According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, the probability that “the CLARITY Act will be signed into law in 2026” on Polymarket is currently reported at 38%, down 9% over the past 24 hours.
Although the latest draft of the CLARITY Act has been released and is scheduled to be submitted to the full Senate for consideration as early as next week, several Senate Democrats believe the ethical provisions regarding conflicts of interest involving crypto assets—Donald Trump—in the new draft are too weak.At the same time, the market remains cautious about whether the bill can complete bicameral reconciliation and the legislative process before Congress recesses in August.
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On Polymarket, the probability that “the CLARITY Act will be signed into law in 2026” has dropped to 38%, down 9% over the past 24 hours.
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Disclaimer: This content reflects the author's personal views only and does not constitute investment advice.
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