Svmuu Seer Channel monitoring shows that a wallet created just four days ago on Polymarket has built a $200,000 position on "US will not invade Iran before March 31". The opening price was 86.7¢, and the current market price is 83.5¢. The trading volume for this event is nearly $24 million.
Yesterday, senior Iranian officials stated that there are currently no arrangements for any negotiations, and any dialogue plans at this stage appear unrealistic. Iran's assessment of the "15-point proposal" is that the agreement is "one-sided and unjust," serving only the interests of the United States and Israel. Additionally, Trump indicated that very substantial negotiations are underway with Iran and that a new negotiation "deadline" will be announced.
Svmuu Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before they are priced in.