With earnings season for major Wall Street banks fast approaching, Citigroup warns that a pullback is coming for Morgan Stanley: Overcrowded long positions face high expectations
Citigroup recently released a research report stating that Morgan Stanley (MS.US), a Wall Street financial giant, is increasingly evolving into a "high-end/premium" banking and investment banking conglomerate in terms of its overall profile and business structure. However, Citigroup’s analyst team emphasized thatMorgan Stanley’s current valuation already fully reflects “market consensus expectations for the best investment returns.” Therefore, Citi maintains a “Neutral” rating on Morgan Stanley stock, with a price target of $170, implying that, in Citi’s view, Morgan Stanley’s stock price will experience a significant pullback in the short to medium term.As of the close of U.S. markets on Friday, Morgan Stanley’s stock price stood at $181.90. Regarding the upcoming Q4 2025 earnings season for Wall Street financial giants (mid-January), Citi noted thatmarket expectations for Morgan Stanley’s fourth-quarter earnings are set too high (especially given the extremely high base from 2024 for its investment banking and institutional securities businesses). It pointed out that the current expensive price of Morgan Stanley stock represents a “crowded consensus bull” position, suggesting that Morgan Stanley’s Q4 earnings may fall short of market consensus, leading to a sustained pullback from its current all-time high;However, Citigroup notes that, supported by cost discipline, overall earnings for 2026 may still have room for a slight upward revision relative to market consensus.
Source:富途快讯 · Source Link
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