Bitcoin options remain expensive despite market calm, with 30-day implied volatility at 36% vs. realized volatility at 21.80%
Despite weeks of Bitcoin's price remaining calm below $65,000, options contracts are pricing in substantially more movement than the market is currently delivering. The 30-day realized volatility has dropped to an annualized 21.80%, its lowest since October 2025, yet the forward-looking 30-day implied volatility (Volmex's BVIV index) sits at 36%. This significant gap, also reflected in one-week metrics (implied 29% vs. realized 16%), suggests options are more costly than the spot market's recent quietude would imply, requiring larger price swings for traders to break even.
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Disclaimer: This content reflects the author's personal views only and does not constitute investment advice.
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