According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, the probability on Polymarket that “Claude Fable 5 will resume service for U.S. customers by July 1” has risen to 97%, up 71% over the past 24 hours.
Due to export controls imposed by the U.S. government on national security grounds, Anthropic urgently suspended global access to the Claude Fable 5 model just days after its release on June 9.
The latest reports indicate that Anthropic has been notified that the U.S. Department of Commerce has lifted export controls on Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5. Access to the models will begin to be restored.
The Svmuu Seer channel continuously monitors prediction markets, spotting changes before they are priced in.