Svmuu Seer Channel monitoring shows that NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang stated in the Lex Fridman podcast, "I think we have achieved AGI." Fridman defined AGI as an AI system capable of founding and operating a tech company valued at over $10 billion, and asked when AGI would be achieved. Jensen Huang responded, "I think it's now."
Jensen Huang subsequently mentioned the open-source AI agent platform OpenClaw and its wide applications, but also partially walked back his earlier statement, saying the probability of 100,000 AI agents building NVIDIA is zero.
Influenced by this, the prediction probability for "Will OpenAI Announce AGI Before 2027" on Polymarket has risen from 15% to 30%.
Svmuu Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before they are priced in.