Svmuu Seer Channel monitoring shows that the current probability of US ground troops entering Iran before the end of the month on Polymarket is 16%, while the probability of entering Iran before the end of April is 63%.
On March 27, Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf stated in response to potential ground invasion threats that the United States cannot protect its soldiers stationed at bases in the region and is incapable of protecting these soldiers on Iranian territory.
Previously, Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian posted on social media, accusing the US military of using civilians in Gulf Cooperation Council member states as human shields and calling on hotels in these countries to refuse bookings from US troops.
Earlier, informed officials from the US Department of Defense revealed that the Pentagon is considering deploying up to 10,000 additional ground troops to the Middle East. These troops would join the approximately 5,000 Marines and thousands of paratroopers from the 82nd Airborne Division already deployed to the region.
Svmuu Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before they are priced in.