Svmuu Seer Channel monitoring shows that a new event, "When will the Trump administration terminate the Powell criminal investigation," has been launched on Polymarket. The probability of termination before April 30 is currently reported at 39%, and the probability before June 30 is currently reported at 56%. This market primarily uses official U.S. federal government information or widely credible media reports as the main settlement basis. If the investigation is clearly terminated before the corresponding time and does not proceed to the indictment or prosecution stage, it will be settled as "Yes"; otherwise, it will be "No".
This investigation originated from Powell's testimony before Congress in June 2025 regarding the renovation of the Federal Reserve headquarters. Current President Trump previously stated in an interview that there are no immediate plans to advance the related investigation and emphasized the independence of the Federal Reserve. His team members also support Powell completing his term.
Svmuu Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before they are priced in.