Svmuu Seer Prophecy Channel monitoring shows that as the S&P 500 breaks through 7,400 points to hit a new all-time high, the probability on Polymarket of "S&P 500 reaching 8,000 points by the end of June" is currently reported at 10%; the probability of "S&P 500 breaking through 7,700 points by the end of June" is currently reported at 31%.
The event determination rule is as follows: If at any point between the creation of the market and the market close on the last trading day of June 2026, any 1-minute candle of the S&P 500 Index (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
As indicated by the 1-minute interval ("1m") data from Yahoo Finance, all prices recorded during regular trading hours of the index's primary exchange will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All referenced times are local times of the primary exchange where the index is traded.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Svmuu Seer Prophecy Channel continuously monitors prediction markets, observing changes before they are priced in.