Carson Group strategist Ryan Detrick believes that although September is typically the worst-performing month for U.S. stocks, the market conditions entering September this year are distinctly different from historical periods of poor performance.
Detrick pointed out that the S&P 500 index has risen by 12.82% year-to-date, the VIX was at a low of 14.51 on August 27, and nearly 70% of S&P 500 components were above their 200-day moving average, indicating a broad market rally. Additionally, corporate earnings were strong, with 10 out of 11 sectors achieving double-digit growth. However, he also noted that the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield reached 4.67% on August 27, close to a one-year high, which could put pressure on equity valuations.
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