." NATO is now willing to help maintain the security of the Strait of Hormuz. We believe many countries will help us in this regard, and we are also mobilizing more traditional minesweepers. As I understand, the UK and other countries are also sending minesweepers. (Jin10)
10:05
Trump Issues New Threat: Will Terminate Iran's Remaining Forces
Svmuu News U.S. President Donald Trump issued a new threat to Iran, stating, "At the appropriate time, we will be fully 'ready,' and our military will terminate Iran's remaining forces." (Xinhua News Agency)
10:03
Bitcoin Miners Brace for 2028 Halving: Profit Pressures Mount, Energy Tightens, Industry Shifts Towards "Infrastructure-as-a-Service"
Svmuu As the next Bitcoin halving (expected in 2028) approaches, mining companies are facing a more challenging operating environment compared to 2024. The block reward will further decrease from 3.125 BTC to 1.5625 BTC, while rising energy costs, record-high network hash rates, and tightening capital are continuously squeezing industry profit margins.
Data shows that mining companies have already entered a phase of "deleveraging" and cash flow optimization ahead of schedule: MARA Holdings sold over 15,000 BTC in March, Riot Platforms offloaded more than 3,700 BTC in Q1, Cango sold 2,000 BTC to repay debt, and Bitdeer even reduced its BTC holdings to zero in February.
Industry insiders point out that miners are shifting from "pure hash rate competition" to "competition in capital and energy management capabilities." GoMining CEO Mark Zalan stated, "Capital discipline is more important than hash rate expansion"; Cango also noted that operators with scale and diversified energy layouts will have a greater survival advantage in the future. Meanwhile, the business models of mining companies are being restructured, moving from a singular reliance on block reward income to a "Power + Computing Infrastructure" model. This includes diversified revenue streams such as participating in grid peak shaving, waste heat utilization, and meeting AI computing demand.
Furthermore, the clarification of the regulatory environment is also altering capital flows. The gradual implementation of relevant compliance frameworks (such as MiCA) in the US and Europe, coupled with the maturation of ETFs, derivatives, and settlement systems, is directing institutional capital towards mining companies with long-term power purchase agreements and data center infrastructure. Analysis suggests that compared to the 2024 cycle, which relied on rising coin prices to drive profits, the 2028 halving cycle may favor mining companies with strong balance sheet management, energy security, and comprehensive computing power operational capabilities. (Cointelegraph)
09:49
Bitcoin Falls Below $71,000 After Trump Announces Blockade of Strait of Hormuz
Svmuu News: Due to a sharp escalation in geopolitical tensions, the price of Bitcoin rapidly declined. Following U.S. President Trump's announcement of a maritime blockade on the Strait of Hormuz, BTC once fell to around $70,900, marking a 24-hour drop of approximately 2.5%. Previously, U.S. Vice President J. D. Vance stated that U.S.-Iran negotiations failed to reach an agreement on extending the ceasefire, shifting market sentiment towards caution.
The price of Bitcoin quickly retreated from above $73,000, where it had held for most of Saturday, to around $71,500, and fell further after the blockade announcement. Analysis suggests that the situation in the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global energy transportation route, has significantly heightened market risk aversion, putting pressure on risk assets including crypto assets. (CoinDesk)
09:37
Digital Asset Financial Services Firm Tok-Edge to Launch Crypto Hedge Fund and Raise $100 Million
Svmuu News: Digital asset financial services firm Tok-Edge announced it will launch a crypto hedge fund targeting institutional investors and aims to achieve a first-round fundraising of $100 million by 2026. It is reported that Tok-Edge has previously been in "stealth mode." The long-term goal of the new fund is to build a compliant crypto asset allocation infrastructure for institutions, with an initial size of $21 million. Traditional finance veteran investor Marcus Meijer and his investment alliance are investors in the fund, with the latter intending to provide $10 million as a cornerstone investor. (Benzinga)
09:32
Whale "First Set 10 Big Goals" Bitcoin and Ethereum Short Positions Already Floating Profits of $3.21 Million
According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi's monitoring, the whale "First Set 10 Big Goals" Bitcoin and Ethereum short positions have already achieved floating profits of $3.21 million:
1. BTC short position: 2,567.49 BTC, entry price $71,554.61, floating profit $1.185 million;
2. ETH short position: 38,465.22 ETH, entry price $2,248.74, floating profit $2.028 million.
09:17
Polymarket's "WTI Crude Oil Will Reach $110 by April 2026" Probability Rises to 67%, Up 20% in 24 Hours
Monitoring by the Svmuu Seer Channel shows that the probability for Polymarket's "WTI Crude Oil Will Reach $110 by April 2026" has surged significantly, now rising to 67%, up 13% in 1 hour and 20% in 24 hours. As of now, the total trading volume for Polymarket's "WTI Crude Oil April 2026 Price" event contract has exceeded $24 million.
The rules for this event contract are: If, during April 2026, the "highest price" on any 1-minute K-line for the active month of WTI crude oil futures is equal to or higher than the listing price, the market will be resolved as "Yes"; otherwise, the market will be resolved as "No". In contrast, the rules for the previous WTI crude oil March price prediction event contract were: If the official settlement price of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) crude oil futures contract for the current active month (front month) on any trading day is equal to or higher than the listing price as of the last trading day of March 2026, the market will be resolved as "Yes"; otherwise, the market will be resolved as "No".
Trump posted today stating: Effective immediately, the United States Navy, the world's most powerful navy, will begin imposing a blockade on any vessel attempting to enter or exit the Strait of Hormuz. I have also ordered the U.S. Navy to search for and intercept every ship in international waters that has paid "toll fees" to Iran. Anyone who has paid such illegal tolls will not find safe passage on the high seas. We will also begin destroying the mines Iran has laid in the Strait. Any Iranian who dares to fire on peaceful ships will be blown to hell! Iran knows better than anyone how to end this war that has already destroyed their country. Their navy is gone, their air force is gone, their air defense and radar systems are useless, Khamenei and most of their leaders are dead, all because of their ambition for nuclear weapons. The blockade is about to begin, and other countries will participate. Iran will not be allowed to profit from this illegal extortion. They want money, and more importantly, they want nuclear weapons.
The Svmuu Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing change before it's priced in.
09:07
Analysis: U.S.-Iran Conflict Triggers Banks' Withdrawal from Trade Finance, Commodity Traders "De-banking" and Turning to Stablecoin Settlements
Svmuu News According to CoinDesk, escalating geopolitical conflicts related to Iran have prompted Western banks to accelerate their withdrawal from certain commodity trade finance businesses due to compliance and sanctions risk concerns. This has led to traders being "de-banked" and beginning to shift towards using stablecoins for cross-border settlements. Banks fear that seemingly compliant transactions might indirectly expose them to sanctioned entities, leading them to directly reduce or even exit trade finance exposure in related regions. Consequently, traditional financial payment and settlement channels are continuously tightening. Stablecoins, especially USDT pegged to the U.S. dollar, are becoming alternative settlement tools, with their usage frequency rising in emerging market trade payments. Data shows the stablecoin market cap has exceeded $300 billion, with on-chain transaction volume surpassing $4 trillion, accounting for approximately 30% of overall on-chain activity.
09:03
Tether-Linked Super PAC's First Ad Spend Flows to Company Tied to Its CEO, Drawing Market Attention
Svmuu News According to disclosure documents, the Tether-linked super political action committee Fellowship PAC has made its first expenditure ahead of the 2026 U.S. congressional midterm elections, paying approximately $300,000 to Nxum Group, a company co-founded by Bo Hines, for advertising services for Republican candidates.
Bo Hines currently serves as the head of Tether's U.S. operations and previously worked as a digital asset policy advisor in the Trump administration. The chairman of Fellowship PAC, Jesse Spiro, is also from Tether US.
Public records show that Nxum Group was co-founded by Bo Hines and his partners. This transaction occurred as the PAC filed its first expenditure report with the U.S. Federal Election Commission (FEC). The PAC had previously announced plans to invest up to $100 million to support crypto-friendly candidates, but its currently disclosed account funds remain close to zero.
Under U.S. campaign finance rules, it is not illegal for a political committee to pay service fees to related parties, but such payments must comply with the "fair market value" principle, sparking discussions about potential conflicts of interest.
Meanwhile, Fellowship PAC has begun targeted advertising and candidate support in Republican elections and is seen as one of the crypto industry's new tools for political influence in the 2026 election cycle. However, its funding sources and the transparency of its actual operations continue to face scrutiny. (CoinDesk)
09:01
BTC Falls Below 71,000 USDT, 24H Drop 2.68%
Svmuu News: According to OKX market data, BTC has fallen below 71,000 USDT and is currently trading at 70,960.5 USDT, representing a 24-hour decline of 2.68%.
08:57
Trump: Orders U.S. Navy to Search and Seize Vessels That Have Paid Transit Fees to Iran in International Waters
Svmuu News According to U.S. President Trump, he has ordered the U.S. Navy to search and seize every vessel that has paid transit fees to Iran in international waters, and will also begin destroying mines laid by Iranians in the strait. Any Iranian who fires upon us or peaceful vessels will be blown into "hell." (Jin10)
08:55
Trump: U.S.-Iran talks are going well, consensus reached on most issues
Svmuu News U.S. President Trump stated that the U.S.-Iran talks are going well, with consensus reached on most issues, but the only truly important nuclear issue remains unresolved. Effective immediately, the U.S. Navy will begin blockading any vessels attempting to enter or exit the Strait of Hormuz. (Jin10)
08:53
Analyst: US-Iran Talks Collapse Solidifies Uncertainty, Dollar to Strengthen in Short Term
Svmuu News: Pepperstone strategist Dilin Wu stated that the failure of the US and Iran to reach an agreement has firmly rooted uncertainty. In the very short term, a stronger US dollar accompanied by a slight decline in US Treasury yields is a fairly reasonable pricing outcome. After the initial shock from the news subsides, the reaction of US Treasuries may become more complex. Short-term yields may still decline slightly due to safe-haven demand, but if oil prices continue to rise, they will quickly re-anchor higher inflation expectations, thereby creating new upward pressure on long-term yields. It is also highly likely that the energy and defense sectors will outperform the broader market on Monday, with a noticeable upward gap at the open.
The energy sector is the most direct beneficiary of supply-side contraction, while the defense sector reflects the rise in geopolitical risk premiums and their more persistent nature. However, the magnitude of the market movement will depend on two key factors—the sustainability of the strength in oil prices, and whether the market confirms this as a lasting supply shock rather than merely a temporary, sentiment-driven reaction. (Jin10)
08:44
Crypto Investment Firm Paradigm Backs Gen Z: Continues Betting on Young Talent, Chaotic but Highly Promising
Svmuu News: Matt Huang, co-founder and CEO of crypto investment firm Paradigm with approximately $12 billion in assets under management, stated that Gen Z employees "sometimes create a lot of chaos, enough to drive you crazy," but the creativity and technological breakthroughs they bring are equally astonishing. This has reinforced his commitment to betting on young talent. He revealed that MIT dropout Charlie Noyes was only 19 years old when he joined the company but later played a key role in MEV research and Flashbots investment, helping to establish that infrastructure as a crucial component of the Ethereum ecosystem. Matt Huang described Paradigm's team as "running an X-Men academy." Despite the unpredictability of young employees, their technical capabilities and speed of innovation often "far surpass those of traditional practitioners." (Fortune)
08:26
U.S. Media Reports No American Delegation Members Remain in Pakistan
Svmuu News After the conclusion of negotiations between the United States and Iran, no members of the American delegation remain in Pakistan. Reports indicate that U.S. President Trump's special envoy Witkoff, Trump's son-in-law Kushner, and the U.S. technical team have all departed from Islamabad, the capital of Pakistan. U.S. Vice President Vance had arrived at Ramstein Air Base in Germany before 7:00 AM Eastern Time on the 12th. According to earlier reports from Pakistani media, Vance had left Pakistan on the 12th local time. (Xinhua News Agency)
08:13
US-Iran Negotiations Fail to Yield Results, Sparking Market Volatility; Whale Adjusts Portfolio, Opens 20x Leveraged Long Position on Oil
Svmuu News According to Onchain Lens monitoring, against the backdrop of the US-Iran negotiations once again failing to reach an agreement, market risk aversion sentiment has intensified. A whale address "0x9e8" significantly adjusted its positions within the past 5 hours, closing most of its $SILVER (20x) long positions and opening a new 95,577 $CL (crude oil futures) 20x leveraged long position, with a position size of approximately $9 million.
07:57
Michael Saylor Once Again Releases Bitcoin Tracker Information, May Disclose Acquisition Data Next Week
Svmuu News According to reports, Michael Saylor, founder of the Bitcoin treasury company MicroStrategy, has once again released information related to the Bitcoin Tracker. He wrote: "Think ₿igger." Based on previous patterns, MicroStrategy typically discloses its Bitcoin acquisition information the day after such related messages are released.
07:52
UK Financial Regulator Urgently Assesses Risks of Anthropic's Latest AI Model
Svmuu News The UK's financial regulator is holding urgent consultations with the government's key cybersecurity regulator and the country's largest banks to assess the risks posed by Anthropic's latest artificial intelligence model.
Officials from the Bank of England, the Financial Conduct Authority, and the Treasury are in discussions with the National Cyber Security Centre to explore potential vulnerabilities in critical IT systems revealed by Anthropic's latest model.
According to two informed sources, within the next two weeks, the UK's major banks, insurers, and exchanges will meet with regulators and will be briefed on the cybersecurity risks exposed by Anthropic's latest model, Claude Mythos Preview. (FT)
07:46
Analyst: Bitcoin's Current Correction Remains Mild, Far from Entering Historic "Capitulation" Phase
Svmuu News According to a post by crypto analyst Axel Adler on the X platform, from a structural perspective, the current Bitcoin market correction is still significantly weaker than the bear market phases of the 2017–2018 and 2021–2022 cycles.
Historical data shows that at similar stages in previous cycles, Bitcoin's maximum drawdowns reached approximately -54% in the 2021–2022 cycle, -64% in the 2017–2018 cycle, and -43% in the 2013–2015 cycle. In comparison, the current market decline remains within a relatively mild range, more akin to a "normal adjustment" than a deep liquidation phase, but it is still insufficient to confirm that a market bottom has formed.
Axel stated that subsequent versions will continue to upgrade the model and data dashboard, and the upcoming version 1.6 will reconstruct the RISK ON/OFF module, introducing an LLM layer to comprehensively assess global market indicators for environmental judgment, further enhancing cycle identification capabilities. The current market is still in a phase of structural evolution, requiring continued observation of whether multi-layered data signals show systematic deterioration or confirm a reversal.

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