According to PPP prediction market monitoring, data from the “Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?” prediction event on Polymarket shows that the probability of Tesla and SpaceX officially announcing a merger by September 30, 2026, has dropped to 10%, a 30% decline over the past 24 hours;The probability of a merger being announced within the calendar year, by December 31, 2026, has dropped to 25%, a 24-hour decline of 18%.
Previously, it was reported that SpaceX will be officially included in the Nasdaq 100 Index on July 7.
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On Polymarket, the probability that Tesla and SpaceX will announce a merger by the end of September has dropped to 10%, with the figure falling 30% over the past 24 hours.
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Disclaimer: This content reflects the author's personal views only and does not constitute investment advice.
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