According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer Prophet Channel, Polymarket has added a new prediction event titled “What provisions will be included in a U.S.-Iran diplomatic agreement by December 31, 2026?”
Iran Reconstruction Funding: Will a non-Iran-led funding mechanism for Iran’s reconstruction or economic development be established?
Dilution of Iran’s Enriched Uranium: Whether Iran will be required to dilute or downgrade the enriched uranium under its control;
Uranium Enrichment Enrichment Level Cap: Whether an upper limit on uranium enrichment levels, valid for more than one year, will be established;
Ultra-Low Enrichment Limit (≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap): Whether to set a cap on uranium enrichment at or below low enrichment levels for a period of more than one year;
Enriched Uranium Surrender: Whether to require the transfer of some or all enriched uranium to entities not under Iranian control;
Comprehensive Enrichment Moratorium (1+ Year): Whether to implement a comprehensive moratorium on uranium enrichment lasting more than one year.
In accordance with settlement rules, this event will be determined based on the official text of the formal written diplomatic document ultimately signed or formally adopted by both the U.S. and Iran. Current U.S.-Iran negotiations are centered on intensive discussions regarding a ceasefire, the unfreezing of assets, and rules governing passage through the Strait of Hormuz. The launch of this series of predictive events provides financial markets with an intuitive, granular barometer for monitoring the future trajectory of geopolitical risks.
Svmuu Seer continues to monitor prediction markets, spotting changes before they are priced in.