According to PPP prediction market tools, the probability on Polymarket that “SpaceX’s Starship will conduct its 13th test flight on July 24” has risen to 77%, up 16% over the past 24 hours; The probability that the 13th test flight will take place on July 25 has risen to 83%, up 35% over the past 24 hours.
SpaceX previously announced that the 13th test flight of the SpaceX Starship would be postponed to July 24 due to weather conditions, but it remains unclear whether those weather conditions still persist. SpaceX made its first attempt at the 13th Starship test flight on July 17, but the launch failed when the automatic launch abort procedure was triggered because some Raptor engines did not ignite as expected. It is reported that SpaceX is currently “betting everything” on Starship and has already begun turning down commercial Falcon rocket launch orders scheduled for 2024 and beyond.
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