According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “2026 World Cup Semifinal: France vs. Spain,” a “smart money” account (address: 0x85f031d069de300055900c4055c1baeb6bde3f67) with total profits exceeding $1.685 million purchased $487,000 worth of bets on France defeating Spain, at an average entry price of 41.5¢, purchasing 1,199,996.2 shares. This market refers only to the match result within the first 90 minutes of regular playing time (including injury time). Additionally, this user holds a $962,000 position on France winning the World Cup, which currently shows a paper profit of $550,000.
The France vs. Spain match will begin at 3:00 a.m. Beijing Time on July 15. This marks the third time in three years that the two teams have faced each other in a major tournament semifinal. As the winner of their previous two encounters, Spain may hold a psychological advantage.
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