Invesco analysis suggests that the Federal Reserve is not behind the curve, and current interest rates are still restrictive or neutral.
Invesco noted that its estimated neutral interest rate is between 3.5% and 4.0%, which is close to the Federal Reserve's current policy range of 3.50% to 3.75%. The institution also stated that inflation has not accelerated, with the revised average core PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures price index) at 2.2%, indicating that despite overall inflation remaining above the Federal Reserve's target, price pressures are still close to target levels.
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Disclaimer: This content reflects the author's personal views only and does not constitute investment advice.
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