Svmuu Seer Channel monitoring shows that in Polymarket's "By what date will the US and Iran formally sign a permanent peace agreement" prediction event, a smart money address (0x59c49a09e5335430833b96d96af9e581b0a9b517), which holds an over 71% win rate, purchased $200,000 on "The US and Iran will formally sign a permanent peace agreement before 11:59 PM ET on June 7, 2026," at an average entry price of 91.4¢.
The US and Iran continue indirect negotiations mediated by Pakistan and Oman. Key topics under discussion include limitations on Iran's nuclear program and ballistic missile projects, the resumption of commercial navigation through the Strait of Hormuz, the lifting of sanctions, and the disposal of highly enriched uranium.
Reports indicate that the two sides reached a preliminary consensus at the end of May on a 60-day memorandum framework to extend the ceasefire and initiate further negotiations. However, US President Donald Trump has instructed the negotiating team not to rush the agreement, while Iran stated that significant progress has been made in talks, though there is still a distance to a comprehensive deal. The two sides continue to exchange proposals, and the evolving regional situation adds further uncertainty to the negotiations, leaving the timeline for reaching a permanent solution unclear.
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