Svmuu News: As a peace agreement between the U.S. and Iran unleashed a massive surge in supply, oil prices fell across the board. With demand unable to absorb the excess, the market is once again discussing the issue of a crude oil supply glut.This is a stunning reversal: less than three months ago, the world’s major physical crude oil benchmarks were hitting record highs; and just a few weeks ago, senior industry executives were still warning that global inventories had fallen to extremely low levels due to the Iran crisis.Beyond the immediate impact of the Strait’s reopening, analysts at institutions ranging from Morgan Stanley to Goldman Sachs have warned this week that the market faces the risk of a supply glut next year.
Kit Haynes, head of oil research at energy consultancy Energy Aspects, said, “The overwhelming sentiment in the market right now is bearish.” Even before the U.S. and Iran signed a memorandum of understanding in mid-June to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, suppliers in the Persian Gulf had already been increasing their shipments. In the weeks following the signing of the agreement, more than 60 million barrels of crude oil—which had been stranded due to the outbreak of war—flooded the market. (Jin Shi)