Svmuu News: On Polymarket, the trading volume for the “Will Ethereum Reach $1,000 or $3,000 First?” contract was $95,300,with traders pricing the $1,000 outcome at 54 cents and the $3,000 outcome at 50 cents. This market uses one-minute K-line data from Binance for ETH/USDT settlement, with a maturity date of December 31, 2026.
The “What price will Ethereum reach in 2026?” market on Polymarket has seen trading volume approach $9 million.Traders estimate an 83% probability that Ethereum will reach $2,000, a 56% probability it will reach $2,500, a 12% probability it will reach $3,500, and less than a 4% probability it will reach $5,000.
Another Polymarket contract tracking whether Ethereum will hit an all-time high has a trading volume of $2.3 million; traders estimate a 6% probability of this occurring by December 31 and a 1% probability by September 30.Related markets on Kalshi show that traders estimate the probabilities of Ethereum exceeding $3,500, $3,750, and $4,000 this year at 15%, 12%, and 10%, respectively.
Polymarket data showing nearly $9 million in open interest indicates that traders assign a 17% probability to Ethereum reaching $3,000 by 2026.
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