According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer Prophet Channel, the probability on Polymarket that “the Strait of Hormuz will return to normal by June 30” has dropped to 9%, a 9% decline over the past 24 hours. As of now, the total trading volume for this event has exceeded $28 million. As intense clashes between Hezbollah and Israel continue in southern Lebanon, Iran has publicly expressed its distrust of the United States and is preparing for both scenarios. Ibrahim Rezaei, spokesperson for the Iranian Parliament’s National Security and Foreign Policy Committee, stated that the issue of a ceasefire in Lebanon is a red line for Iran, and that Iran will not back down on this matter. Rezaei emphasized that Iran and the U.S. are currently in a state of hostility and that Iran is preparing for a possible new war. “We do not trust what the Americans say; instead, we act based on our own considerations,” he said, adding that Iran is also pursuing diplomatic and negotiation options and will continue talks with the U.S. Svmuu Seer, the Prophet Channel, continues to monitor prediction markets, spotting changes before they are priced in.