Svmuu Seer monitoring shows that as the price of gold rebounded sharply this morning, the probability of the event "gold falling below $4300 before the end of March" on Polymarket has dropped to 16%, down 40% in 24 hours; additionally, the probability of the event "gold falling below $4000 before the end of March" has dropped to 4%, down 12% in 24 hours.
As of now, the trading volume for the gold price prediction event contract for the end of March on Polymarket has exceeded $3 million. According to Gate data, the current spot gold price is temporarily reported at $4570.41, with a 24-hour increase of 2.15%, and spot silver has risen to $73.5, with a 24-hour increase of 3.51%.
Svmuu Seer continues to focus on prediction markets, seeing changes before they are priced in.