Monitoring from Svmuu Seer Channel shows that the probability of Strategy selling Bitcoin before May surged from today's low of 12% to 80%, but has since fallen back to 58%. The two sides are fiercely debating whether to sell, with the market having already seen over $16.4 million in trading volume.
Earlier market news indicated that Strategy made a rare sale of 32 Bitcoins for $2.5 million. Although Saylor was active on Twitter tonight, he has not issued an official statement on this matter.
The settlement rules for this market state that if Strategy sells any Bitcoin before 11:59 PM Eastern Time on the specified date, the prediction market result will be judged as "Yes"; otherwise, it will be judged as "No."
The primary basis for judgment in this prediction market is information released by MicroStrategy (MSTR) and on-chain data, while also referencing comprehensive conclusions drawn from multiple authoritative reports.
Svmuu Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets—seeing change before prices are set.