The Svmuu Seer Channel has monitored that today DeepSeek officially announced the release of a preview version of DeepSeek-V4. However, on Polymarket, the specific release date of DeepSeek V4 has become the subject of three rounds of UMA dispute arbitration.
The reason lies in the settlement rules for this event, which state that only versions representing the core version evolution of the DeepSeek V series, and which are “explicitly positioned as the successor to DeepSeek-V3,” meet the criteria. Other models, such as derivative models (e.g., “V4-Lite”, “V4-Mini”), task-specific models, R-series reasoning models, and experimental or preview versions (e.g., “V4-Exp”, “V4-Preview”), do not qualify if they are not positioned as new flagship V-series models.
Therefore, some opponents argue that what DeepSeek officially released today is the V4-Preview version, not the official V4, and that “DeepSeek V4 was released on April 24” should be settled as No, not Yes.
The Svmuu Seer Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, observing changes before prices are set.