According to PPP’s prediction market tracking, the probability on Polymarket that “GPT-5.6 will be released to the public on July 7” has risen to 64%, up 26% over the past 24 hours
The rules state that GPT-5.6 refers to a model explicitly named “GPT-5.6” or any model officially recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5 (such as GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc.), all of which meet the settlement criteria. Task-specific models such as GPT-Codex and Transcribe, cost-optimized versions like Nano and Mini, and the o-series inference models are all included in this market; however, GPT-6 or other next-generation flagship models are excluded.
Additionally, eligible models must be publicly available, including through public beta versions or open waitlists; closed beta tests or models accessible only to private users do not meet the requirements. Final settlement will primarily be based on official OpenAI announcements and publicly available information on its website, verified in conjunction with mainstream media reports.
June 27: OpenAI has launched its next-generation GPT-5.6 series of models, currently available for limited preview to a select group of partners.
The Svmuu Seer channel continues to monitor prediction markets, spotting changes before prices are set.