Svmuu reported that the Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson told Iranian media on the 7th that Iran has not yet reached a conclusion on the U.S. proposal and has not responded to the U.S. side.
According to sources, a classified analysis by the U.S. Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) this week concluded that Iran could withstand a U.S. naval blockade for at least three to four months before facing more severe economic difficulties. The analysis also suggested that despite weeks of intense bombing by the U.S. and Israel, Iran still retains a significant ballistic missile capability.
A U.S. official stated that Iran currently maintains approximately 75% of its pre-war mobile launcher inventory and about 70% of its missile stockpile. The official said there is evidence that the Iranian regime has been able to restore and reactivate almost all underground storage facilities, repair some damaged missiles, and even assemble new missiles that were nearly completed at the outbreak of the war.
Iran's ability to endure prolonged economic hardship is even stronger than the CIA assessment. "The Iranian leadership has become more radical, more determined, and increasingly believes it can exhaust U.S. political will while suppressing any opposition through domestic repression. It is not uncommon for regimes to survive for years under long-term embargoes and pure aerial bombing campaigns," the source said. Iran is storing some of its oil on tankers that would otherwise be idle due to the blockade, while reducing oil field output to keep wells operational. U.S. officials said that if Iran can smuggle oil overland, the CIA may have underestimated Iran's economic resilience. (Jinshi)