Svmuu News: CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler posted that Bitcoin fell sharply after the Federal Reserve (Federal Reserve) kept interest rates unchanged at 3.50%–3.75% and released a hawkish dot plot, breaking below the $64,000 mark and retreating approximately 4% from its intraday high. This meeting marked the Federal Reserve’s fourth consecutive decision to hold rates steady, but the latest dot plot indicated a significantly more hawkish policy path: several officials expect rate hikes may still occur this year, further eroding the market’s pricing of “rate cut expectations.” Analysts believe this shift carries more weight than the interest rate itself, directly weighing on the valuations of risk assets. Market data shows that Bitcoin initially surged to around $66,400 following the announcement, but then rapidly reversed course amid heavy selling pressure, hitting a low of approximately $63,870. Trading volume expanded significantly, indicating that the move was driven by active selling.The price is currently consolidating near the lower end of the $63,600–$64,000 range, with no significant inflow of bottom-fishing capital yet. In stark contrast is the performance of gold.Spot gold briefly dipped to around $4,220 before being quickly bought back, reclaiming the $4,300 level and stabilizing near $4,321, demonstrating strong defensive characteristics and the ability to attract buying interest.Even against the backdrop of marginally easing geopolitical risks, safe-haven demand remains resilient. Market participants point out that the core divergence in this round of market reaction lies in the repricing of asset characteristics: while gold has staged a rapid recovery amid the same macroeconomic shock, Bitcoin has failed to reclaim the key $64,000 level, indicating that risk assets are more sensitive to the prospect of “higher interest rates for longer.” Overall, the market is shifting from a phase where “easing expectations supported risk assets” to one where “a hawkish policy path is suppressing valuations,” with risk appetite cooling significantly in the short term.The key point to watch is whether Bitcoin can reclaim the $64,000–$65,000 range and stabilize with strong trading volume; otherwise, it may continue to consolidate in a weak pattern.