UBS: Gold's upward logic has shifted from "interest rate trade" to "dollar depreciation trade," with medium-to-long-term upside risks rising but 2026 target price lowered.
UBS noted in its precious metals research report on August 27 that gold has seen a strong rebound of 17% so far in August, with its driving logic fundamentally shifting from the traditional "interest rate trade" to the "dollar depreciation trade" (i.e., the fiscal credit framework). The bank maintains its bullish outlook on gold prices and believes that the upside risks to its medium- to long-term forecasts are increasing. However, UBS lowered its year-end gold price target for 2026 from $5,000/ounce to $4,675/ounce (a 6% reduction), but kept its forecasts for 2027 and beyond unchanged, with an upside scenario target of up to $6,500/ounce. UBS stated that the hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve is the main near-term downside risk, but any resulting pullback should be viewed as an opportunity to add positions rather than a trend reversal.
Source:华尔街见闻 · Source Link
Disclaimer: This content reflects only the author’s personal views and does not constitute any investment or financial advice. If you discover any content that violates regulations,Click to Report
24H Trending
-
1
A Review of Cryptocurrency Platforms Starting with 'B' and an Overview of the Top Ten Global Mainstream Exchanges
-
2
US Shale Drillers Boost Oil Production with Improved Chemicals
-
3
Upbit Suspends Digital Asset Deposits and Withdrawals for HTX
-
4
Strait of Hormuz traffic drops 95% to five vessels daily, disrupting global shipping and energy flows
-
5
Kraken launches Kraken Prime, a new institutional-grade platform offering multi-venue liquidity, post-trade net settlement, and self-custody features.
-
6
August 2026 Crypto Market Sees Strong Rebound: Analysis of Multiple Driving Factors
-
7
Emerging-Market 'Fear Gauge' Drops at Fastest Pace in Over Six Years as Investor Caution and Tighter Curbs Cool Korean Tech Demand
-
8
Dongwu Securities Macro Team Report: The synchronous rise in gold, copper, and oil is a multi-factor resonance. Gold is expected to reach $5,000/ounce, and Brent crude oil may remain at $80-90/barrel.
-
9
Bitfinex Securities completes record $50M tokenized capital raise for Alkemya, with tokens representing interests in nickel assets
-
10
European spot LNG prices surged to $22.83 per million British thermal units, a new three-year high, amid escalating concerns over supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz.
Markets Today
Recommended Reading




