Svmuu reports that prediction market Predict.fun has launched a new prediction event titled "When Will Polymarket Launch Its Official Token," with a current trading volume of $546,800. Among the predictions, the probability of Polymarket launching its official token before June 30, 2027, is currently at 88%; before March 31, 2027, at 77%; before December 31, 2026, at 55%; before September 30, 2026, at 39%; and before June 30, 2026, at 9%.
The settlement rules for this event are as follows: If Polymarket officially launches its official token before the date indicated in the title (11:59 PM Eastern Time), the market will be resolved as "Yes." Otherwise, the market will be resolved as "No."
Even if the token launched by Polymarket initially has no utility and is not explicitly labeled as a "governance" token, it qualifies as long as it is promoted and presented as the official token of the Polymarket product.
The token must be publicly and actively transferable and tradable. A mere announcement does not meet the criteria. Tokens that are only claimable also do not meet the requirements.
ERC-1155 or ERC-20 tokens used to represent CTF shares or other positions of users within the product's internal markets, as well as any dollar-pegged collateral tokens, are not counted for settlement.
Sources include official statements from Polymarket (including blog posts, social media channels, or documentation). If necessary, credible third-party reports may also be referenced.
Previously, Mustafa (@mustafap0ly), a member of the Polymarket official team, hinted in community interactions today that progress related to the POLY token may be coming soon.